New Low forefast to move onto the upper NI

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Manukau heads obs
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New Low forefast to move onto the upper NI

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

Thought I would start a new thread
http://www.metservice.co.nz/default/ind ... lias=swp72

thats a change from the high blocking for ever and ever!

could lead to thundery downpours for auckland area

heres hoping !
we need the rain :)
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NZstorm
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Unread post by NZstorm »

Yes Brian, heavy rain on the cards for thurdsday night. Decent thunderstorms on Friday. Between now and then fair cloudy weather with the chance of a shower. We do need the rain.
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NZ Thunderstorm Soc
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Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

Chances are looking good for many areas around New Zealand on both days especially with the weakoning of the anticyclone :)
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Manukau heads obs
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

a new heavy rain warning out for the far north now 8)
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Michael
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Unread post by Michael »

The rain doesnt appear to be far now and its cooled a little now.We appear to be getting a col between the NE and the SW tomorrow by the looks of the forecast chart
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Manukau heads obs
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

i can see rain now moving down over the city from the NE
looking good...finally!
although rain radar shows it will be short lived
hummmm
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Manukau heads obs
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

line of heavy rain this evening now over eastern northland....we might get it here ....could be come lightning in it ...i see ricky detector has picked up a stike 8)
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Angel
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Unread post by Angel »

Been a while since I posted :P between 8.30 and 9pm we had a considerable dumping of rain. Instant flooding etc.. not good for me as I work for Pizza Hut delivering pizza and I couldnt get to my customers :P We've been having lightning since then, no thunder however.
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Willoughby
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Unread post by Willoughby »

Yes Brian, looks like your rain will arrive! :D

Big northerly rainband bearing down onto Auckland now, then Waikato soon :)
Has dumped 45mm in the 3hours to 10pm in the Bay of Islands!!!
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Manukau heads obs
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

35mm up at brynderwyn....
but the tail only just brushed us before moving east, so only 2mm here, arggh!
but i see a 2nd line developing out the west...we should get that one

it was exactly the sort of rain band i was hoping and expecting to develop....
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NZstorm
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Unread post by NZstorm »

That "2nd" may not get here untill tonight.

Will we get any afternoon convection around Auckland today? A few cb's may pop up in the west of Auckland but I am thinking tomorrow looks a better day for thunder risk.
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Manukau heads obs
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

i can see the other cb line in breaks in the cloud out to west...not quite anvil tops yet
wind is a bit less today, and more northerly,so yes, could be big showers could develop over the waitaks today :)
tomorrow yes could be even more promising :)
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Manukau heads obs
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

i think things are looking promising for big CB in this area this afternoon, if that cloud out to the east moves away a bit more
lots of moisture, billowing occuring already with not alot of heating yet

i can feel it in my bones today is going to be a good day....maybe we should meet up this arvo for a chase?
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spwill
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Unread post by spwill »

think things are looking promising for big CB in this area this afternoon, if that cloud out to the east moves away a bit more
Yes but gusty NE wind and high cloud will probably spoil again, see what the afternoon brings.
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Manukau heads obs
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

been enough build up already to give skify showers on the hills around the area in the last 30 minutes
so just need more heating from the sun...the instability is there!!
you are right about the wind being strong again....but its more only at the surface layer...some there is some shear...which might help...and the upper winds are a bit more NNE , surface NE
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Willoughby
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Unread post by Willoughby »

Only looks as if the Coromandel Peninsular/W BoP will get the flooding rain now, unless that band continues to grow?
That heap sure is intense, large-scale convection
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Manukau heads obs
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

its actualy moved east of the coromandel now....so the heavy rain warning was just a nowcast warning....
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Angel
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Unread post by Angel »

Foggy Hamilton wrote: Has dumped 45mm in the 3hours to 10pm in the Bay of Islands!!!
Haha that it did. Filled up our water tank nicely :D
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Gary Roberts
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Unread post by Gary Roberts »

Angel wrote:
Foggy Hamilton wrote: Has dumped 45mm in the 3hours to 10pm in the Bay of Islands!!!
Haha that it did. Filled up our water tank nicely :D
Hopefully our tanks (Tekapo and Pukaki) will be next! :D
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ricky
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Unread post by ricky »

Sitting at the beach my Mauganui at the moment.. lots of congestus about here too, some very heavy showers around Katikati on the way here.. the radar looks very interesting back home way at the moment!!
lots of strong sferics on the radio here... about to head back over the ranges.. don't think there'll be much to see with this cloud..
I have the laptop online in the car so post if anyone heads out :) or even call 021749549
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Manukau heads obs
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

thats where you been hiding :)
big cb line out to my west here now!
shes starting to fire up in a line....place to be is....?
maybe this aftrnoon...like now...is the time to do it
maybe tomorrow will be no good,....a completly different day?
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spike_01
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Unread post by spike_01 »

I think we are about to get blasted here in the Horowhenua... This is on the way... 8)
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spike_01
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Unread post by spike_01 »

And for the last 30 minutes, thunder has been banging around the neighbourhood... 8)
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Manukau heads obs
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

thing happening now in the auckland area...especialy NW of auckland, arfound kairpara
and a bit of rain here now... :D
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NZstorm
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Unread post by NZstorm »

A few cb's around the AK vicinity. A few places will get a downpour.
Looking forward to a wind change out of this northeaster!
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