Yesterdays gfs run was showing a NE. Todays model not showing that. There needs to be onshore flow to get the moisture convergence.NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: ↑Fri 30/03/2018 13:00Yes. I'll be around to keep an eye on this, but I have a do to go to in Rakaia tomorrow night.
On another topic, I have heard NIWA are forecasting a warm autumn for NZ with wet conditions in the north. I am not convinced about wet conditions in the north, could easily remain quite ridgey. But I am hoping the polar jet stream gets into the Tasman in May as that is a great recipe for Thunderstorms over the west of the NI. April tends to be too early for the polar jet getting this far north.