Shepherds Valley WX wrote:Significant rain even here in Upper Hutt captured by my WX Station here:
http://home.clear.net.nz/pages/andrew.c ... e/SVWX.htm
... I think I asked in another thread why we don't get many TS in the Wellington/Hutt region, I'd be interested to know why, if any of you know!
Still raining heavily here and very windy.

Hi,
To get thunderstorms over the Wellington City area you need wind convergence happening right over the city along with it being unstable ofcourse.
There are two setups that come to mind...
1. Like today and maybe yesterday - an area of wind convergence sets up in a very strong northwest flow with a slightly more westerly flow to the southwest of the convergence line. This provides the trigger. Often it is the top of the Marlborough Sounds that creates the first part of the convergence (a bit like the way you see a long ropy length of shower cloud that comes off Banks Peninsula in a southerly flow and streams all the way along the Kaikoura coast to slam sometimes quite heavy showers either into Wellington or Wairarapa.) Sometimes (often) the convergence sets up so that the line of showers (or thunderstorms) travels over the Upper Hutt area or generally further north over the Kaitoke area. But if the flow has sufficient northerly in it, then the action can come down into the Wellington City area.
2. When a strong southerly flow blasts through Cook Strait and meets a moist northwesterly (given an unstable environment).
So to get TS over Wellington City, the convergence has to occur over the city, and for a relatively small target, it doesn't happen all that frequently.
In summer time, the heating inland creates quite a good southerly flow (15kts or so) up the Hutt Valley and showers or thunderstorms often trigger up over the Kaitoke area. The southerly gets squeezed by the narrowing of the Hutt Valley but it also gets lifted the further inland it penetrates. Even in regular showery southerly flow, the Hutt Valley is the last to clear for these reasons (the city may be dry for half a day or more in this dying southerly situation).
Hope this helps.
Paul