of the gfs/nogaps models do like to make extreme predictions
stiil, keep an eye on the developing system over queensland/north tasman
it might miss the boat though
We need some action weather or this place will die!
Forum rules
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.
For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.
For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
-
- Posts: 12305
- Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 16:30
- Location: West Coast Road, Manukau Peninsula, North Island
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
- Contact:
- Michael
- Posts: 7210
- Joined: Thu 27/03/2003 12:04
- Location: Rainy Manurewa, Auckland - "City of Gales"
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 1 time
- Contact:
Not here there have been sunny periods but Rain in between up here What happened to your southerlies in WN that used to frequent in the 60's and 70's
![Question :?:](./images/smilies/icon_question.gif)
RWood wrote:Sunny dry month here so far, and. quite mild. SE storm for this w/end in earlier prognoses? - sounds like bollocks!Gary Roberts wrote:The springlike weather continues here in Omarama and the Mackenzie, with dense cloud and light rain, with cool-to-warm temperatures.
What are the prospects for action weather here in the next few days? Good, or fading?
I don't mind this "inaction" at all.
-
- Posts: 3745
- Joined: Sat 24/01/2004 16:56
- Location: Wellington
- Has thanked: 188 times
- Been thanked: 123 times
Don't have objective data on hand about windflow directions but I suspect that by comparison with those times we're getting more SW quadrant winds and fewer SE quadrant winds. I do know that annual summary reports ("Meteorological Observations", Met. Misc. Pub. 109) stated that from 1974 to mid-1980 there was some degree of easterly anomaly over the NZ region. One of the ways this may have manifested itself could be the opposite to the above - more "SE" and less "SW". The "El Nino-favouring" decadal oscillation phase from about 1977-1998 I suspect would tend to reverse this. I think windspeeds here have dropped a little anyway - max. gust data (1972-present) support this. But one definitely feels that southerly events are less common and mostly less severe - the odd big storm gets a lot of publicity partly because people are much less used to them now!?Michael wrote:Not here there have been sunny periods but Rain in between up here What happened to your southerlies in WN that used to frequent in the 60's and 70's
-
- Posts: 2363
- Joined: Sun 18/01/2004 18:59
- Location: Omarama
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
Yep, I recall the big southerly blows being a lot more common when I was kid. Of course that could be selective memory at work, but I don't think so.RWood wrote:Don't have objective data on hand about windflow directions but I suspect that by comparison with those times we're getting more SW quadrant winds and fewer SE quadrant winds. I do know that annual summary reports ("Meteorological Observations", Met. Misc. Pub. 109) stated that from 1974 to mid-1980 there was some degree of easterly anomaly over the NZ region. One of the ways this may have manifested itself could be the opposite to the above - more "SE" and less "SW". The "El Nino-favouring" decadal oscillation phase from about 1977-1998 I suspect would tend to reverse this. I think windspeeds here have dropped a little anyway - max. gust data (1972-present) support this. But one definitely feels that southerly events are less common and mostly less severe - the odd big storm gets a lot of publicity partly because people are much less used to them now!?Michael wrote:Not here there have been sunny periods but Rain in between up here What happened to your southerlies in WN that used to frequent in the 60's and 70's
-
- Posts: 18588
- Joined: Wed 12/03/2003 22:08
- Location: Raukapuka Geraldine
- Has thanked: 1791 times
- Been thanked: 1433 times
-
- Posts: 2363
- Joined: Sun 18/01/2004 18:59
- Location: Omarama
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0