Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
you can see that extra moisture band for north Canterbury that you are getting Richard on the rain radar
looks like its been fed a bit from moisture enjected from further north?
looks like its been fed a bit from moisture enjected from further north?
Brian Hamilton
www.weather-display.com/windy/gb/grahamsbeach.htm
www.weather-display.com/windy/gb/grahamsbeach.htm
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
Yes its quite interesting how its being feed in from the SE. Not a breath of wind at the moment
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
Banks Peninsula snow/rainshadow sheltering Chch this morning, so just cloudy. Could see a slight dusting of snow on Sugarloaf.
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
Had a bit of sleet and snow during the night here,but was quickly dissolved by the rain. 

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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
Quite a pleasant day in Rakaia, no wind, no rain just overcast and now blue sky appearing from the south. Not chilly cold outside either.
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
Looking a bit dark to the south of here at the moment. Prominent virga 

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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
One just came through now, fairly moderate enough to turn the lawn white in patches, but quickly through.
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
One thing in my opinion with these cold set ups is they arnt the tru wintry blasts we normally see without the convective clouds we would have, had the upper temperature aloft be alot colder. 500mb temp sitting on a mild -26 which in my mind is pretty warm for a winter cold outbreak.the CBs would lower the freezing level. These cold set ups are more at the surface. Inland places like castle hill should be getting a hammering with alot of the moisture pointing that way today.
Mike
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
0.5cm of snow recorded at 320m asl in Mid-Canterbury for this event, I wonder if those 500mb temps of around -26 was the cause of snow amounts being massively lower then forecast around that 300m asl level? Even with 850hpa temps of -7C and -8C around? Surely these forecasters who do this for a job would have picked that up though in their forecast? Something isn't adding up...mikestormchaser wrote: Mon 08/08/2022 13:22 One thing in my opinion with these cold set ups is they arnt the tru wintry blasts we normally see without the convective clouds we would have, had the upper temperature aloft be alot colder. 500mb temp sitting on a mild -26 which in my mind is pretty warm for a winter cold outbreak.the CBs would lower the freezing level. These cold set ups are more at the surface. Inland places like castle hill should be getting a hammering with alot of the moisture pointing that way today.
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
Clouds visible to the east at the moment have that yellowish cast to them that means 'snow'.
Temp. currently 4.9°, has fallen a little over the past hour or so.
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
Methven at 320 metres recorded 5cm here in Mid CanterburyBradley wrote:0.5cm of snow recorded at 320m asl in Mid-Canterbury for this event, I wonder if those 500mb temps of around -26 was the cause of snow amounts being massively lower then forecast around that 300m asl level? Even with 850hpa temps of -7C and -8C around? Surely these forecasters who do this for a job would have picked that up though in their forecast? Something isn't adding up...mikestormchaser wrote: Mon 08/08/2022 13:22 One thing in my opinion with these cold set ups is they arnt the tru wintry blasts we normally see without the convective clouds we would have, had the upper temperature aloft be alot colder. 500mb temp sitting on a mild -26 which in my mind is pretty warm for a winter cold outbreak.the CBs would lower the freezing level. These cold set ups are more at the surface. Inland places like castle hill should be getting a hammering with alot of the moisture pointing that way today.
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
Seeing them showers clearly on the radar at the moment. We are getting a few threatening looking showers here but they seem to be weakened as they are skirting around the edge of Banks Peninsular. I'm sort of sitting just off to side the shadow.

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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
The shower activity seems to be increasing offshore. We’ve been mostly dry all day. Just doing school pick up and another sleety shower falling, a lot heavier than the first.Orion wrote: Mon 08/08/2022 14:23Clouds visible to the east at the moment have that yellowish cast to them that means 'snow'.
Temp. currently 4.9°, has fallen a little over the past hour or so.
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
We havent had a lot of rain, 30mm in the last two days, the water table starts to drop a little next thing its back to how its been for weeks on end. At least the natives will handle sitting in water.
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
Hail here in the street in Geraldine around 1:40pm, sorry I mean 1pm.
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JohnGaul
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
Yes I'm just picking out some points, basic stuff really and it's only my opinion. There was no real cold upper troughing with the cold event. So nothing to enhance anything.Bradley wrote: Mon 08/08/2022 13:420.5cm of snow recorded at 320m asl in Mid-Canterbury for this event, I wonder if those 500mb temps of around -26 was the cause of snow amounts being massively lower then forecast around that 300m asl level? Even with 850hpa temps of -7C and -8C around? Surely these forecasters who do this for a job would have picked that up though in their forecast? Something isn't adding up...mikestormchaser wrote: Mon 08/08/2022 13:22 One thing in my opinion with these cold set ups is they arnt the tru wintry blasts we normally see without the convective clouds we would have, had the upper temperature aloft be alot colder. 500mb temp sitting on a mild -26 which in my mind is pretty warm for a winter cold outbreak.the CBs would lower the freezing level. These cold set ups are more at the surface. Inland places like castle hill should be getting a hammering with alot of the moisture pointing that way today.
I personally like a 700mb temp of -18 or colder for any chance sea level snow for coastal south island. Today was -16 at best. The THK levels way to warm. I'm no expert on snow systems aside generally like to concentrate on thunderstorms. Just my thoughts anyways
Mike
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
Another hail photo from today.
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JohnGaul
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
Here's another photo of the hail shower that moved across here just before 1pm today taken from the backroom window.
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JohnGaul
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
Some interesting conditions here this morning that I thought were worth a mention. I’ve been awake since 5am, light snow accumulations on the ground again. There’s been snow and sleet falling since I got up which stopped 15 minutes ago. There has been a steady accumulation of ice on the vehicles and house with the sleet falling which isn’t something that happens here often. Temp currently 0.9 degrees with the radar showing more showers coming.
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
Some pictures from inland Canterbury on Monday morning at 300 - 500m asl
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Wellington southerly front timelapse: www.youtube.com/watch?v=MBl3hsuIg2Q
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
After a good frost, and a red sunrise and sunset, a blue dome day eventuated. A light but cold southerly wind. Maximum temperature was 8.8C.
JohnGaul
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
A number of school bus services cancelled for Methven schools today due to what the locals are calling ‘very unexpected snowfall’ overnight.
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Re: Cold easterly airflow 7th - 12th Aug
Not surprised to hear the snowfall there. The THK levels overnight and today are cold, Colder than they were on Monday from what I saw on the GFS last night. Big frosts coming tonight and over the weekend, Over eastern areas and severe inland.darcyplumb wrote: Thu 11/08/2022 08:30 A number of school bus services cancelled for Methven schools today due to what the locals are calling ‘very unexpected snowfall’ overnight.
Need to be taking care on the roads for next few mornings.
Mike
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