Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
Forum rules
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.
For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.
For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
-
- Posts: 2202
- Joined: Sun 11/06/2006 20:57
- Location: Waikawa, Picton
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 74 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
My guts telling me it's about 250km west of here lol
Sent from my Redmi Note 4 using Tapatalk
Sent from my Redmi Note 4 using Tapatalk
- snowchaser01
- Posts: 556
- Joined: Sat 11/04/2015 18:46
- Location: Northwood, Christchurch
- Has thanked: 71 times
- Been thanked: 95 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
HAHA yes but it is crossing over. Kiakoura could see sea level stuff later.. Maybe cheviot too...
Born and bred Cantab. Weather is my passion. Reporting from northern Christchurch.
Check me out on Youtube!
www.youtube.com/channel/UCa9rslfDkfWR3X6Spw5b5yA
Check me out on Youtube!
www.youtube.com/channel/UCa9rslfDkfWR3X6Spw5b5yA
- NZstorm
- Posts: 11333
- Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 19:38
- Location: Grey Lynn, Auckland
- Has thanked: 342 times
- Been thanked: 361 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
The snow was modeled for the West Coast. With SW flow they were going to catch it.
-
- Posts: 3745
- Joined: Sat 24/01/2004 16:56
- Location: Wellington
- Has thanked: 188 times
- Been thanked: 123 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
Cooled a little to 11C but still mainly clear except for some medium level stratus/stratocu. travelling from about SW, in the approx. NW quadrant of the sky.
- TonyT
- Moderator
- Posts: 2878
- Joined: Thu 08/05/2003 11:09
- Location: Amberley, North Canterbury
- Has thanked: 352 times
- Been thanked: 1146 times
- snowchaser01
- Posts: 556
- Joined: Sat 11/04/2015 18:46
- Location: Northwood, Christchurch
- Has thanked: 71 times
- Been thanked: 95 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
Tony do you have a 2cents worth yet? haha
Born and bred Cantab. Weather is my passion. Reporting from northern Christchurch.
Check me out on Youtube!
www.youtube.com/channel/UCa9rslfDkfWR3X6Spw5b5yA
Check me out on Youtube!
www.youtube.com/channel/UCa9rslfDkfWR3X6Spw5b5yA
-
- Posts: 2488
- Joined: Thu 07/09/2017 19:25
- Location: North Shore, Auckland
- Has thanked: 771 times
- Been thanked: 1719 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
Nearly 20c difference between sea surface and 850 hPa at the moment on the west coast of the SI. Key ingredient of cold convection
-
- Posts: 2711
- Joined: Sat 03/06/2006 20:11
- Location: Rolleston, Canterbury
- Has thanked: 355 times
- Been thanked: 607 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
Some nice cumulus congestus around. 500mb temp -34 at 3pm so that will create some instability.
Just a dull overcast day atm, nothing to be excited about yet. But who knows
Just a dull overcast day atm, nothing to be excited about yet. But who knows
Mike
Stormchasers.co.nz
Stormchasers.co.nz
- snowchaser01
- Posts: 556
- Joined: Sat 11/04/2015 18:46
- Location: Northwood, Christchurch
- Has thanked: 71 times
- Been thanked: 95 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
Sitting on the fence currently... could go either way for me ...
Born and bred Cantab. Weather is my passion. Reporting from northern Christchurch.
Check me out on Youtube!
www.youtube.com/channel/UCa9rslfDkfWR3X6Spw5b5yA
Check me out on Youtube!
www.youtube.com/channel/UCa9rslfDkfWR3X6Spw5b5yA
- TonyT
- Moderator
- Posts: 2878
- Joined: Thu 08/05/2003 11:09
- Location: Amberley, North Canterbury
- Has thanked: 352 times
- Been thanked: 1146 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
So you've finally sided with me then...snowchaser01 wrote: ↑Sun 04/08/2019 13:57 Sitting on the fence currently... could go either way for me ...
- TonyT
- Moderator
- Posts: 2878
- Joined: Thu 08/05/2003 11:09
- Location: Amberley, North Canterbury
- Has thanked: 352 times
- Been thanked: 1146 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
Boom boom?mikestormchaser wrote: ↑Sun 04/08/2019 13:40 Some nice cumulus congestus around. 500mb temp -34 at 3pm so that will create some instability.
- snowchaser01
- Posts: 556
- Joined: Sat 11/04/2015 18:46
- Location: Northwood, Christchurch
- Has thanked: 71 times
- Been thanked: 95 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
Yea I'm just watching the radar... and watching snow fall in hokitika and greymouth...TonyT wrote: ↑Sun 04/08/2019 14:08So you've finally sided with me then...snowchaser01 wrote: ↑Sun 04/08/2019 13:57 Sitting on the fence currently... could go either way for me ...
Born and bred Cantab. Weather is my passion. Reporting from northern Christchurch.
Check me out on Youtube!
www.youtube.com/channel/UCa9rslfDkfWR3X6Spw5b5yA
Check me out on Youtube!
www.youtube.com/channel/UCa9rslfDkfWR3X6Spw5b5yA
-
- Posts: 2202
- Joined: Sun 11/06/2006 20:57
- Location: Waikawa, Picton
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 74 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
To dry and to SW, it never really showed any potential for a day or two for around here IMO.
Sent from my Redmi Note 4 using Tapatalk
Sent from my Redmi Note 4 using Tapatalk
-
- Posts: 952
- Joined: Thu 17/04/2003 11:54
- Location: Thornbury
- Has thanked: 11 times
- Been thanked: 69 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
Thunderstorm woke me at 8.50am .Said storm gave 5cm of snow lying from 0930 to 1200 .Brief clearance but snow is back . .Temp 1.1C
- snowchaser01
- Posts: 556
- Joined: Sat 11/04/2015 18:46
- Location: Northwood, Christchurch
- Has thanked: 71 times
- Been thanked: 95 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
Some slight shower activity showing in South Canterbury atm...
Born and bred Cantab. Weather is my passion. Reporting from northern Christchurch.
Check me out on Youtube!
www.youtube.com/channel/UCa9rslfDkfWR3X6Spw5b5yA
Check me out on Youtube!
www.youtube.com/channel/UCa9rslfDkfWR3X6Spw5b5yA
-
- Posts: 2711
- Joined: Sat 03/06/2006 20:11
- Location: Rolleston, Canterbury
- Has thanked: 355 times
- Been thanked: 607 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
I was sitting on the fence myself but my confidence of 50/50 is more like 90/10 nothing will happen for the city south now. I really cant see anything exciting or unexpected happening. Ill eat my hat if it did!
Roll on spring
Mike
Stormchasers.co.nz
Stormchasers.co.nz
-
- Posts: 141
- Joined: Fri 10/04/2015 12:53
- Location: Gore
- Has thanked: 1 time
- Been thanked: 38 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
It's like a whiteout here right now. Absolutely puking down for the last 10 minutes
- Willoughby
- Site Admin
- Posts: 4433
- Joined: Sat 14/06/2003 16:18
- Location: Darwin, Australia: Storm city
- Has thanked: 264 times
- Been thanked: 288 times
- Contact:
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
Some very steep lapse rates observed on the 11am / midday soundings at Invercargill and Kapiti to 9C per km
Invers: Pram:
Invers: Pram:
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
- Richard
- Posts: 8369
- Joined: Tue 14/07/2009 07:32
- Location: Medbury, Inland North Canterbury
- Has thanked: 1656 times
- Been thanked: 800 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
Not even this far north is anything going to come of it.mikestormchaser wrote: ↑Sun 04/08/2019 14:58
I was sitting on the fence myself but my confidence of 50/50 is more like 90/10 nothing will happen for the city south now. I really cant see anything exciting or unexpected happening. Ill eat my hat if it did!
Roll on spring
-
- Posts: 137
- Joined: Sat 07/06/2008 15:51
- Location: Dunedin
- Has thanked: 7 times
- Been thanked: 20 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
Temperature has dropped quickly over the last hour in Dunedin 4.2C now and clouded over after a bright but cool day. Light small hail shower passing through currently.
-
- Posts: 3994
- Joined: Sun 08/08/2010 16:49
- Location: Ashburton, Mid-Canterbury, 110m asl.
- Has thanked: 1367 times
- Been thanked: 329 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
Cloud seems to be thickening up as I look towards the southsnowchaser01 wrote: ↑Sun 04/08/2019 14:42 Some slight shower activity showing in South Canterbury atm...
-
- Posts: 154
- Joined: Tue 19/07/2011 14:47
- Location: Rakaia
- Has thanked: 34 times
- Been thanked: 8 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
Temperature in our back yard near the house with the sun out was a nice mild 23 degrees (completely sheltered area). That was prior to 3pm. Now it’s quite cold and temperature plummeted to 10 degrees.
Rakaia, 118asl.
-
- Posts: 175
- Joined: Wed 08/04/2015 19:24
- Location: Canterbury
- Has thanked: 29 times
- Been thanked: 44 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
Have you ever seen every road on a MS road snow warning at the same time. Lol. About as rare as the westcoast getting sea level snow!
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
- snowchaser01
- Posts: 556
- Joined: Sat 11/04/2015 18:46
- Location: Northwood, Christchurch
- Has thanked: 71 times
- Been thanked: 95 times
Re: Very cold polar outbreak August 3rd-5th
I think the showers deloping in South Canty are convective showers. MS have this mentioned on their thunderstorm outlook. Any showers that develop are likely to drop snow to low levels with small hail and strong SW wind gusts...
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Born and bred Cantab. Weather is my passion. Reporting from northern Christchurch.
Check me out on Youtube!
www.youtube.com/channel/UCa9rslfDkfWR3X6Spw5b5yA
Check me out on Youtube!
www.youtube.com/channel/UCa9rslfDkfWR3X6Spw5b5yA