Series of ECL on East coast Aussie

Matt Townsend · Unread post by **Matt Townsend** » Fri 03/03/2006 19:38

Incredible winds gusts and flooding rain had poured here and the strongest wind is on Stradbroke island near brissie had gusted 125km/hr winds. More rain areas tomorrow and sunday, winds becoming lighter. New low had formed Ne of the first low and it have chances to form into tropical cyclone larry

Matt

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Fri 03/03/2006 21:23

NOGAPS showing interesting prospect for upper North Island middle of next week with low from Queensland coast rapdily moving accross Tasman sea and being joined by a front from the SW. Watch that space weather bomb fans....

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Fri 03/03/2006 21:38

Yes, Matt, those easterlies being puctuated by that intense but now weakoning high to the NE of Tassy.
Action going on over here with the southerlies and disturbed southerlies on our side of the high.

Another front coming up on Sunday could produce thunderstorms here, COULD that is

TC Larry? nice name

JohnGaul
NZTS

Matt Townsend · Unread post by **Matt Townsend** » Sat 04/03/2006 12:27

Lismore got flooding same as west of coffs harbour yesterday! Incredible rainfall rates. Do anyone know where the 2nd low which is just north of the low where i am?

Matt

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Sat 04/03/2006 19:39

Hopefully it won't be too wet and stormy in the Brisbane area during the 1st week of April, when I'll be there.

Matt Townsend · Unread post by **Matt Townsend** » Sun 05/03/2006 00:38

Holy smokes!!!!!!!1 That low had deepen to 998hpa from 1006hpa today!! Maybe a cyclone for us, there are twin lows NE of brissie which causing havoc here, it seems cyclonic atm here. The satillite seems swirling rotations hanging around!!!!

Matt

Matt Townsend · Unread post by **Matt Townsend** » Sun 05/03/2006 11:07

Now its 997hpa!!!!

It still going down and down as it reaches cyclone category 1!!!! I hope this would happen.

Matt

Manukau heads obs · Sun 05/03/2006 11:21

which low are you talking about Matt?
the one off brisbane is not going to form a TC, as there would be too much windsheer i would think
but its still has been an impressive tropical low
there is scattered CB's in the coral sea that look potential to come together and start to form a tropical low...that would the area to watch

what is the water temperature off brisbane?

i am hoping we will get some decent rain from the low off brisbane here when it finally gets a chance to move SE
need rain badly here

nice photos on your weather forum there

http://www.invisionplus.net/forums/inde ... owtopic=54

Matt Townsend · Unread post by **Matt Townsend** » Sun 05/03/2006 11:35

It between 26 to 27C water temperature, and it have some chances to form into a tropical cyclone as the coral sea is covering full of clouds. (I hope it Day After Tomorrow LOL)

The air pressure is now 996hpa and 4hpa to go for category one cyclone!

Matt

Manukau heads obs · Sun 05/03/2006 11:52

that puts the water temperature right at the bottom end of the range....
to be a TC it would need to have gales right around the low...i.e convective clouds right around it

its been slowly deepening as a tropical low with out being a pre tropical cyclone low...
i.e 2 different beasts i would think

if you know what i mean...yes?

also alot of wind to its south was because of the intense high that was over NSW,but that is now weakening...and so the wind gradient to its south will ease somewhat

also its expected to move SE tomorrow towards the NI of NZ

Matt Townsend · Unread post by **Matt Townsend** » Sun 05/03/2006 11:57

UMMMMM Mate it not going to NZL, it sed:
Synoptic Situation: At 8.30 am, an intense low pressure system with central
pressure 995 hPa has continued to move west and was located about 70 kilometres
east of Cape Moreton. Gale to storm force winds are occurring around the low.

Damaging wind gusts to 115 km/hr are possible about Brisbane and the Gold Coast
if the low comes any closer. Large waves on the exposed coast south from Fraser
Island will raise high tide levels above the highest tide of the year. Coastal
bars will be particularly dangerous. This low may reach cyclone force one as it have 30% chances, dangerous winds and surf are continuing in NE NSW area. Gale to Storm forces wind still comfirming.

Matt

squid · Unread post by **squid** » Sun 05/03/2006 14:14

995 i dont think they thought that it would get this deep may form into a cat 1 cyclone for a little while esp if it keeps moving northward

spike_01 · Unread post by **spike_01** » Sun 05/03/2006 15:07

http://www.metvuw.com/forecast/forecast ... &region=nz

This has the depression on Aussies East Coast starting to tap the NI on Wednesday...

Manukau heads obs · Sun 05/03/2006 17:28

http://www.metservice.co.nz/default/ind ... lias=swp48
check that out

we could get a good kick from it as it flicks through here....

spike_01 · Unread post by **spike_01** » Sun 05/03/2006 18:16

Mmmm they have it going down the West Coast... Between that and the Low to the South, it could get interesting...