spwill wrote: ↑Sat 04/05/2024 10:52
Short term is certainly colder. Niwa warmer is for the next 3 months as a whole.
The temperature has not gone below 8C at Auckland airport or Greylynn so far this year, should happen next week.
NIWA's Outlook for the next 3 months as a whole is actually for 'average OR above average temps'. Bear in mind that NIWA's definition of 'average' is within plus or minus 0.5°C of normal, so even up to 0.5°C below normal would be deemed 'average'.
Maybe this little snippet from RNZ quoting NIWA's Ben Noll is what John heard on his old 'wireless'...?
While May is expected to feature rounds of chilly, southerly quarter winds, Noll said there could be milder, westerly quarter winds from late in the month into June and July.
"It has been a fairly cool autumn so far, and that is going to continue into May," he said.
"As we go toward winter, there are signs that the temperatures actually could turn somewhat milder for the time of year as we go toward toward June and July because the winds may change direction.
"The average person might think that, 'Oh, it's been really kind of cold lately, it's going to be super cold this winter', and that might not necessarily be the case."
If the models are anything to go by Thursday could see record low may temperatures? Looking like a cold outbreak we would normally see in actual winter.
Bitterly cold here today. Very close to frost and then the high cloud came over and stopped any hope of warmth from the sun. Brief sun appearance around 11.30am and now a southerly change is moving through. My thermometer hasn’t been above 8 degrees C all day. Quite early for this kind of cold and it looks to get colder later in the week.
I recall a very cold outbreak in May 1988, around the 20th. Cold enough in Ashburton to skittle plants in a shade-house. May have snowed? was memorably cold.
Sunny here at the moment, but some cloud about and cold strong winds.
Orion wrote: ↑Mon 06/05/2024 13:48
I recall a very cold outbreak in May 1988, around the 20th. Cold enough in Ashburton to skittle plants in a shade-house. May have snowed? was memorably cold.
Yes, the Ashburton Domain recorded its lowest ever May temp of -6.7C on the 24th in 1988 from records since 1928.
Orion wrote: ↑Mon 06/05/2024 13:48
I recall a very cold outbreak in May 1988, around the 20th. Cold enough in Ashburton to skittle plants in a shade-house. May have snowed? was memorably cold.
Sunny here at the moment, but some cloud about and cold strong winds.
Cloud cleared away overnight but remaining partly cloudy this morning before clearing away and becoming fine in this SW flow, when the southerly came through around lunch time. However clouding up during the afternoon and becoming partly cloudy this evening. 12.5C for today.
Indeed a very cold week overall and certainly for May.
Wednesday night into Thursday will certainly be cold with those snow levels coming down to around 500m. Hopefully a better splash of rain/ hail this time.
Friday morning will be bitter though.
Next week we do a complete flip with a more high pressured westerly flow. So temperatures will go average to above.
Slight frosting this morning but with some cloud cover. Generally a fine day with occasional cloud moving NE in the above SW flow. Light NE.
Today's maximum was 13.5C. Fine evening with it becoming crunchy underfoot on the lawn.
Trying to get a photo of the gust front but the iPhone 11 just doesn’t do it justice. One of the better gust fronts that I’ve seen in recent years. Big massive puffs of cloud at the top with the scud - like clouds scraping the ground at the bottom. Very cool.
darcyplumb wrote: ↑Wed 08/05/2024 16:40
Trying to get a photo of the gust front but the iPhone 11 just doesn’t do it justice. One of the better gust fronts that I’ve seen in recent years. Big massive puffs of cloud at the top with the scud - like clouds scraping the ground at the bottom. Very cool.
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Southerly arrived around 6pm with some strong wind gusts and brief heavy rain. The front certainly raced up the plains, as around 5pm there was a faint cloud line to the south and within half an hour it was pretty much on the cities doorstep.
Those heavy showers blew up on the windchange with the assistance of Banks Peninsula.
Main rain band moving up the plains now.
After a frost this morning, a blue dome day eventuated until mid afternoon when it started to cloud up from the south.
Gust front moved across at 4;15pm with a change to southerlies, strong for a time. Came onto rain later but only 1.8mm recorded here from this event.
Rain and wind easing this evening.
Cloud pictures of the front in the distance and cloud above in the skies prior to the arrival of the front.
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Have amended those typos... 
