Looking Good #2

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Looking Good #2

Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Looks like it may be good - and I'm sticking my my neck out for thunder in Christchurch - this WE

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Unread post by NZstorm »

Southland/West Coast looks good for thunder Friday.

I am not enthusiastic about thunder in Canterbury this weekend but I realise you are just suggesting it could be possible. ;)
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Unread post by tich »

I've looked at the latest models. GASP is predicting a west to southwest change by Saturday, but a cold one in the south. By Monday or Tuesday, there'll be snow in Greymouth if its forecast is correct (520 thickness cutting across middle of South Island in a strong west to southwest flow!), but as we all know it probably won't turn out that extreme (but it could - remember early July)
ECMWF goes for a low to the east of NZ this weekend - not good for the east if you're sick of wet weather. The second front on Monday looks a lot tamer than GASP's prognosis. AVN is somewhere between GASP and ECMWF, but with no second front reaching NZ at the end of the forecast period.

All in all, a pretty unsettled weekend - somewhere in NZ will be cold, wet, and windy. It's just that the models disagree where.

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Unread post by Dean. »

Im going with Blue Skies forecast for the weekend for Canterbury.
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Unread post by NZstorm »

Looks like a showery blast for the whole country with freash snow in the ranges (for skiers). The down side is the weather could be a bit damp for Eden Park Sat evening.
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Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Blue Skies have put a bit of a damper on the weather this We making it not much of a weather event.
I hope the thunder eventutes.
Good to hear Augie Auer back on National Radio this afternoon,in his fortnightly spots.

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Unread post by NZstorm »

John,
This weekends weather pattern would be good for thunder/large hail in Canterbury at a warmer time of year.
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Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

NZstorm wrote:John,
This weekends weather pattern would be good for thunder/large hail in Canterbury at a warmer time of year.
Yes, Steven you would probably be right but after a month of boring weather you may never know what may happen. ECMWF looked good the other day but now I'm not so sure.

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Unread post by Thunder »

Hey John!

Yes! Bring on the Thunderstorms! Unforutnately things tell me they won't be happening in the imediate future in Cantab. But then.........

Cheers
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Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Judging by sattelite pix, the spotty shower clouds seem to be moving up the West Coast (Might be a tornado in Cobden tomorrow !!!!).

The baro dropped very quickly early this morning here down to a 'peak' of 989.6hPa or millibars about 1pm, but then it had risen a little with a wind flow a more Sw to West direction from 7pm.

With this sort of scenario, anything could happen Aaron


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Unread post by Thunder »

Anything as long as it's a thunderstorm.....right? :)
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

its good to have the good old SWer /Wer back !
this low is going a bit of a loop/lunge, and might spread out a bit now, so more wind for further north of it maybe?
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