Tropical Cyclone Gretel - Coral/Tasman Sea

[Awhituobs]

yes she's away now

[tornado]

this storm looks to still bring us a bit of rain/wind.

[Awhituobs]

yes, the GFS and UKMet models has it approaching close enough to bring some wind and rain alright

[Nev]

TC Gretel was named by the BoM around 4:30am NZDT this morning…

[Nev]

Gretel's now into Fiji Met's area of responsibly. Currently 40 knot max winds, central pressure 990 hPa and travelling ESE at about 21 knots. JTWC's initial track-map has her skirting fairly close to New Caledonia.

[Nev]

Conditions still marginally favourable for further intensification to Cat 2 tonight as she interacts with New Caledonia, then likely to transition tomorrow night to north of NZ, while still packing Cat 2 equivalent winds.

[Awhituobs]

can see the high cloud to the north of the 'tail' of Gretel already

[Awhituobs]

Pic

20200315_201538.jpg

[tornado]

we will get some rain/showers with this system. but not enough but still im not complaining. will be properly the windiest day on tuesday as well.

[jamie]

Where is the best place to view uk met model?


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[David]

Where is the best place to view uk met model?


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Don't know if it's the best place... but I use https://meteologix.com/nz/model-charts/ ... 2100z.html

[Nev]

Just for the record, Gretel was declared extratropical by MetService around 7am this morning NZDT, still with max winds of 50 knots and a central pressure now down to 979 hPa (1 hPa lower than at her peak 24 hrs ago). About 6 hours earlier, her centre passed within about 570 km NE of Cape Reinga as a Cat 2 TC.

[cbm]

Certainly kept it's strength close to NZ, this storm was a near miss. The two main models performed quite well, by about Saturday they had picked the pass to the northeast.

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