General May Weather

[Awhituobs]

Well it just changed to show that
So much variability in the models

[David]

Well it just changed to show that
So much variability in the models

Ah right, hadn't been following EC for a few days, after your comment I excitedly went to check... sooner or later we'll get a subtropical low surely

[tornado]

Showers have arrived already, wasn't really expecting anything until later today...

same. wasnt even expecting any precip till overnight tonight and tomorrow.

[Dean.]

21 degrees at 10.30pm on a May night....not bad for here

[Plato]

23C in Christchurch on May 2nd after 11pm! That surely must be close to a record.

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

23C in Christchurch on May 2nd after 11pm! That surely must be close to a record.

Yes. A warm day here in Geraldine, despite the persistent cloud cover from the west.
21.5C, recorded around 6pm, with it still being 16.6 at 10pm.
Cooling a little more towards midnight, with Northerly winds easing..

[Richard]

Slow moving rain band has dumped 18mm so far along with two lightning flashes and deep rumbles.

[NZstorm]

Warm upper air today is curbing the lightning output on the cb's but its not impossible for Auckland to get a rumble a later in the day. We need to score a heavy fall, this drought has gone on for too long.

Tomorrow looks the classic coldie thunder day for the North Island. Looks like some rumbles and localised hail likely over the western North Island tomorrow, especially south of Hamilton but Auckland is unstable after lunch.

Tuesday looking like more coldie thunder before the ridge comes in.

[Cyclone Tracy]

2.6mm over the last 24 hours. Latest model spread for today's potential rain locally is averaging 20 to 30mm. That would be a good start to May IF it verifies. Individual models showing

Access 30 to 40mm
Icon 30 to 40mm
GFS 30 to 40mm
MetService 30mm
FR 25 to 30mm
EC 15 to 20mm
UK 10 to 15mm
CMC 7 to 10mm

[David]

2.6mm over the last 24 hours.

Been lucky here getting shower lines off the gulf, 10mm since 1pm yesterday.

[tornado]

Warm upper air today is curbing the lightning output on the cb's but its not impossible for Auckland to get a rumble a later in the day. We need to score a heavy fall, this drought has gone on for too long.

Tomorrow looks the classic coldie thunder day for the North Island. Looks like some rumbles and localised hail likely over the western North Island tomorrow, especially south of Hamilton but Auckland is unstable after lunch.

Tuesday looking like more coldie thunder before the ridge comes in.

i hope for some heavy falls and thunder. i agree. this drought has gone too long. we need constant days of rain. 7mm here so far.

[tornado]

woah that is a decent band of rain. havnt seen that for a long time. its may now so should start getting wetter lol

i do think this trough/low pressure system will bring us some nice rain. even tho its not enough to break the drought

[jamie]

I’m holding less and less hope of this front delivering decent rain.


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[David]

Warm upper air today is curbing the lightning output on the cb's but its not impossible for Auckland to get a rumble a later in the day. We need to score a heavy fall, this drought has gone on for too long.

Tomorrow looks the classic coldie thunder day for the North Island. Looks like some rumbles and localised hail likely over the western North Island tomorrow, especially south of Hamilton but Auckland is unstable after lunch.

Tuesday looking like more coldie thunder before the ridge comes in.

Metservice has just a low risk for us tomorrow. Let's see!

[Razor]

23 magical degrees. Metservice modeling to total of 1.4mm tomorrow night for Chch.

[Orion]

Temp. here fallen a couple of degrees: 19.9° at the moment;
no sunshine now, and a very soggy-looking cloud layer to the west: I wouldn't mind if it rained here.

editing to add: humidity 41%

[NZ Thunderstorm Soc]

Nice looking Cb to the west (Thunderstorm corner) at the moment with some mammatus.

[Orion]

I got my wish: raindrops on the west-facing windows now.

Now 19.7°

[David]

Raining nicely here, just passed 15mm in the last 24 hours

[Razor]

25 degrees... hot!

[NZstorm]

Convection moving across Auckland at the moment with heavy rain.

[David]

A fabulous 28mm here since it started yesterday. Looks like it might be clearing earlier than expected.

[Brassnz]

27 mm here since midday... which isn’t much, but it’s almost a quarter of 2020 total rainfall thus far (112mm).

[Nev]

About 13mm here since midday, plus just over 1mm last night.

[Chris W]

Interesting with the NE that Lyttelton's official max temperature today (24C) is higher than the airport (23C) on Metservice. Certainly has been a gloriously warm day, unfortunately when running just now the shade wasn't much cooler than the sunny areas!

The slopes of the peninsula across the water are still golden, not surprisingly so. It's beautiful.