General February Weather

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Mon 15/02/2016 16:30

Amazing how green and lush things are at whakamaru and South Waikato. Even saw silage being made. Meanwhile it's brown at home.

I'm at palmy for the week this week. Hoping to catch some decent weather but nothing looking overly interesting.

shovelopikis · Unread post by **shovelopikis** » Mon 15/02/2016 18:13

jamie wrote:Amazing how green and lush things are at whakamaru and South Waikato. Even saw silage being made. Meanwhile it's brown at home.

I'm at palmy for the week this week. Hoping to catch some decent weather but nothing looking overly interesting.

probably drove past our farm, just locked up another 50T of silage and its still growing

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Mon 15/02/2016 21:04

shovelopikis wrote: probably drove past our farm, just locked up another 50T of silage and its still growing

On the left heading south? Big John Deere towing a loader wagon?

Nev · Unread post by **Nev** » Tue 16/02/2016 07:42

Quite dark and overcast here this morn, with the odd brief drizzle/shower.

I see MS's computerised 2-hrly graphs show 98mm for Akld tomorrow, incl. 30mm in the last 2 hrs…

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Tue 16/02/2016 08:09

Yea saying 60mm for Hamilton. We don't get 60mm off a front. It's normally 30 and less. It takes a more complex setup to get more than 40mm for Hamilton.

David · Unread post by **David** » Tue 16/02/2016 09:06

Nev wrote:Quite dark and overcast here this morn, with the odd brief drizzle/shower.

I see MS's computerised 2-hrly graphs show 98mm for Akld tomorrow, incl. 30mm in the last 2 hrs…

Was a brief but very heavy shower around Panmure just after 8am on my drive to work, that caught be by surprise.

GFS has been showing over 100mm here next few days, not sure I believe it

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Tue 16/02/2016 09:33

GFS has been showing a very slow moving frontal zone over us around Thursday , there will be embedded heavy showers given our dewpoint temperature will be over 20C.

Camping in the Coromandel this weekend so hopefully fine weather by then.

einzack · Unread post by **einzack** » Tue 16/02/2016 15:41

Certainly been a warm couple of days on the east coast of the SI. We hit 31.5°C yesterday and currently sitting on 29.4°C today, with it looking like it'll go a bit higher.
Nice to have some warm days after many rather miserable ones, but 30's a bit on the warm side.....

Tornado Tim · Unread post by **Tornado Tim** » Tue 16/02/2016 15:53

jamie wrote:Yea saying 60mm for Hamilton. We don't get 60mm off a front. It's normally 30 and less. It takes a more complex setup to get more than 40mm for Hamilton.

Yes, last time I saw a front drop more than 60mm was due to the front completely stalling and staying stationary.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Tue 16/02/2016 19:11

Yes very warm in Rangiora the last two days with 33C yesterday and 32C today and currently 31C but not as hot in Christchurch i see.

Captain Salty · Unread post by **Captain Salty** » Tue 16/02/2016 20:22

I think (perhaps wrongly) around valentines day often coincides with the hottest spell of summer

Should be good for the cricket

ndoa · Unread post by **ndoa** » Tue 16/02/2016 20:49

Twizel is hot this month

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Tue 16/02/2016 21:07

That shot for twizel doesn't look much hotter than Hamiltons. Only got phone so can't post it but it does look similar.

melja · Unread post by **melja** » Wed 17/02/2016 04:24

Only 3 days 30 or above in hamilton and 13 in twizel, 10 days 28 or below in Hamilton and only 2 in twizel.
Good rain in Hokatika this morning with 34mm 2am hour and 40mm the next hour.

jamie · Unread post by **jamie** » Wed 17/02/2016 05:17

18 days since the 23rd January at 28 or above. Compare that to twizel of 17 days 28 and above since the 22nd jan.

Factor in the humidity difference (heat index for Hamilton sits into the 30's when just below 30).

Also factor the minimums, twizel between 6-16 and Hamilton 12-21.

Also factor how long the temp is that high for (with Hamiltons higher low it would sit at 28 or above much longer than twizel with it quickly dropping off there.

I would argue they aren't too dissimilar. Although your right, twizel is "hotter" according to these graphs.

Fom the 23 and 22 for Hamilton and twizel respectively I count the number days below 28 as 6 and 9. So makes a big difference if you include 28 or exclude 28.

Manukau heads obs · Wed 17/02/2016 06:46

good rain here currently and alot more to come by the looks,
worked out good...having the remains of the coral sea TC adding moisture fuel to a new tasman low

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Wed 17/02/2016 06:57

Be nice if there could be some spill over rain.

Warm night for sleeping, was 23.8deg at 4.00am

Orion · Unread post by **Orion** » Wed 17/02/2016 07:03

Eastern sky was orange a quarter of an hour ago, has faded a bit now.
Rain, bringing that lovely "tropical" scent it does at this time of year.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Wed 17/02/2016 07:16

Looks like the bulk of the rain will occur tonight/overnight for the North Island.

Looks like tomorrow we have a weak front slow moving across the North Island with a drizzle/heavy shower mix.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Wed 17/02/2016 08:08

ndoa wrote:Twizel is hot this month

Yes, a good run of very high maximum temperatures this Feb in Twizel.( by NZ standards)
In the case of Hamilton the humidity is a big factor with temperature, Waikato has the inland heating with regular high dewpoint temperatures.

Manukau heads obs · Wed 17/02/2016 08:09

running 2.2C above "average" here so far for Feb
http://www.weather-display.com/windy/gb ... taout.html

Manukau heads obs · Wed 17/02/2016 09:09

met service are talking about non convective rain over the NI
and yet were are getting pulsy convective heavy showers here...
they are not easy to see on the rain radar as they are covered by the general upper level rain
but you can see them running down in the NNE flow over northland

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Wed 17/02/2016 10:18

Seems to be some deep instability crossing over later tonight. The Bsch gfs suggests thunderstorms but I don't see any other triggers.

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Wed 17/02/2016 12:33

yes they do, and an likely area near the Canterbury coast

Richard · Unread post by **Richard** » Wed 17/02/2016 12:38

And having the Tasman sea continuing to warm this must be in enhancing the systems that what we are seeing over the next day or so.

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