General October Weather

tornado · Unread post by **tornado** » Thu 10/10/2019 08:31

metservice has a low risk for thunderstorms from afternoon today over the upper north island saying there could be heavy rain 5-15mm

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Thu 10/10/2019 10:26

tornado wrote: Thu 10/10/2019 08:31 metservice has a low risk for thunderstorms from afternoon today over the upper north island saying there could be heavy rain 5-15mm

tomorrow looks the low risk to me. But certainly moist out there today with dp15C.

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Thu 10/10/2019 11:39

I wouldn't rule out a chance of late afternoon thunderstorms in Canterbury tomorrow also, probably inland.

David · Unread post by **David** » Thu 10/10/2019 14:30

Brief little downpour here a little while ago, a quick 5mm

Chris Raine · Unread post by **Chris Raine** » Thu 10/10/2019 15:43

26.2mm of rain to 0900 this morning.SE breeze and 10C Overcast with int lgt rain currently .Still forecasting more significant rain here later today .Quite gloomy currently .Ground has absorbed rain Ok so no surface flooding

Chris W · Unread post by **Chris W** » Thu 10/10/2019 18:12

Rain and a humid almost subtropical feel in Amberley from this crossing low.

tornado · Unread post by **tornado** » Thu 10/10/2019 18:27

David wrote: Thu 10/10/2019 14:30 Brief little downpour here a little while ago, a quick 5mm

yes. quite enjoyed that downpour. my plants needed it after a dry last few days. and after the warm day yesterday. man that wasnt drizzle like forecast. it was heavy for a few minutes then stopped.

snowstormwatcher · Unread post by **snowstormwatcher** » Thu 10/10/2019 19:46

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: Wed 09/10/2019 18:33 Looks like a week of 'clagg' coming up for the rest of the week and into next week.
I hope not.

Its started today, Weak southerly change here early this morning with low cloud And its now starting to drizzle.

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Thu 10/10/2019 21:48

Getting some seriously heavy rain here in Nelson, quite concerning if it continues on has been steady to torrential at times since 5pm.
Would be bang on 50mm+ by now, surprised there is no watch or warning for this as its feeding in over the top of the south and going nowhere fast.
Weve had some big rainfalls since ive been up here in Nelson from early June, but this one tops them all by far.
Id say some flooding and slips by morning.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Thu 10/10/2019 22:10

Yes, I noticed that on the rain radar that the north SI was getting a lot of rain.
I see in the OTD today's they had warnings out for heavy rain down Dunedin way.
I don't know why tony T and MS have low chances of thunderstorms down here. Very unlikely conditions like that to happen with the Clagg we are getting down here.

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Thu 10/10/2019 22:26

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: Thu 10/10/2019 22:10 Yes, I noticed that on the rain radar that the north SI was getting a lot of rain.
I see in the OTD today's they had warnings out for heavy rain down Dunedin way.
I don't know why tony T and MS have low chances of thunderstorms down here. Very unlikely conditions like that to happen with the Clagg we are getting down here.

Instability in the middle of the trough. The low cloud layer should be pretty thin, so if the sun can break through then the fuse is lit. If not, then its your favourite clagg sandwich breakfast lunch and dinner.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Thu 10/10/2019 22:39

Thanks for tony.
at the moment, I think i would favour the last 10 words of your posting

tornado · Unread post by **tornado** » Fri 11/10/2019 05:19

lightning strike near the auckland airport according to blitz. low risk for auckland. but i will listen out and keep looking at blitz

David · Unread post by **David** » Fri 11/10/2019 07:22

16mm this morning, nice top up for the garden

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Fri 11/10/2019 07:25

Looks like Auckland gets a sunny weekend with high's 18C.

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Fri 11/10/2019 07:29

A nice wee topaupa last night here too with 5mm, but, we have the low clagg this morning though, hope you are right Tony in that it clears away, if not today, Sat and Sunday look as though cloud buildups are likely.

tornado · Unread post by **tornado** » Fri 11/10/2019 07:40

a good 19mm here. and i wonder where the storm to the east of northland is heading to. I heard a very low rumble earlier on and a strike was recorded near the airport too.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Fri 11/10/2019 10:45

TonyT wrote: Thu 10/10/2019 11:39 I wouldn't rule out a chance of late afternoon thunderstorms in Canterbury tomorrow also, probably inland.

Bright sunshine here in ChCh at present, mild too. Will see what transpires

Chris W · Unread post by **Chris W** » Fri 11/10/2019 11:11

TonyT wrote: Thu 10/10/2019 22:26
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: Thu 10/10/2019 22:10 Yes, I noticed that on the rain radar that the north SI was getting a lot of rain.
I see in the OTD today's they had warnings out for heavy rain down Dunedin way.
I don't know why tony T and MS have low chances of thunderstorms down here. Very unlikely conditions like that to happen with the Clagg we are getting down here.
Instability in the middle of the trough. The low cloud layer should be pretty thin, so if the sun can break through then the fuse is lit. If not, then its your favourite clagg sandwich breakfast lunch and dinner.

Breaks in the clouds west of Amberley Tony, still claggy to the east.

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Fri 11/10/2019 11:24

Mostly blue sky here now, will see what the afternoon brings

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Fri 11/10/2019 13:11

Showers now developing to my NW which is the direction the buliding clouds are moving from, light SE wind at ground level so perfect conditions.

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Fri 11/10/2019 14:15

Clouds is starting to build up reasonable high now

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Fri 11/10/2019 14:23

IMG_20191011_142142.jpg

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Fri 11/10/2019 14:52

The clagg won in Christchurch. Good luck up there Richard

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Fri 11/10/2019 15:35

Radar indicates a few cells around as at 3:30pm - notable around Oxford to Springfield and maybe one up Amberley way?

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