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Long way ahead but...

Posted: Sat 17/12/2005 12:07
by tich
NewTalk ZB
14 December 2005

Christmas Day might not bring the sunny hot weather that everyone is hoping for, with MetService forecasting a windy and slightly overcast day.
Weather Ambassador Bob McDavitt says there is still a possibility this will change. He says the further east in the country you go, the better the weather should be.
Not easy to predict 8 days ahead, but one thing is likely - the humid northerly and northeasterly weather that we've had so far appears to be nearing an end. Cooler west or southwest flows should soon become dominant. Should still be rather unsettled at times, but a lot less sticky.

Posted: Sat 17/12/2005 12:35
by Flutterbye
Talk about a dollar each way. Of course it can change in eight days though a cooler less sticky week before xmas would be very welcome with so much to do.

:)

Posted: Sat 17/12/2005 13:22
by TonyT
how can the weather be "slightly overcast"? :shock:

Posted: Sat 17/12/2005 13:53
by Manukau heads obs
http://www.metvuw.com/forecast/rain-nz- ... 18-180.gif

that model shows a ridge coming in, so spring like pattern, SW winds easing
some brief showers in werstern areas but lots of fine weather too i would say
time will tell!

Posted: Sat 17/12/2005 15:21
by spwill
Perhaps pre frontal weather Xmas day.
At this time of the year that means warm with increasing cloud, risk of showers/rain in the west.

Posted: Sat 17/12/2005 17:46
by NZstorm
Should still be rather unsettled at times, but a lot less sticky.
In a nut shell, boring spring weather.

Posted: Sat 17/12/2005 18:27
by Willoughby
How can they possibly be forecasting this weather when they can't even get nowcasts right?! :x Today for Hamilton they had 'Few showers, possibly thundery' and I was still hearing that rubbish forecast at 1pm :roll:

*sigh*

Posted: Sat 17/12/2005 19:31
by Manukau heads obs
wow, 42mm so far for you foggy!
it sure did look black down your way
cleared auckland area now
nice very clear sunshine now
visibility is amazing
i would just about be able to see spwill on top of mt Eden!

Posted: Sat 17/12/2005 19:53
by Willoughby
wow, 42mm so far for you foggy!
Rain bucket is under reading considerably.. it's more like 52mm, current ISS location isn't the best

Posted: Sat 17/12/2005 20:40
by Gary Roberts
TonyT wrote:how can the weather be "slightly overcast"? :shock:
Haha!

Posted: Sat 17/12/2005 20:42
by Gary Roberts
NZstorm wrote:
Should still be rather unsettled at times, but a lot less sticky.
In a nut shell, boring spring weather.
I'm almost wishing we could fast-forward to Autumn. From then through to Spring it's usually very settled, with the bonus of long clear nights.

Posted: Sat 17/12/2005 22:23
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
BlueSkies have it warm and sunny on Christmas Day. :)
Looks like an anticyclone, though weak, will cover the country with an impending NW flow developing.
I don't know about MetService saying it being "slightly overcast" :?
Next thing they'll say is that frost only occurs in 'sheltered areas' ;)

JohnGaul
NZTS

Posted: Sat 17/12/2005 22:59
by Gary Roberts
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:BlueSkies have it warm and sunny on Christmas Day. :)
I bet I'm working.
Looks like an anticyclone, though weak, will cover the country with an impending NW flow developing.
So no rain then? Bugger.
I don't know about MetService saying it being "slightly overcast" :?
Next thing they'll say is that frost only occurs in 'sheltered areas' ;)
Is McDavitt blonde by any chance? ;) :D

Posted: Sun 18/12/2005 01:12
by Michael
YAWN :!:
Manukau heads observer wrote:http://www.metvuw.com/forecast/rain-nz- ... 18-180.gif

that model shows a ridge coming in, so spring like pattern, SW winds easing
some brief showers in werstern areas but lots of fine weather too i would say
time will tell!

Posted: Sun 18/12/2005 09:06
by Gary Roberts
"If you don't like the weather, wait five minutes." - Aucklanders.

:D ;)

Posted: Sun 18/12/2005 09:43
by NZstorm
Yes, Xmas looks fine for much of the country.

Posted: Sun 18/12/2005 22:34
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
NZstorm wrote:Yes, Xmas looks fine for much of the country.
It's much better if the weather is settled.
You can't go on a storm chase when the Croziers Christmas turkey needs to be carved ... abnd the Christmas Ham needs to be sliced... :D
JohnGaul
NZTS

Posted: Sun 18/12/2005 22:39
by TonyT
phft - a real storm chaser would buy turkey nibbles and pre-sliced ham... :lol:

Posted: Sun 18/12/2005 22:48
by Gary Roberts
TonyT wrote:phft - a real storm chaser would buy turkey nibbles and pre-sliced ham... :lol:
Pfft! A real storm chaser would take only scroggin and Speights!

Posted: Sun 18/12/2005 22:54
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
TonyT wrote:phft - a real storm chaser would buy turkey nibbles and pre-sliced ham... :lol:
You sound like a real turkey there, Tony :lol: 8)

JohnGaul
NZTS

Posted: Sun 18/12/2005 23:50
by saaaab
Here in Melbourne we are expecting some of the crappiest weather in a while for the Christmas weekend. So it will be yet another cold and cloudy Christmas here. GFS 850hPA temps will be a mere 0-2c with a massive south westerly flow and with it cold winds and rain. Don;t be surprised if the patrons at Carols by Candlelight on Saturday night end up being dressed up like their northern hemisphere counterparts :cry: how embarrasing!

Posted: Sun 18/12/2005 23:58
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
saaaab wrote:Here in Melbourne we are expecting some of the crappiest weather in a while for the Christmas weekend. So it will be yet another cold and cloudy Christmas here. GFS 850hPA temps will be a mere 0-2c with a massive south westerly flow and with it cold winds and rain. Don;t be surprised if the patrons at Carols by Candlelight on Saturday night end up being dressed up like their northern hemisphere counterparts :cry: how embarrasing!
SOUNDS LIKE SO JOLLY CHRISTMASSY ... NICE - SANTA
better than than the un Chritmassy **** weather we are going to get over here.

JohnGaul
NZTS