Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
Forum rules
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.
For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.
For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
-
- Moderator
- Posts: 5171
- Joined: Fri 10/02/2006 15:14
- Location: Halswell, Christchurch
- Has thanked: 740 times
- Been thanked: 941 times
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
Looks like a S-SE flow with only a few showers in the fiordland region. Routeburn is often at its finest in such conditions
Christchurch Rocks
- Tornado Tim
- Moderator
- Posts: 4920
- Joined: Sun 19/10/2008 17:17
- Location: Raglan, Waikato / Hillcrest, Hamilton
- Has thanked: 102 times
- Been thanked: 202 times
- Contact:
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
It looks awesome on the SAT image, clouds feeding into it.
It is about time we get some more interesting weather.
It is about time we get some more interesting weather.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
NZAPStrike.net - NZ Aus Pacific Strike Network
-
- Posts: 9956
- Joined: Sun 29/06/2003 22:39
- Location: Mt Eden Auckland
- Has thanked: 881 times
- Been thanked: 894 times
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
Snow lying, a gale force southerly on exposed parts of the Routeburn track with atleast snow flurries, good luck.only a few showers in the fiordland region.
-
- Banned
- Posts: 87
- Joined: Tue 08/07/2008 19:12
- Location: Lake Tekapo
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
I get hammered every night already!southernthrash wrote:Ummmm there is potential for you to get hammered
I look on metvue and there forecast maps show only lighter stuff for my area but some quite heavy looking weather for up north. If they are wrong then may be we will get some heavy weather down here to but it is looking like a northern event to me.
Still we can't complain about the amount of rain we got! The lakes are fuller than they have been for years and specially so for this time of year. I was operating at Benmore while we were spilling more a 1000 cumecs and it was bloody spectacular.
-
- Moderator
- Posts: 5171
- Joined: Fri 10/02/2006 15:14
- Location: Halswell, Christchurch
- Has thanked: 740 times
- Been thanked: 941 times
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
be just like last year then...usually is snow of the track this time of year
Christchurch Rocks
-
- Posts: 339
- Joined: Sun 12/08/2007 15:48
- Location: Invercargill / Dunedin / Queenstown
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
I wouldn't rely on metvuw, great resource no doubt, but shop around.waterboy wrote:I get hammered every night already!southernthrash wrote:Ummmm there is potential for you to get hammered
I look on metvue and there forecast maps show only lighter stuff for my area but some quite heavy looking weather for up north. If they are wrong then may be we will get some heavy weather down here to but it is looking like a northern event to me.
Still we can't complain about the amount of rain we got! The lakes are fuller than they have been for years and specially so for this time of year. I was operating at Benmore while we were spilling more a 1000 cumecs and it was bloody spectacular.
-
- Posts: 9956
- Joined: Sun 29/06/2003 22:39
- Location: Mt Eden Auckland
- Has thanked: 881 times
- Been thanked: 894 times
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
Usually bugger all snow if any.be just like last year then...usually is snow of the track this time of year
-
- Moderator
- Posts: 5171
- Joined: Fri 10/02/2006 15:14
- Location: Halswell, Christchurch
- Has thanked: 740 times
- Been thanked: 941 times
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
I've been on that track most may's, for around 15 years and most mays there is a resonable dusting of snow. Not enough to be bad news, just enough to make it photogenicspwill wrote:Usually bugger all snow if any.be just like last year then...usually is snow of the track this time of year
Christchurch Rocks
-
- Banned
- Posts: 87
- Joined: Tue 08/07/2008 19:12
- Location: Lake Tekapo
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
Hee hee! Shop around??? I'm not trying to buy the weather I want!!southernthrash wrote:I wouldn't rely on metvuw, great resource no doubt, but shop around.
The weather and climate guys at work say that we could get quite a bit of rain on Thursday but the most of this stuff will be up north.
Thats good to know and let them get the bloody white stuff for a change! I can certanly live with out it!
-
- Moderator
- Posts: 5171
- Joined: Fri 10/02/2006 15:14
- Location: Halswell, Christchurch
- Has thanked: 740 times
- Been thanked: 941 times
Re: May Weather
Looking at the overnight rain radars it looks like that low formed just off the coast of Rakaia.
Good rain.
This system looks like developing into a 7-10 day event!
Good rain.
This system looks like developing into a 7-10 day event!
Christchurch Rocks
- gllitz
- Posts: 1335
- Joined: Wed 04/01/2006 11:45
- Location: Perth, Western Australia
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
Check out what TonyT has said here:
http://www.stuff.co.nz/the-press/news/2 ... ales-in-SI
I love this quote:
"All bets are off. It is an 'anything goes' weather pattern"
http://www.stuff.co.nz/the-press/news/2 ... ales-in-SI
I love this quote:
"All bets are off. It is an 'anything goes' weather pattern"
"Saru mo ki kara ochiru"
- CHCH Weather Chaser
- Posts: 3460
- Joined: Thu 26/06/2008 16:10
- Location: Halswell / Hoon Hay Christchurch
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
Latest GFS run showing good numbers again for Canterbury. Metservice forecast for Christchurch on Sunday is "Rain, Sleet at times" Rural forecast suggesting snow to 400m from Sunday through to Tuesday. Rain as eased to a few showers in the past hour. Some of the showers have been short but sharp (heavy). This system is now up to 36mm
Just had a very heavy downpoor laced with hail
Just had a very heavy downpoor laced with hail
Last edited by CHCH Weather Chaser on Wed 06/05/2009 11:59, edited 2 times in total.
Reporting Live from Southern Christchurch
Leighton Thomas
2014 Rainfall: Jan: 21mm Feb: 76mm March: 170mm April: 201mm YTD: 468mm
Leighton Thomas
2014 Rainfall: Jan: 21mm Feb: 76mm March: 170mm April: 201mm YTD: 468mm
- TonyT
- Moderator
- Posts: 2893
- Joined: Thu 08/05/2003 11:09
- Location: Amberley, North Canterbury
- Has thanked: 354 times
- Been thanked: 1175 times
-
- Banned
- Posts: 87
- Joined: Tue 08/07/2008 19:12
- Location: Lake Tekapo
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
Will south canty cop this? All the road snow warnings were removed over night and the guys who came up from manapouri this morning said there was none on the Lindis pass. There doesnt seem to be any over night on the mountains around Tekapo or south. The light showers last night looks like it thinned out the snow from last weeks.
The weather section at work is still saying heavy rain for the catchemnet Thursday is what we will see and that we won't get any thing except rain and the real heavy stuff will be north of here if it happens at all. Interesting this weather game!
The weather section at work is still saying heavy rain for the catchemnet Thursday is what we will see and that we won't get any thing except rain and the real heavy stuff will be north of here if it happens at all. Interesting this weather game!
- CHCH Weather Chaser
- Posts: 3460
- Joined: Thu 26/06/2008 16:10
- Location: Halswell / Hoon Hay Christchurch
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
The snow warnings were for the "pre system of the low" if ya like. Dont read anything into those being lifted. The main system is due to start on Friday and go down hill from then then the coldest air looks like Sun to Tuesday. So thats when to keep ya eyes out.waterboy wrote:Will south canty cop this? All the road snow warnings were removed over night and the guys who came up from manapouri this morning said there was none on the Lindis pass. There doesnt seem to be any over night on the mountains around Tekapo or south. The light showers last night looks like it thinned out the snow from last weeks.
The weather section at work is still saying heavy rain for the catchemnet Thursday is what we will see and that we won't get any thing except rain and the real heavy stuff will be north of here if it happens at all. Interesting this weather game!
Reporting Live from Southern Christchurch
Leighton Thomas
2014 Rainfall: Jan: 21mm Feb: 76mm March: 170mm April: 201mm YTD: 468mm
Leighton Thomas
2014 Rainfall: Jan: 21mm Feb: 76mm March: 170mm April: 201mm YTD: 468mm
- Storm Struck
- Posts: 4884
- Joined: Wed 17/11/2004 21:25
- Location: Belfast Christchurch
- Has thanked: 23 times
- Been thanked: 397 times
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
Well a reasonable amount of rain from this weaker low system so far which is almost on the clear, up to 21mm of rain since 8pm last night which got heavy around midnight-2am for awhile.
Heavy showers on and off today and a shower just before came down in a melted hail form, also known as a cheaters version to sleet .
Any idea why yesterdays posts were moved to the May Topic? i think that it is fair and sqaure that yesterdays and todays weather is related as a warm up to the big low system at the weekend.
By the way the posts are out of order who ever did it , i think we need to be abit more clearer on categorising topics more fairly.
Just as i thought latest models bring the numbers down again which is good, i did enjoy reading the article in the press this morning well worded Tony I was wondering when the media were going to jump in.
Cheers
Jason.
Heavy showers on and off today and a shower just before came down in a melted hail form, also known as a cheaters version to sleet .
Any idea why yesterdays posts were moved to the May Topic? i think that it is fair and sqaure that yesterdays and todays weather is related as a warm up to the big low system at the weekend.
By the way the posts are out of order who ever did it , i think we need to be abit more clearer on categorising topics more fairly.
Just as i thought latest models bring the numbers down again which is good, i did enjoy reading the article in the press this morning well worded Tony I was wondering when the media were going to jump in.
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
- CHCH Weather Chaser
- Posts: 3460
- Joined: Thu 26/06/2008 16:10
- Location: Halswell / Hoon Hay Christchurch
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
numbers down? interms of rain totals do you mean?
Reporting Live from Southern Christchurch
Leighton Thomas
2014 Rainfall: Jan: 21mm Feb: 76mm March: 170mm April: 201mm YTD: 468mm
Leighton Thomas
2014 Rainfall: Jan: 21mm Feb: 76mm March: 170mm April: 201mm YTD: 468mm
-
- Posts: 18567
- Joined: Wed 12/03/2003 22:08
- Location: Raukapuka Geraldine
- Has thanked: 1789 times
- Been thanked: 1430 times
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
Jasestrm wrote: Any idea why yesterdays posts were moved to the May Topic? i think that it is fair and sqaure that yesterdays and todays weather is related as a warm up to the big low system at the weekend.
By the way the posts are out of order who ever did it , i think we need to be abit more clearer on categorising topics more fairly.
Not guilty
32.7mm to 2:30pm today
JohnGaul
NZThS
JohnGaul
NZThS
NZThS
- Tornado Tim
- Moderator
- Posts: 4920
- Joined: Sun 19/10/2008 17:17
- Location: Raglan, Waikato / Hillcrest, Hamilton
- Has thanked: 102 times
- Been thanked: 202 times
- Contact:
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
The forecast seems to have all the lows dance around new zealand for the rest of this week and next week.
NZAPStrike.net - NZ Aus Pacific Strike Network
- TonyT
- Moderator
- Posts: 2893
- Joined: Thu 08/05/2003 11:09
- Location: Amberley, North Canterbury
- Has thanked: 354 times
- Been thanked: 1175 times
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
Me either?NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:Jasestrm wrote: Any idea why yesterdays posts were moved to the May Topic? i think that it is fair and sqaure that yesterdays and todays weather is related as a warm up to the big low system at the weekend.
By the way the posts are out of order who ever did it , i think we need to be abit more clearer on categorising topics more fairly.
Not guilty
JohnGaul
NZThS
-
- Posts: 21
- Joined: Fri 19/12/2008 21:11
- Location: Okaihau, Northland, NZ
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
Just a question for anyone who wants to answer, why isnt metservice forcasting severe weather for places like KeriKeri and Kaikohe because when i look at the Met VUW it looks a whole lot worse than whats being forcasted? Just curious
- Michael
- Posts: 7210
- Joined: Thu 27/03/2003 12:04
- Location: Rainy Manurewa, Auckland - "City of Gales"
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 1 time
- Contact:
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
I never been north of Pahia so how bad are the SWers there,but Cape Reianga seems to get them like Auckland guess youre on the lee side in Keri Keri.
windwatcher wrote:Just a question for anyone who wants to answer, why isnt metservice forcasting severe weather for places like KeriKeri and Kaikohe because when i look at the Met VUW it looks a whole lot worse than whats being forcasted? Just curious
-
- Posts: 21
- Joined: Fri 19/12/2008 21:11
- Location: Okaihau, Northland, NZ
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
Thanks a lot This site is so awesome. The SWers arent as bad as up at the cape, we seem to be pretty sheltered where I live. The forest seems to have some part in it.
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
Remember that MetVuw is exclusively GFS. So the worst model of the lot. Always makes me chuckle when you see people commenting (on that site) that MetVuw is the only place that always gets it right. As if the GFS is always right. As if any computer generated forecast with no human input can always be right.
-
- Posts: 21
- Joined: Fri 19/12/2008 21:11
- Location: Okaihau, Northland, NZ
- Has thanked: 0
- Been thanked: 0
Re: Major Low Pressure system - 8th to 12th May
wow i didnt know that. So what they show isnt exact? That explains my confusion at what they showed compared to what metservice was forcasting, thanks for that. I was looking at the isobars and thinking how windy it was going to get but metservice hadnt got anything about that. You learn something new everyday