General November Weather

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NZstorm
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General November Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

Low clouds have burnt away in Auckland, should be a warm afternoon. A good start to November.

I heard a NIWA report on the radio last night that the north of the country will get a warmer drier summer than normal due to southwesterlies. I can't see more SW being warm for Auckland though!
Manukau heads obs
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

yeah....only good for eastern NI and eastern waikato/coromandel...
but with El Nino not doing much at this stage, should be no worse than normal for SW winds this summer
(what ever normal is)
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spwill
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by spwill »

But Summer SouthWesterlies do bring plenty of fine weather to Auckland , morning low clouds usually burn away early and the general pattern is stable. Certainly excellent for the traditional summer holiday spots like the Bay of Islands and Coromandel


low cloud cleared here late morn, light winds, 20C
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David
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Re: General November Weather

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NZstorm wrote:Low clouds have burnt away in Auckland, should be a warm afternoon. A good start to November.
Quite a dramatic change, overcast start to the day and now clear skies 8)
Up to 21°C here after a low of 14 this morning
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Orion
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Re: General November Weather

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Up to 25.8 degrees now; nor'west; partly cloudy.
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snowstormwatcher
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Re: General November Weather

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27 degrees here today with a gusty NW.
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Re: General November Weather

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Yes, the warmer NW broke through at 1537hrs and lifted the temperature up to today's expected high. <3
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Re: General November Weather

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21.5 outside at the moment and on the rise. High of the day.
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Re: General November Weather

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Cooling down now but the NWster must of skipped over Chch.
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Re: General November Weather

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Warm morning, 17C outside atm
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NZstorm
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Re: General November Weather

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Looks cold over the South Island tomorrow! 850mb-5C.
Snow on the cards for North Canterbury with the front. Also wintery showers further south!

Cold upper air over the inland North Island Sunday could be convective??? Its dry air but UKmet is colder than GFS.
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Re: General November Weather

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I see a humid day for Auckland tomorrow with 16C dewpoints but the moisture really clears out by Sunday.
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

NZstorm wrote:Looks cold over the South Island tomorrow! 850mb-5C.
Snow on the cards for North Canterbury with the front. Also wintery showers further south!

Yes,it looks as though the colder weather will come through overnight with some steady rain from about 5am and through the morning. Not much of a day here but on Sunday it should clear to some fine weather with a southerly wind. Temperatures much cooler.
Sadly, no storms with the weather :(
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Storm Struck
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Storm Struck »

Just a timing issue with that frontal system comes through in the morning so no time for heating, otherwise if it was midday to afternoon/evening arriving i would expect a decent set up for storms.
I am hoping the rain pulls back by tomorrow night with the Rolleston fireworks and carnival on.
Good reminder of summer on the way out there today 25C in some places but generally hovering around 23-24C with a fresher NWer coming off the melting snow.
Very strong at times at work though rattling the glass panels definatly up over gale force, nice evening now though sitting on 22C with a 20-30km NW breeze.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
Orion
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Re: General November Weather

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Temperature has fallen to 2.8 degrees;
raining; Bits Melting on the window.
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NZstorm
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Re: General November Weather

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Looks like NZ will get stuck in a cooler SSW pattern for a few days.

Hopefully we get plenty of sun in Auckland but looks windy and cool tomorrow.

The instability over the North Island tomorrow(Sunday) looks fairly shallow, under 10000ft, so just weak showers over the ranges.
spwill
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Re: General November Weather

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Front through here just now, brief heavy shower, 18C, 16C dewpoint , cooler brighter weather on the way this afternoon.
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Michael
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Re: General November Weather

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The winds in october wernt really true SW much of the time,though there was the odd squall from the SW time to time,they were W or WSW.This one looks much worse being true SW the next 2 days.
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NZstorm
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Re: General November Weather

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Looks like a nice polar outbreak occuring out to the east of NZ early week. Imagine that crossing NZ in November!!!
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Michael
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Re: General November Weather

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its normal ,xmas 1989 ,jan 1998,heaps others I have to look up
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Tornado Tim
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Tornado Tim »

If those polar outbreaks continue into Summer, we will be in Thunderstorm central :D
Imagine a -30°C 500mb temp with a 22°C SFC Temperature, owwwhhh :D
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Storm Struck
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by Storm Struck »

Same down here Tim :D perfect set ups for decent storms not so for farmers when the large hail hits thier crops.
I am hoping the pattern will get interesting again soon, the systems at the moment do seem to be very stationary and ridged not to mention coming through at the wrong hours of the day
Not too much in the pipeline for storms here this week is pretty much a carbon copy of last week with a system on friday/saturday.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
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NZstorm
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Re: General November Weather

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Looks like staying on the cool side of average this week. I just hope we can get plenty of sunshine in Auckland.

There looks to be a surface trough crossing northern areas on Tuesday with some showers (easterly surge).
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Re: General November Weather

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Tornado Tim wrote:If those polar outbreaks continue into Summer, we will be in Thunderstorm central :D
Imagine a -30°C 500mb temp with a 22°C SFC Temperature, owwwhhh :D
Probably not [-X
There is usually something around to stuff it up :mrgreen:
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NZstorm
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Re: General November Weather

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NZstorm wrote: There looks to be a surface trough crossing northern areas on Tuesday with some showers (easterly surge).
Looks like a low thunder risk for the west of Waikato Tuesday given the time of year.