NZ Weather Forum

Interesting article in today's DominionPost.

and the link to that is......

Sorry. don't think it's available on-line. Only of use to those in the lower NI. Post you my copy if you like.

whats the jist/summary of the article?

ahh oks no worries then yes what does it say in regard to tropical cyclones in our region

Briefly, that the conditions in the coming season are looking similar to those in the years of Giselle and Bola, as predicted by Steve Ready.

sounds intetresting mind you we are due for a good hammering from the tropics

Big cyclone expected this summer
28 November 2005

New Zealand needs to prepare for a big cyclone that is expected to hit during the summer, MetService meteorologist Steve Ready said today.


"Between now and the end of May, nine tropical cyclones are expected to form in the South Pacific.

"This cyclone season is shaping up to be one where the equatorial Pacific Ocean is neither having an El Nino nor a La Nina."

Mr Ready said the "neutral years" in the past have seen notable cyclones such as Gisele in April 1968, which sunk the Wahine, Bola in March 1988, Fergus at the end of 1996, and Drena that hit in January 1997.

On average cyclones hit New Zealand about once a year, but Mr Ready warned that "this is the season we really have to be more aware than others".

MetService spokesman Bob McDavitt said the cyclone forecast was not affected by the cold outbreak that has hit parts of the country recently.

"This cold air is just a brief setback to the warming track. The southerly winds will be replaced by warm northerlies by the end of week, and just in time for the first month of summer," Mr McDavitt said.
-NZPA

just extended the height of my anenometer to 10m
all set for the big one
LOL

Manukau heads observer wrote:just extended the height of my anenometer to 10m
all set for the big one
LOL

With some of the gusts we have had through here today, you wouldn't have wanted to be dealing with anything up that height here.

Late 1988-Early 1989 was quite active I remember

On average cyclones hit New Zealand about once a year, but Mr Ready warned that "this is the season we really have to be more aware than others".

Does anyonw know if there is actually any infomation on the number we get?? even one a year seems high I would have thought?

03 Stormchaser wrote:Does anyonw know if there is actually any infomation on the number we get?? even one a year seems high I would have thought?

The term 'Cyclone' makes me think of Typhoons and Hurricanes when what they're referring to are just minor storms for the most part. Do we need to change our perceptions of the word or should NZ meteorologists avoid the inevitable confusion and start calling them 'minor storms' instead?

Gary Roberts wrote:

03 Stormchaser wrote:Does anyonw know if there is actually any infomation on the number we get?? even one a year seems high I would have thought?

The term 'Cyclone' makes me think of Typhoons and Hurricanes when what they're referring to are just minor storms for the most part. Do we need to change our perceptions of the word or should NZ meteorologists avoid the inevitable confusion and start calling them 'minor storms' instead?

Quite right, people we're calling the February '04 storms, cyclones.

"Between now and the end of May, nine tropical cyclones are expected to form in the South Pacific.

Might have to Holiday in the Islands this Summer.

Mini-cyclones

/me ducks and runs

I guess the proper term would be 'Ex-tropical mid latitude depression'?

Cheers,

G

Can remember Gizelle walking to school it was overcast with horizontal rain everywhere in 1968

Bola was like a wilder version of Saturdays wind but scattered showers also

Cairns is overdue for a Tropical Cyclone.
At 16.8 degree south of the equator,we aree sure in the firing line.

g

will b keeping eyes peeled north to the tropics to see what happends dont even go there wiht the mini thing with cyclones lol