Cold outbreak 2nd-3rd Sep

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melja
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Re: Cold outbreak 2nd-3rd Sep

Unread post by melja »

Snow level looks to be around the 800m mark amuri basin.
Always lower up the inland rd to kaikoura tho

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spwill
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Re: Cold outbreak 2nd-3rd Sep

Unread post by spwill »

The colder air and precipitation not overlapping very well. Tekapo webcam looks nice.
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Richard
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Re: Cold outbreak 2nd-3rd Sep

Unread post by Richard »

Apart from strong winds overnight but decreasing now and the 7mm around midnight this event has turned out way different to the forecast, snow lines about 800m around hills here as well, only had a few spits of rain all morning. Just being the story of the winter in general
Razor
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Re: Cold outbreak 2nd-3rd Sep

Unread post by Razor »

Richard wrote: Mon 03/09/2018 11:13 Apart from strong winds overnight but decreasing now and the 7mm around midnight this event has turned out way different to the forecast, snow lines about 800m around hills here as well, only had a few spits of rain all morning. Just being the story of the winter in general
Personally I'm finding it hard to know what to expect with incoming systems this year.

I don't know if its the constant media hype and amateur webpages consistantly crying wolf, or if there really is something different about this years pattern, but it seems theres been a dramatic increase in 'fizzer's" this year, at least for our neck of the woods.
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Dean.
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Re: Cold outbreak 2nd-3rd Sep

Unread post by Dean. »

GFS pretty much spot on again with freezing levels and moisture
Cyclone Tracy
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Re: Cold outbreak 2nd-3rd Sep

Unread post by Cyclone Tracy »

Looking at the sat imagery over the last 12 hours, the low moved SE from Canterbury yesterday evening and then NE overnight as it weakened. It moved at a pace that meant the weather is moving on quickly, which is what GFS projected quite well in the last few days. Unless it rapidly deepened and stalled last night, it looked like a fairly standard vanilla flavoured low. It’s certainly going to soak the east side of the NI now….
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Re: Cold outbreak 2nd-3rd Sep

Unread post by wembley »

Snow, what snow?
Razor
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Re: Cold outbreak 2nd-3rd Sep

Unread post by Razor »

Bradley wrote: Sun 02/09/2018 07:56 Metservice now forecasting snow down to 100m for Canterbury :D

Snow is expected to lower to 400 metres Sunday evening, then to 100 to 200 metres during Monday morning. Significant snow accumulations are expected above 600 metres, and accumulations could approach warning amounts above 400 metres.
Nothing to speak of below 1000m for Banks Peninsula or mid Canterbury. Total misfire of a forecast
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melja
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Re: Cold outbreak 2nd-3rd Sep

Unread post by melja »

Snow to around 400m through from culverden to kaikoura but very localised like is often the case in there.Image

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NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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Re: Cold outbreak 2nd-3rd Sep

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

The local ski field was happy of a snow fall for the first time this year. Sadly it will not last. :(
it was Fox Peak near Fairlie.
JohnGaul
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