General September Weather

[Richard]

Rain has stopped here and even some blue sky

[tornado]

disapointing only light rain so far. metservice needs to do better forecasting. they updated the risk chart to moderate over nelson and i think they should of removed the moderate risk off auckland but nope they left that there. i dont know why they have moderate risk for auckland. its not very good conditions for thunder here in auckland. certainly good conditions down in the upper south island

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

disappointing only light rain so far. metservice needs to do better forecasting. they updated the risk chart to moderate over nelson and i thin they should of removed the moderate risk off Auckland but nope they left that there. i don't know why they have moderate risk for Auckland. its not very good conditions for thunder here in Auckland. certainly good conditions down in the upper south island

I remember a few years ago we had a forum meeting at my place in West Melton and MS had a high risk for thunderstorms for Canterbury which would be appropriate for the meeting, but it didn't even look like it and in 2010 MS had 5 days of high risk for Canterbury Thunderstorms with nothing happening.

[Storm Struck]

These complex lows are hard to predict, with such open ridging local convergences can happen anywhere given the right ingrediants and walla convection.
Another one i remember John is September 4th 2012, a low risk day and certainly by all our observations too.
Turned into a high risk and moderate risk severe thunderstorms, with hail the size of golf balls in some areas and an impressive rotating storm.
That day threw us all for a six, who would have thought and 4 days into spring .

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Weather looks uninteresting this oncoming week with the ECMWF predicting an intense anticyclone of up to 1040hPa moving over us. With the SSW on another topic, will this produce anticyclonic gloom over us or lovely fine but cold days?

[NZstorm]

Rainfall about 80mm for Auckland Airport for the first half of the month. Second half of the month looking stable with significantly lower precip.

[Awhituobs]

we are at 106mm to date for September, here,up on average and only half way through the month
The big question is will there be enough warmer than average days across the south island over the next 2 weeks to compensate for the cold snap the south island had, to stop this being the first colder than normal month NZ has had overall in like 33 months or something?

[tornado]

wont be much rain from next week onwards as a big high rolls in

[mattyj46]

Showers, sleety above 400 metres, clearing by evening. Strong westerlies, gradually easing

Something I've never seen mentioned in an Invercargill forecast is any sleet or snow at above specific levels

[Flutterbye]

Showers, sleety above 400 metres, clearing by evening. Strong westerlies, gradually easing

Something I've never seen mentioned in an nvercargill forecast is any sleet or snow at above specific levels

I shake my head at the wording coming from some of these forecasters and so many times, their icons aren't updated to match the wording. Maybe they don't realise that In,gill is so close to sea level. But I see that Dunedin's forecast doesn't mention 'sleet to 500m'

[mikestormchaser]

Iv had a look at the week ahead and i see Tuesday looks a little suspicious for a risk of a hail/ thunderstorm for Canterbury.. cold temperatures at the surface yes but if there is a little heating before midday there might well be something.. interesting anyway

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

I hope so Mikey, as this SSW has been a bit of a disappointment so far for us guys in Canterbury for September, but then what do the following months have in store? … the future, Oct .Nov and December?

[Razor]

Magnificent morning in Christchurch. 10:30 am and it's a sun drenched 20 degrees already

[mikestormchaser]

I hope so Mikey, as this SSW has been a bit of a disappointment so far for us guys in Canterbury for September, but then what do the following months have in store? … the future, Oct .Nov and December?

It looked better last night but i think its worth a low risk on the met service outlook tomorrow with the SW.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Not looking good for the rest of the week with just uninteresting fine weather for the rest of the week and possibly the month, sadly
Thought there might some 'punch' with this cold front.

[Orion]

Noticing very hazy sky above cloud on western skyline this afternoon.

[Richard]

Noticing very hazy sky above cloud on western skyline this afternoon.

What do you put that down to?

Getting some nasty gusts of wind in the last half hour or so.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Some very isolated flashes to the west this evening.

[melja]

Good old NW gale here in Rangiora, good traditional spring weather for here.

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[Orion]

Noticing very hazy sky above cloud on western skyline this afternoon.

What do you put that down to?

Getting some nasty gusts of wind in the last half hour or so.

Would expect that to have indicated significant wind and rain in the tops.
Wind has risen here in the past ten minutes, sounds quite gusty at times.

[Chris Raine]

SW gale here at Thornbury Averaging 34 knots .Gusts to 44 knots .Temp 4.7C Showers' with small hail .Bemused that both Metservice and NIWA forecasting this current weather pattern on Newshub this evening

[Orion]

Awoken by very strong NW gusts; sky seems clear, with stars and moon showing, except for cloud low in west and NW.
13°C.

[Richard]

What do you put that down to?

Getting some nasty gusts of wind in the last half hour or so.

Would expect that to have indicated significant wind and rain in the tops.
Wind has risen here in the past ten minutes, sounds quite gusty at times.

Thought there might have been smoke from Australian bush fires down your way.

9.6mm of spillover rain overnight along with horrible gusty winds

[mikestormchaser]

I still think we will see a few nice clouds about today. Even a thunderstorm brushing the coastal banks peninsula

[tich]

Reports from Facebook of thunder and lightning in areas just to north of Chch last evening. I saw a brief flash to the nortwest from Akaroa at about the same time. Might've been something other than lightning, but how far can lightning be seen from where it strikes? (no rain or even much cloud out here then)