Re: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Gita impacts NZ Feb 18th-21st

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Tue 20/02/2018 17:14

Interesting how it got to 31C in Hawkes Bay, yet down here the temperature has been sitting around the 11C mark all day and now we have the fire going, plus I noticed one or 2 of the neighbours have lit their fires judging from light wood-smoke from their chimneys

Rain here has been continuous since yesterday but the winds have been light from between the NE and SE, well so far.

joecam · Unread post by **joecam** » Tue 20/02/2018 17:15

Parts of Kaiteretere Motueka & Takaka hill now being evacuated due to slips, flooding. Karamea has a little bit of blue sky ! Not sure how to post pics but I have some nice clouds overhead Karamea and its 23 degrees.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Tue 20/02/2018 17:20

Some serious surface flooding in Rangiora, news hub out filming it all. Rain heavier now than any point.

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Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Tue 20/02/2018 17:21

Certainly getting heavier all the time here in town now. Past a slip on Cashmere Rd on way home, lots of surface flooding. High tide after9pm a real worry

Cyclone Tracy · Unread post by **Cyclone Tracy** » Tue 20/02/2018 17:23

Westport airport down to 979 hPa (5.18pm)

Blowy · Unread post by **Blowy** » Tue 20/02/2018 17:27

Good Luck chaps, feel guilty in HB with 31 degrees, bit blustery now but no rain, 998 and 50kmph gusts, could so easily have been us getting snotted, usually is this coast.

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Tue 20/02/2018 17:37

Blowy wrote: Tue 20/02/2018 17:27 Good Luck chaps, feel guilty in HB with 31 degrees, bit blustery now but no rain, 998 and 50kmph gusts, could so easily have been us getting snotted, usually is this coast.

Still a couple of months of cyclone season left Blowy, plenty of time for your turn...

spacefish · Unread post by **spacefish** » Tue 20/02/2018 17:56

Sticky (and stinky) hot here in Castlecliff Wanganui. Every 5-15 minutes we get bursts of wind which last for around the same amount of time before dying out to almost dead calm. Can't leave windows or doors on the north/west side open because when the wind comes they'll just about get ripped open/off.

Big black ominouos clouds skirting all the way around us, but the sun is mostly out overhead and no rain since last night. Temp would eaisly be 28-29 degrees.

To all in the beloved mainland, stay safe!

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Tue 20/02/2018 17:58

TonyT wrote: Tue 20/02/2018 17:37
Blowy wrote: Tue 20/02/2018 17:27 Good Luck chaps, feel guilty in HB with 31 degrees, bit blustery now but no rain, 998 and 50kmph gusts, could so easily have been us getting snotted, usually is this coast.
Still a couple of months of cyclone season left Blowy, plenty of time for your turn...

yer Blowy $\:D/$ ... mind you ya 31deg does sound nice

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Tue 20/02/2018 18:35

66mm so far here in Geraldine.

As far as the Rakaia rain radar goes, Ive never seen the whole of Canterbury so blue

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Tue 20/02/2018 18:55

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote: Tue 20/02/2018 18:35 66mm so far here in Geraldine.
As far as the Rakaia rain radar goes, Ive never seen the whole of Canterbury so blue

And there would be more blue too if the radar was capable to penetrating this low cloud cover further afield.

64mm here so far

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Tue 20/02/2018 19:06

87mm here now

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Area51 · Unread post by **Area51** » Tue 20/02/2018 19:10

Northerly finally turned up at Wellington. 20-35kts with forecast for airport suggesting gusting 55kts in the near future.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Tue 20/02/2018 19:18

Another 50mm before midnight? Chch will be dire. State of Emergency declared in Selwyn now too

spike_01 · Unread post by **spike_01** » Tue 20/02/2018 19:24

Finally arrived in Welly.. Some sideways rain and gales at 7pm..

Calmer now, but expecting more..

Wildland · Unread post by **Wildland** » Tue 20/02/2018 19:42

Right on cue.
Chris Brandolino mentioned NIWA's modelling for Wellington in an interview on RNZ National this afternoon. He said that the calm would continue through the evening commute period but wind would rapidly rise by 7:30 pm.

At Tawa the calm that had persisted since yesterday abruptly ended at 6:40 p.m. By 7 o'clock we had northerly gusts with horizontal rain. The fog which had lifted mid-afternoon is now back - there's a lot of "clagg" out there now.

A nice bit of last-minute forecasting there, NIWA.

At Tawa now 50 mm for day, gusty northerly, low cloud, fog.

I just hope we won't be in for what has been battering Taranaki, Nelson and Westland ahead of us.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Tue 20/02/2018 19:44

still 27 degrees in Palmy at 7:30pm, that must be uncomfortable. Certainly plenty of cold air feeding it from down here, max temp of 12 degrees for us. Still no wind....43mm of rain and countaing rapidly

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Tue 20/02/2018 19:47

One other thing worth commenting on, with every model run over the last 48 hours the predicted freezing level in Otago and South Canty has dropped. When the dust settles in the next few days, I expect we will see pictures of snow on the southern ranges to reasonably low levels (for the time of year). This would be the coldest air to arrive over NZ since probably late October.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Tue 20/02/2018 19:49

Philip Duncan calling a category 1 when it makes landfall, very poor form of him but then again no surprise there.

https://youtu.be/RdG8cX7fg6U

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Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Tue 20/02/2018 19:52

Wow, 255mm and still raining in the Kaikoura Ranges....yikes https://twitter.com/MetService

Edit make that 288mm
https://www.ecan.govt.nz/data/rainfall-data/?loc=N

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Tue 20/02/2018 20:13

Add Taranaki, Nelson Tasman and Grey Districts to the State of Emergncy declarations now

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Tue 20/02/2018 20:15

Gray was about 6.30pm

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03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Tue 20/02/2018 20:15

Heathcote River atm doesn't look like breaking it banks atm, heavy rain still looking like it may arrive later now. High tide in an hour

joecam · Unread post by **joecam** » Tue 20/02/2018 20:15

Extremely strong gusts now in Hector. My Landcruiser is parked into wind and have to wait between gusts to open door. Its impossible to open otherwise and also very dangerous. It could hurt ! No rain.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Tue 20/02/2018 20:17

03Stormchaser wrote: Tue 20/02/2018 20:15 Heathcote River atm doesn't look like breaking it banks atm, heavy rain still looking like it may arrive later now. High tide in an hour

Another 30mm of rain and the tide won't matter mate. Thats why we've declared

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