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For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
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NZstorm
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Location: Grey Lynn, Auckland

Unread post by NZstorm »

Waitakeres offer alot of protection to AK City/North Shore in a westerly, even when the air is deeply unstable. But in a southwesterly, no protection. And Manukau suburbs cop it on an unstable westerly. :D

Re unstable weather pending. Judging by models air will turn deeply unstable(thunderstorms) later next week over NZ. But at this stage thats a long way off. :)
NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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Location: Raukapuka Geraldine

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

NZstorm wrote:Re unstable weather pending. Judging by models air will turn deeply unstable(thunderstorms) later next week over NZ. But at this stage thats a long way off. :)
Well MetService are predicting the possibilty of thunderstorms developing over the plains tomorrow.
See what happens? :D

JohnGaul
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NZstorm
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Unread post by NZstorm »

Upper air over NZ is quite cool for the time of year. 500hpa at Invercargill today is -18. The rather steep lapse rates combined with some surface convergence tomorrow (sthly change vs NE) may lead to Isolated cb/ts formation over Canterbury . As you say John, see what happens. :D

Overcaste and cool in AK. Big inversion sitting over us with quite a cool atmodphere. 850hpa temp just 4C. Thats more typical of winter. :o
Dean.
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Unread post by Dean. »

The upper air maybe cool but its singlet and shorts weather here in Ashburton today,quite a pleasant 24 degrees with no wind.
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Willoughby
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Unread post by Willoughby »

Stupid february. I was looking foward to temps of over 30c. Now it's hovering around 19-24c, and the minimum temps are slowly creeping down to that frost mark, next month expected. :cry: Though it's nice with next to no wind in the past few days.
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Michael
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Location: Rainy Manurewa, Auckland - "City of Gales"

Unread post by Michael »

Overcast yet again in this city of never ending winter :-({|=
Dean.
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Unread post by Dean. »

Another fine,clear,warm day with only a thin layer of high cloud.
8)
NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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Location: Raukapuka Geraldine

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

NZstorm wrote:Upper air over NZ is quite cool for the time of year. 500hpa at Invercargill today is -18. The rather steep lapse rates combined with some surface convergence tomorrow (sthly change vs NE) may lead to Isolated cb/ts formation over Canterbury . As you say John, see what happens. :D
Yes. Lets see what happens :)

As Deano said:

Another clear warm day with only a thin layer of high cloud

Same here in ChCh.
Very tranquil here at 23C :)

JohnGaul
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Michael
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Unread post by Michael »

The Gale has gone but some much needed sunshine would be appreciated in the next few weeks before winter really bites ;) Only 18c here 100% mucky skies :x
Dean.
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Unread post by Dean. »

I have just realised Michael actually lives at the Auckland Islands.
That explains the gale southwesters and driving rain. :roll:
spwill
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Location: Mt Eden Auckland

Unread post by spwill »

Could have this Overcaste cold gloom over Auckland until Wendsday, hope not. The March sunshine has not been able to burn it off so we need a change in air mass or wind. :(
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NZstorm
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Unread post by NZstorm »

looks like the low level winds should change from SW to NE/N tomorrow.
That will clear the Sc and lift temps a bit. 21C today.
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Michael
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Unread post by Michael »

Cloudy and cool as usual here waiting for the SWer to start blowing too :evil:
NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Michael wrote:Cloudy and cool as usual here waiting for the SWer to start blowing too :evil:

Thats nice. ;)

Off to Hanmer for the WE for a wee soaking in the hotpools \:D/


JohnGaul
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GraemeWi
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Unread post by GraemeWi »

Hmmm long range forecast Monday... could have an ex-tropical low just north of North cape. System currently sitting off the Northern Queensland coast.

G
Dean.
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Unread post by Dean. »

Looks like that tropical low might turn into a cyclone on Saturday,adding more rain to the 2150mm that has fallen in Cairns so far in 2004.
May slide down towards NZ as well :D .
spwill
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Unread post by spwill »

It would be interesting to see that active low up to the NE of NZ come down this way but long Range charts keep that activity up there . There looks to be a strong run of Highs moving in to the central Tasman keeping NZ largely in cool SW flow and very uninteresting. :(
Gary Roberts
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Unread post by Gary Roberts »

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:
Michael wrote:Cloudy and cool as usual here waiting for the SWer to start blowing too :evil:

Thats nice. ;)

Off to Hanmer for the WE for a wee soaking in the hotpools \:D/


JohnGaul
NZTS
HANMER?! Pfft! Maruia Springs, man, MARUIA SPRINGS!