El Nino
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For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.
For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
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Re: El Nino
Looks like a weal El Niño, which facts me off as I'm getting pist off with La Nina influenced weather all the time at the moment.
Hopefully, this weak El Niño will give us a few good thunderstorms this Spring?
Hopefully, this weak El Niño will give us a few good thunderstorms this Spring?
JohnGaul
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Re: El Nino
I was reading somewhere that there's a chance that in fact a strong La Nina could now develop this summer
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Re: El Nino
I hope notRichard wrote:I was reading somewhere that there's a chance that in fact a strong La Nina could now develop this summer
JohnGaul
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Re: El Nino
Seems pretty el nino looking now and long range,maybe due to cold anticyclones parking over oz then weakening in the warmer now sea?
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Re: El Nino
Latest update from NCEP today is the chance of El Nino occurring has dropped to 65%.
Still seems probable we will have an El Nino this summer. Just have to hope it is a weak event.
Still seems probable we will have an El Nino this summer. Just have to hope it is a weak event.
- Nev
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Re: El Nino
BoM not quite as optimistic. They dropped the chance of El Nino developing in 2014 to 50% last week.
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Re: El Nino
both Nev and I had our doubts ....
a weak solar cycle I dont think has helped
and also the warmer than normal ocean temperatures this side of the pacific has not helped either
(i.e the eastern pacific needs to warm up that much more to make a difference )
a weak solar cycle I dont think has helped
and also the warmer than normal ocean temperatures this side of the pacific has not helped either
(i.e the eastern pacific needs to warm up that much more to make a difference )
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Re: El Nino
I see the atmosphere is trending more and more towards el nino now
(even though here in the NZ region it has been more like la nina lately...but that pattern looks to change from this weekend)
(even though here in the NZ region it has been more like la nina lately...but that pattern looks to change from this weekend)
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Re: El Nino
See how this looks in 3 or 4 weeks time, general westerly is normal.
Niwa outlook http://www.niwa.co.nz/seasonal-climate- ... ember-2014
Niwa outlook http://www.niwa.co.nz/seasonal-climate- ... ember-2014
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Re: El Nino
Latest from BOM http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/
I reckon a dry late Spring/Summer for north and east of NZ
I reckon a dry late Spring/Summer for north and east of NZ