Heavy Rain, Easterlies developing
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- Willoughby
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Heavy Rain, Easterlies developing
Thinking tomorrow and Friday will be a bit more than afternoon showers as the MetService are predicting over the mid-upper North Island as a trough moves in.
Some falls maybe heavy about Eastern Coromandel during these days.
Light winds aloft will mean it will stick around..
South to southeasterly winds should clear rain slowly from the North Island on Saturday leaving some instablity for a few afternoon showers possibly.
Looks quite interesting after this shallow low also, as a deepening low develops in the Tasman.
Edit: Original title: 'Some...' now 'Heavy...'
Some falls maybe heavy about Eastern Coromandel during these days.
Light winds aloft will mean it will stick around..
South to southeasterly winds should clear rain slowly from the North Island on Saturday leaving some instablity for a few afternoon showers possibly.
Looks quite interesting after this shallow low also, as a deepening low develops in the Tasman.
Edit: Original title: 'Some...' now 'Heavy...'
Last edited by Willoughby on Thu 24/11/2005 15:45, edited 1 time in total.
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Looking likely now that the Auckland/Northern Coromandel regions will see heavy rain from Friday night thru Saturday as easterlies start strengthening... tending southeast later.
Heaviest falls should fall between Warkworth and about Bream Bay, however only wind directions will determine where exactly on the day as the Coromandel is good for shadowing much of Auckland's east-southeasterly rain.
Saturday does look unseasonably cold, with a high of just 16c for Auckland.. 14c here.
Cheers
Heaviest falls should fall between Warkworth and about Bream Bay, however only wind directions will determine where exactly on the day as the Coromandel is good for shadowing much of Auckland's east-southeasterly rain.
Saturday does look unseasonably cold, with a high of just 16c for Auckland.. 14c here.
Cheers
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MetService begins to see the risks, but for Northland mainly.
Should be fine tomorrow morning.. giving way for afternoon convective thunderstorms across the greater regionSEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR NORTHLAND
ISSUED BY METSERVICE AT 1113hrs 24-Nov-2005
HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE FOR NORTHLAND
MetService will be watching the development and movement of a low
west of the North Island over the next couple of days. There are
indications that the low may become slow moving and more active close
to Northland from late Friday to about Saturday afternoon, after
which it should drift away to the east. An associated front in a
moist easterly flow may lie across parts of Northland during this
period with some heavy rainfalls possible in a band near the front.
Details of the positioning and intensity of this weather system
should becoming clearer in the next 24 hours.
Rain/shower was recently heavy, temp has dropped to 14c, dewpoint 12c, fresh southwesterly.On Friday, temperatures in the upper atmosphere generally cool over much of the country creating unstable conditions in the northwest of the South Island, and the north and west of the North Island.
A low will move to lie just to the northwest of Northland, and an associated slow moving rain band will likely have some embedded thunderstorms with it.These have the potential to give rainfall rates in the 10 to 25mm/hr range due to their slow motion.
Over parts of Waikato, Waitomo and Taumarunui, and despite a fair amount of cloudiness, there is a moderate risk of a few thunderstorms developing in the afternoon. These will be triggered along a line of wind convergence brought about by daytime heating. These storms have the potential to produce hail up to 20mm in diameter and because they will be slow moving, rainfalls in the 10 to 25mm/hr range.
- Storm Struck
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Yes looking interesting for you guys with low in the tasman should see some nice storms in the Waikato tomorrow afternoon/evening there Foggy .
Isolated showers for here tomorrow becoming more confined to the foothills by saturday some of which might be heavy at times around there not sure if it will turn thundery or not i mean you have the E-SE winds coming up inland with the heat and all so could be chances there thats on Saturday,Sunday,Monday.
Wintry like wetaher here today occasional showers and fine intervals just previously had our first heavy shower of the day go over which was very black to south before it arrived.
Also a hail shower came over about half past eleven hail of 5mm in diamter just small stuff obviously upper air abit colder today.
Cheers
JASON.
Isolated showers for here tomorrow becoming more confined to the foothills by saturday some of which might be heavy at times around there not sure if it will turn thundery or not i mean you have the E-SE winds coming up inland with the heat and all so could be chances there thats on Saturday,Sunday,Monday.
Wintry like wetaher here today occasional showers and fine intervals just previously had our first heavy shower of the day go over which was very black to south before it arrived.
Also a hail shower came over about half past eleven hail of 5mm in diamter just small stuff obviously upper air abit colder today.
Cheers
JASON.
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No hail in central Chch, but a period of showers passed over early afternoon. Still quite alot of cloud still around, but sun is shining and it's supposed to clear today. (though a few showers could redevelop tomorrow)Wintry like wetaher here today occasional showers and fine intervals just previously had our first heavy shower of the day go over which was very black to south before it arrived.
Also a hail shower came over about half past eleven hail of 5mm in diamter just small stuff obviously upper air abit colder today.
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The eastern NI from East Cape to Cape Kidnappers looks like getting another hammering from strong southeasterlies and heavy rain later this weekend and into Monday. Yes the same areas that got devastated by the floods a month. Most likely not nearly as bad this time, but not pleasant for those still recovering from the big floods.
GAS and GFS models show 540 thickness line cutting though the northwest of the NI as well, so it appears like it'll be pretty cold as well - wind-chill adding to the bleakness.
GAS and GFS models show 540 thickness line cutting though the northwest of the NI as well, so it appears like it'll be pretty cold as well - wind-chill adding to the bleakness.
- tgsnoopy
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Well, I'm hoping we won't get drenched here. If we do, I'm hoping the modifications carried out here since we were last flooded might keep us dry inside. Fingers crossed!
Now, lets hope for some interesting electrical activity in those passing rain bands
What are the odds? Should I be charging all of my video cameras batteries in advance?
Now, lets hope for some interesting electrical activity in those passing rain bands
What are the odds? Should I be charging all of my video cameras batteries in advance?
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all look pretty weak at the moment
just one half decent shower in the hauraki gulf
but that next upper level feature heading north might be the trigger
certainly lots of cold air has moved along way north...as a fuel for the cut off low that is expected to develop....but the whole thing could just end up being pushed north and stretched out into an easterly trough
time will tell
just one half decent shower in the hauraki gulf
but that next upper level feature heading north might be the trigger
certainly lots of cold air has moved along way north...as a fuel for the cut off low that is expected to develop....but the whole thing could just end up being pushed north and stretched out into an easterly trough
time will tell
- Willoughby
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there was a good towering cumulus out to sea here this morning, so there is instability here, and so with afternoon sun heating there could be some shower builds ups around
but as for the low deepining...cant see it happening at the moment!
but time will tell
maybe when the upper level feature moving north from west of central NZ overlays the lower level feature that is just west of kaitia, things will fire up more
there has been some sporadic CB's pop on the front drapped over the far north, you can see them on the sat sequence...
but as for the low deepining...cant see it happening at the moment!
but time will tell
maybe when the upper level feature moving north from west of central NZ overlays the lower level feature that is just west of kaitia, things will fire up more
there has been some sporadic CB's pop on the front drapped over the far north, you can see them on the sat sequence...
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Heavy rain set to hit the Dargaville region firstly this afternoon; a low risk of thunder.. will wait your report Squid!
Certainly some potentials for flooding from about Orewa to Bream Bay & northeastern Coromandel Peninsular.
Southeasterlies rising to gale Saturday morning about the eastern coasts.
Auckland city can expect over 35mm-45mm from this trough, 10mm here.
Cold.. i'm thinking a high for Auckland of just 14c, as well as Hamilton.
MetService going for 17c in Ak
Cheers
Certainly some potentials for flooding from about Orewa to Bream Bay & northeastern Coromandel Peninsular.
Southeasterlies rising to gale Saturday morning about the eastern coasts.
Auckland city can expect over 35mm-45mm from this trough, 10mm here.
Cold.. i'm thinking a high for Auckland of just 14c, as well as Hamilton.
MetService going for 17c in Ak
Cheers
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heavy shower now over east pukekohe area
NE picked up here now, so cloud build up over us here has been dispersed
looks like drizzle just NE of the city now
things are happening
hopefully this reporting will help the forecasters confirm what they see from other means
edit, rain radar shows that shower is over Karaka
so thats what the top looks like, thanks spwill...too much foreground cloud here to see the top, LOL
rain radar shows that the drizzle patch over the city has been moving down from the north....so the upper level cloud and rain systems are moving south...
NE picked up here now, so cloud build up over us here has been dispersed
looks like drizzle just NE of the city now
things are happening
hopefully this reporting will help the forecasters confirm what they see from other means
edit, rain radar shows that shower is over Karaka
so thats what the top looks like, thanks spwill...too much foreground cloud here to see the top, LOL
rain radar shows that the drizzle patch over the city has been moving down from the north....so the upper level cloud and rain systems are moving south...