USA Severe Weather 2019

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 06/05/2019 21:45

jamie wrote: ↑Mon 06/05/2019 19:47 So a united sale started today and i couldn't resist buying some tickets at $1389, so I depart on the 18th and return 28th May, in and out of Dallas. The first leg is a bit nasty going AKL-SFO-DEN-DFW but return is much better with DFW-SFO-AKL.

Hopefully an active May.
An active week this week. Watched some of the live storm chasing this morning, some brief tornadoes.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 07/05/2019 06:09

Tomorrow should be a tornado day in the Texas panhandle with 17C surface dewpoint and strengthening upper level dynamics.

Rogue · Unread post by **Rogue** » Tue 07/05/2019 11:03

I'd target the surface low/stationary front tomorrow, South West KS or OK panhandle.

Fingers crossed we get a share of these good set ups later in the month.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Tue 07/05/2019 18:47

Rogue wrote: ↑Tue 07/05/2019 11:03 I'd target the surface low/stationary front tomorrow, South West KS or OK panhandle.

Really firing up at the moment.

tgsnoopy · Unread post by **tgsnoopy** » Tue 07/05/2019 19:23

I had a few friends from Kansas frustrated yesterday after they travelled to Texas for the perceived risk. It seems Kansas decided to have a "Here, hold my beer" day. I can't help but wonder if that had an effect at the dramatic increase in warning in Kansas today.

KS hold my beer.jpg

Rogue · Unread post by **Rogue** » Wed 08/05/2019 09:02

tgsnoopy wrote: ↑Tue 07/05/2019 19:23 I had a few friends from Kansas frustrated yesterday after they travelled to Texas for the perceived risk. It seems Kansas decided to have a "Here, hold my beer" day. I can't help but wonder if that had an effect at the dramatic increase in warning in Kansas today.

KS hold my beer.jpg

They should be well positioned for today's set up then

Further north it looks like the lack of capping has lead to earlier and more widespread and messy storms. TX Panhandle is the place to be right now, but further down the dryline could produce the magic later in the evening

tgsnoopy · Unread post by **tgsnoopy** » Wed 08/05/2019 19:51

Rogue wrote: ↑Wed 08/05/2019 09:02They should be well positioned for today's set up then

True statement

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Thu 09/05/2019 06:42

50-75mm across the Dallas area today from that MCS. This season a lot like 2015, a rain maker for the southern plains.

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Thu 09/05/2019 11:12

Am arriving into Denver on Friday for what's hopefully a continued good season.
Slow start for us I think, getting a national park or two out of the way first up. Activity should be a-ok again by the 18th, fingers crossed.

Hope to see y'all out there!

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Thu 09/05/2019 12:59

Current models show a big upper level feature coming into the west around the 18th suggesting a period of active weather from around the 18th. Good luck to all chasing this year.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Thu 09/05/2019 20:33

Snowing in Denver today!

Typically last two weeks of May are the best chase period.

tgsnoopy · Unread post by **tgsnoopy** » Fri 10/05/2019 07:14

NZstorm wrote: ↑Thu 09/05/2019 20:33Snowing in Denver today!

It was snowing there in 2013 around 22nd April and that was considered quite late. We all know what happened in 2013, some real monsters at the end of May.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Fri 10/05/2019 20:25

Recent May snowfalls in Denver May 10, 2015; May 12, 2014; May 11, 2011; and May 12, 2010.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Mon 13/05/2019 06:34

Organised severe thunderstorms returning to the plains end of this week.

SWEAT index for Friday.

tgsnoopy · Unread post by **tgsnoopy** » Mon 13/05/2019 20:44

Nice, a new project on Severe Weather, the Torus Project, apparently kicks off next week.

https://www.nssl.noaa.gov/projects/torus/

tgsnoopy · Unread post by **tgsnoopy** » Tue 14/05/2019 05:48

Lots of people getting excited about this coming week. I fly out tomorrow, the other Kiwi's I know fly Saturday. Here's a comment from someone (love him or hate him) I'm sure you'll all recognise...

Reed.jpg

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Tue 14/05/2019 06:19

Yea looking very good at this stage. Fly into the tick of it on Saturday. Follow it east Sunday. Back west for Monday Tuesday and so on.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

tgsnoopy · Unread post by **tgsnoopy** » Tue 14/05/2019 07:24

jamie wrote: ↑Tue 14/05/2019 06:19 Yea looking very good at this stage. Fly into the tick of it on Saturday. Follow it east Sunday. Back west for Monday Tuesday and so on.

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Hopefully no big drives up to Montana and back down again this year. Mind you it was worth it, the high based Super up there was amazing. Let alone getting a Supercell backdrop for Devils Tower in Wyoming!

I'm hoping we will head West coming down from Detroit and use I80 to avoid Chicago, it's only 24 mins longer apparently, we lost 3 or 4 hours due to flooding and lack of signage getting through Missouri and over the Mississippi in 2017, getting in to Wichita at a little past 4am!

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Tue 14/05/2019 11:06

Interesting to see a Day 9 mentioned by SPC. Cant say I've seen this before.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Tue 14/05/2019 13:33

GFS has 24C+ dew points across the Gulf and southern Texas by the weekend, plenty of moisture to go north next week.

tgsnoopy · Unread post by **tgsnoopy** » Thu 16/05/2019 22:35

Didn't make my Destination. 10.02pm flight from Chicago to Dayton was delayed several times due to technical issues before being rescheduled for 6.45am. So maybe 7 hours sleep in the last 48 hours. Unable to get my checked bag... Have to continue, so hopefully will make my 6am flight from Dayton to Detroit tomorrow ok. Kind of defeats the purpose of going to Dayton, but I can't change that. Oh well, it's the first hassle in the last 7 trips so I'm not too unhappy (and better now than later on).

tgsnoopy · Unread post by **tgsnoopy** » Fri 17/05/2019 03:32

Finally made it to Dayton. Booked in & off to the National Air Force Museum at Wright Patterson Air Force Base. They've opened a new 4th building since I last visited 2 years back.

OMG, the latest outlooks, I'm hoping Steve & his crew don't miss anything too big as they transit from Las Vegas. Hope to see the 2 cars of Kiwichasers soon.

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Fri 17/05/2019 10:20

Yeah still happy when I arrive. Obviously I miss Saturdays MCS setup over Texas but in the thick of it from Monday. Jamie's and Gullys flights into Dallas on Saturday may well be delayed if the severe threat forcasts coincides with there arrival!

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Fri 17/05/2019 13:01

03Stormchaser wrote: ↑Fri 17/05/2019 10:20 Yeah still happy when I arrive. Obviously I miss Saturdays MCS setup over Texas but in the thick of it from Monday. Jamie's and Gullys flights into Dallas on Saturday may well be delayed if the severe threat forcasts coincides with there arrival!

GFS certainly showing Dallas under the gun on Saturday. Looks like a fun few days ahead for chasers.

Rogue · Unread post by **Rogue** » Sat 18/05/2019 13:44

It looks as though a fairly linear system will cross DFW in the morning, hopefully not causing any delays to our flights. The NAM has been flip-flopping but there appears potential for storms to fire in the evening in the wake of the system, maybe north from DFW into central Oklahoma. There are some impressive forecast soundings in this area but not seeing much convection forming on the latest NAM run. Hope the flight has WiFi so I can track it

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