Back from Stewart Island today where I did find the weather there quite warm as to what I expected.
Some pictures later. Expecting much cooler weather, took more clothes than expected but ended up spent most of the time tramping in T-shirt and shorts.
Metservice going all out on the west coast with a high risk of severe storms, then extended a moderate risk over to Chch. Had wondered as the frontal activity looked quite lively today from the models.
There were some ominous looking cloud to the south of Timaru whilst driving to Temuka today, glancing through the lower southerly stratus moving through.
I see later , the Blitz did record some strikes well out to the east in the Canterbury Bight.
Heard no sferics here.
Just a note that TSI (total solar irradiance) is in the middle of one of its significant drops. In the past I have noted that these tend to make cool airflows over NZ noticeably colder than the models predict, and we have a cool south to southwest period coming up next week. It will be interesting to see how the temperatures respond. We may well also see significant cold in other parts of the world. The TSI drop since October is about 0.5Wm2, or about 0.04% as we move closer to solar minimum. Doesn't sound like much, but we shall see.
Nice day here with not much wind but as you said, there, Tony, colder weather ahead for here
Stewart Island was lovely, some sheltered part out of the westerly was quite warm, nearly semi tropical with the golden sandy beaches.
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David wrote: Mon 19/02/2018 07:47
Very warm night in the upper NI. Min temp 21.7C here.
Very humid conditions, the overnight dewpoint temperature was 20C. I'm sure plenty of people will be finding it hard to sleep in this weather. Air conditioning needed.