Unstable Week Ahead

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spike_01
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Unread post by spike_01 »

Nice pics zanman... Just hot and sunny here... Cloud to the East over the Tararua Ranges... 8)

26 degrees, humidity has gone down in the last 30 minutes...
Manukau heads obs
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

27C in auckland with that 19oc, whew thats a start to summer with a bang
not that hot here (the city gets good heating from land in a nwer compared to use here)
there was some good towering going on over the city isthmus this arvo, and one got to a good enough to give rain...amybe more out eastern beach way?
some big ones went up to the SE of the hunuas alright!...anyone get a photo?...was at the beach...no camera...

it got to 27 at bryndrwyn too,,,,and the wind there went easterly, so that was a sea breeze convergence in northland giving those showers
this low has not done much all day...maybe tomorrow will be no different to today...instead of the forecasted widespread rain?
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ricky
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Unread post by ricky »

That big Cb to the North with lots of lightning is for a change right in the middle of my web cam here.. http://www.portunus.net.nz/weather/cam.jpg
for anyone reading now.. 6:15pm :)
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Storm Struck
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Unread post by Storm Struck »

Looks to be a Thunderstorm entering Auckland now accoring to tracker up to 800 strikes up there a cell or several near Northland and then the one near Waikato,Coromandel.
If those two join together could make an impressive storm 8) .
Low cruddy cloud here now temp back to 15C now hardly a breath of wind.
Cheers
Jason.
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Unread post by ricky »

Rapidly becoming obscured by lower cloud here now.. but heres how it did look.. good animation showing it boiling up on the left too..
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spike_01
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Unread post by spike_01 »

Sheesh send some drama here huh... Wall to wall blue towards the coast... :?
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spike_01
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Unread post by spike_01 »

Pic is typical of cloud that hangs around the Tararua Ranges... Brings no drama here... 8)
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NZstorm
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Unread post by NZstorm »

looks to be a bit of a line of convergence running from Northland southward to the Kaimai ranges. Spwill and I went for a drive this afternoon and watched some thundery cb's buildup along that line from Hunua through to Hauraki.
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Unread post by spwill »

Spwill and I went for a drive this afternoon and watched some thundery cb's buildup along that line from Hunua through to Hauraki.
Watched this cloud build from Cu just south of Auckland this afternoon, could hear distant thunder rumbles from it as it turned Cb.
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Unread post by spwill »

Saw a CG drop out of this cloud, northern Waikato.
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Unread post by spwill »

Cu build up over Hunua
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Manukau heads obs
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

i knew you guys would get some good photos
i could have met up...but had kids to look after, LOL

things are a changing now...wind dropped away, and upper level cloud is thickening up...
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Willoughby
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Unread post by Willoughby »

Missed an absolute pearler of a photo this evening, sun setting upon towering Cj/and Cb next to it :P

Thought we'd see a bit more rain today, but it sure looks tomorrow will deliver, Tasman is very active once again.

Sky mostly clear now, 18.6c, calm, baro on the incline

Cheers, great photos Zanman & spwill! 8)
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Willoughby
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Unread post by Willoughby »

Lots of strikes being picked up from these strong cells atm.
En route for southwestern Waikato later near 5am
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Manukau heads obs
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

murky conditions here this morning, ner slowly increasing
barometer slowly dropping now
looks like rain will develop alright
big cb lines with the low, but they are still way off to the nw
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Zanman
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Unread post by Zanman »

Just plain murky here this morning. A little breeze which I thought may have cleared the mist a bit, but has not yet
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Unread post by Willoughby »

Northeast change today also means a northeast change for the clouds. That heavy rain visible on the rain radar may just miss the North Island?!
However thunderstorms look to be due in Whangarei at around 10am today, moving down to Auckland maybe.
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NZstorm
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Unread post by NZstorm »

I was unconvinced yesterday that we would get rain today, and that hunch has been borne out. A blocking high just east of the NI has done a good job at making a mockery of Met Service forecasts for rain for Auckland last few days.

Will see less surface heating in the north today so that may limit the amount of afternoon shower activity. Should still see Isolated thunderstorms develop over the upper half of the NI.

Photo here of a cuform over Hunua/south Auckland yesterday. Heard thunder from this cloud about time of photo.
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Manukau heads obs
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

the NE wind means the low to the NW has deepened a bit, but also means the high has ridged back over the SI I guess
yes, i mad a sceptical post yeterday about rain today that was forecasted....and still is...
but there is heavy rain way to the NW associated with that low....what needs to happen I guess is for a trough area to build right over us....i.e the upper atmosphere needs to cool down ...which could happen if the low to the Nw of us starts to wind up more

i see the met service have down grounded the rain for today forecast:
Cloudy with showers, some heavy in the afternoon and evening.
they need to look out the window more and not at the models so much?
but, now thats its not forecast, whats the bet widespread rain develops now...all that is needed is for general instability to develop...alll the ingredients are there...
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Unread post by spwill »

Heavy shower line just W/NW of the upper NI looks like its going to make hard work of comming east/south east today.
Zanman
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Unread post by Zanman »

It looks like there is a good chance of at least some of the rain in the BOP that we have been forcasted. The SE movement with land breezes from the same direction really bring in the warm damp air for conditions such as we have at the moment.

Foggy, what is actually happening in the Waikato at the moment? My mother in law is due to fly out of Hamilton about 3:30 for Sydney this afternoon.
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Manukau heads obs
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

cloud thickening here now, especialy on the coast hills....looks like it will develop into rain.,..
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Manukau heads obs
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

some spits now ;)
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Zanman
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Unread post by Zanman »

Been getting spits here all morning - nothing measurable though.
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spike_01
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Unread post by spike_01 »

Just dumped down here and it looks like more to come... View is toward the North... 8)
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