Thundery end to week?

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NZstorm
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Thundery end to week?

Unread post by NZstorm »

Looks like the end of the week could be thundery for parts of NZ, from inland Otago to Northland.
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spike_01
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Unread post by spike_01 »

Send it my way...

Sick of the Westerlies... :roll: 8)
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Unread post by spwill »

Could be providing the Low is not pushed North from the Central Tasman with a Ridge and SouthWesterlies moving in.
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Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

I hope so. 8-[
It was looking dangerously boring by ECMWF with yet another low pressure system hovvering around the top of the NI - YAWN ](*,)
with bugger all happening down south. :evil: :twisted: :evil: :twisted:
We need more disturbed (that's the magic word) SW coming through to deliver good weather here :D

JohnGaul
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Unread post by Storm Struck »

Yes I was going to mention about thursday and if it would be possible for thunder with the SW change coming up thr coast.
But yes some action perhaps for you guys too. 8)
Cheers
JAOSN.
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Willoughby
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Unread post by Willoughby »

Today..

Some thundery showers developing morning for Taranaki. Moving east-northeastwards with hail likely for the Plateau, possibly Taranaki.
Freezing levels: 1800-2200m
Tropopause height: about 8km, lowering.
Lowest 500mb temp will be -24c, becoming unstable especially around Rotorua with LI's down to -2 and CAPE of 300j/kg.
Looking quite cloudy so hopefully some lift somewhere.
Cb's off Westport just starting to fulfill now.

Cb tops should be low so if thunderstorms don't develop, atleast hail and heavy showers across the greater regions will :)

Fresh gusty southwest winds for Auckland, lighter westerlies elsewhere, clearing late light south to southeasterly.
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Michael
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Unread post by Michael »

It would be typical :evil:
Foggy Hamilton wrote: Fresh gusty southwest winds for Auckland, lighter westerlies elsewhere, clearing late light south to southeasterly.
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Unread post by squid »

yes send thundestroms up here mate hanging out for more action
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Michael
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Unread post by Michael »

:-({|= Winds now risen to Gale Force :evil: :( :cry: :-({|=
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Unread post by Willoughby »

Cumulonimbus heaven today that's for sure! :D

So fine weather tomorrow, few showers developing on Wednesday, rain developing on Thursday with thunderstorms likely from about Hamilton southwards at this stage. Auckland may escape most of the rain.. heaviest rain should fall from Taranaki to Tongariro NP.

Warm and muggy on Friday, and may lead to scattered thunderstorms over the North Island and inland-upper South Island

Becoming fine and warm again by Saturday?

Quite a bit of variation in the models so let's see! ;)
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Unread post by Storm Struck »

Foggy you got any models for Wednesday what it looks like over canty as SW change goes through?
Also although looking at the winds they could be quite light and the change might be rather latish in the evening but who knows.
Cheers
JASON.
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Unread post by Willoughby »

Jasestrm wrote:Foggy you got any models for Wednesday what it looks like over canty as SW change goes through?
Also although looking at the winds they could be quite light and the change might be rather latish in the evening but who knows.
Cheers
JASON.
Can't see much at all really.. dry then some late light rain with a light southwesterly change from easterly.
Models will change so who knows?

Cheers
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

metservice have the low arriving in the north on thursday instead of friday....a day earlier than the models showed yesterday... :shock:
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Unread post by spwill »

metservice have the low arriving in the north on thursday instead of friday....a day earlier than the models showed yesterday...
Different weather system Brian.
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

a ha
look at that
latest bracknel run, that they use, as the low moving north, and a ridge beating it out, but then a front sneaking up to give a period of rain
completly different weather pattern...more of the same sw winds.
drat, my weekly forecast for the local paper will be up the pole!
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Unread post by RWood »

Have to keep our SW-er fans happy!!
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Unread post by squid »

dont get me started on the SW ppfftt :roll:
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Unread post by Willoughby »

Mostly fine and warm in the basin today, 21c after a cold start dropping down to 6.6c in the city.
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Unread post by Willoughby »

squid wrote:dont get me started on the SW ppfftt :roll:
What's wrong with the southwesterly?
Can someone fill me in please? :)
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

when you live near the west coast, and it blows night and day, constantly, you do get a bit tired of it...
all the trees here are bent right over due to the prevailing SWer, and the kaipara area will be similar to here,LOL
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Unread post by RWood »

I like it - for Wellington
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