New Years Eve Weather

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spwill
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New Years Eve Weather

Unread post by spwill »

A weather forecast for New Years Eve, mostly dry and cooler, a few showers possible for the upper half of the North Island more likely in the afternoon/ early evening.
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NZstorm
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Re: New Years Eve Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

GFS chart for 12Z 31 December. Yes, looks the potential there for rain in a few spots.
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spwill
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Re: New Years Eve Weather

Unread post by spwill »

spwill wrote:A weather forecast for New Years Eve, mostly dry and cooler, a few showers possible for the upper half of the North Island more likely in the afternoon/ early evening.
Clearing conditions for the upper NorthIsland by evening , showers linger around Gisborne, low cloud drizzle develops for eastern SouthIsland moving north but clearing in the far south.
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NZstorm
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Re: New Years Eve Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

GFS has been showing instability over the BOP/Gisborne/Hawkes Bay regions for Friday afternoon.
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Re: New Years Eve Weather

Unread post by spwill »

Yes at this stage there is a thunderstorm risk BOP to Gisborne regions friday afternoon.
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Re: New Years Eve Weather

Unread post by NZstorm »

Still looks like Gisborne will be the spot for a new years eve drenching with pm thunder still looking likely. A surface trough with very moist air with lie across the upper North island tomorrow while a broad upper trough crosses the country. Convergence due to a SW change pushing into the NI should trigger a few thunderstorms from about Rotorua across to Gisborne.

Over the South Island the air looks cold enough for some late afternoon/evening convection over east Otago with a few heavy showers on the cards. 700mb temperatures -5C which is quite chilly for December and does look like there will be convergence from onshore winds.
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Richard
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Re: New Years Eve Weather

Unread post by Richard »

NZstorm wrote:Still looks like Gisborne will be the spot for a new years eve drenching with pm thunder still looking likely. A surface trough with very moist air with lie across the upper North island tomorrow while a broad upper trough crosses the country. Convergence due to a SW change pushing into the NI should trigger a few thunderstorms from about Rotorua across to Gisborne.

Over the South Island the air looks cold enough for some late afternoon/evening convection over east Otago with a few heavy showers on the cards. 700mb temperatures -5C which is quite chilly for December and does look like there will be convergence from onshore winds.

\:D/ \:D/ \:D/ Hope you are right Steven
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Michael
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Re: New Years Eve Weather

Unread post by Michael »

NZstorm wrote:Convergence due to a SW change pushing into the NI

q- :lol: Hope you are Wrong Steven
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