NZ Weather Forum

Another 4.6mm of rain for today and remaining rather cloudy and dull and boring day for most of the day.
Fine out to sea.
Light NE.
Today's maximum was 11C.

-2c and dry frost, Hyde area, Central Otago

44mm in the last 30 days and just 0.4mm month to date. Really hoping Mon/Tue delivers 10+mm, nothing much in modelling beyond that

Sunny and much warmer day...Middlemarch
..end of the 150km bike ride

Awhituobs wrote: ↑Fri 09/10/2020 13:11 Sunny and much warmer day...Middlemarch
..end of the 150km bike ride

Well done, you made it.

Monday looks wet around the country. Hopefully Auckland gets downpours and I see you guys in cantubury has a thunder risk on Monday good luck for any good storms

mikestormchaser wrote: ↑Thu 08/10/2020 06:29 Nice bit of rain last night to water the garden.. bit of a cooler day on the cards today.

I see next monday has a hint of a change coming through mid afternoon which might post a risk of storms
Haven't really had many hints for awhile.

Could be an inspired call Mike! Still looks good for some storms on Monday afternoon/evening... potentially severe..?

tornado wrote: ↑Fri 09/10/2020 16:21 Monday looks wet around the country. Hopefully Auckland gets downpours and I see you guys in cantubury has a thunder risk on Monday good luck for any good storms

great minds think alike... was just typing something to Mike about the same thing, as above.

SE Central Otago is still suffering from drought conditions despite some recent rain and moisture
there is not much grass growth currently...
la Nina might mean a dry summer for them..but chance of inland thunderstorms?

Has been a droughty year. First Northland,wakato, Auckland,hawkes bay now otago . And cantubury is also dry I believe

Northern inland North Canterbury is not dry

Some interesting clouds over the 4 Peaks Range this afternoon, driving towards Woodbury.
After a frost this morning, a fine day with light NE this afternoon.
Today's maximum was 16C.

Still looking promising for storms Monday for much of the South Island.

Richard wrote: ↑Sat 10/10/2020 11:41 Still looking promising for storms Monday for much of the South Island.

Good luck . Looks to be raining here on Monday as well.

snowchaser01 wrote: ↑Fri 09/10/2020 16:22

mikestormchaser wrote: ↑Thu 08/10/2020 06:29 Nice bit of rain last night to water the garden.. bit of a cooler day on the cards today.

I see next monday has a hint of a change coming through mid afternoon which might post a risk of storms
Haven't really had many hints for awhile.

Could be an inspired call Mike! Still looks good for some storms on Monday afternoon/evening... potentially severe..?

Yes still a risk of thunder/ hail monday afternoon, but more of the risk will be inland Canterbury.
Richard might be in a good spot!

I dont think any storms will be severe Monday. Upper jet 500mb is only 15-20 knts. One major player missing for strong forcing as nzstorm has mentioned in the past.

Another light frosty start this morning resulted in a fine day but with increasing scattered mid-range cloud.
Light winds betwixt south and east.
Today' maximum, here, was 18.1C.

was a nice day in Dunners on saturday
Tomorrow (monday) start the long drive north...where is the action weather going to be?

Looks to be some good rain making potential there early to mid week for the country with that moist Tasman air/trough.

NZstorm wrote: ↑Sun 11/10/2020 09:37 Looks to be some good rain making potential there early to mid week for the country with that moist Tasman air/trough.

Yes. Looks to be the only chance of rain for the month. Thunder risk Eastern south island tomorrow. Don't think north island will get thunder but some useful rain

Canterbury does have a low risk of hail/thunderstorms tomorrow
I am driving to CHCH tomorrow.
chase is on haha

Awhituobs wrote: ↑Sun 11/10/2020 10:37 Canterbury does have a low risk of hail/thunderstorms tomorrow
I am driving to CHCH tomorrow.
chase is on haha

A bacic outlook map at this early stage. I'm picking a moderate risk for inland areas Monday morning.

Have only had 6mm this month. Really hope tommorow and Tuesday morning rain helps a bit.

A warm and windy day here today with some strong gusts from the North to NW sector, this afternoon.
Seeds from a neighbouring Golden Elm tree were blowing around, which made it look as thought it was snowing!
Today's maximum was 25C.
Winds dying down later this afternoon with it clearing apart from some nice lenticularis and Cc forms overhead in the upper atmos.

I have wilting grass on the farm which I’ve never seen early October before and the water table is very very low. I also see I’m now more than 450mm behind average for the year. If October doesn’t get wet I’ll be 500+ behind at November.


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^ I suppose the average will be maintained somehow, jamie, just you wouldn't want it all in one deluge, hey.

Very deep pink/orange sunrise sky just now.
Nor'west arch visible. 12.9°C.