Cyclone Wati

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Sat 25/03/2006 11:37

I was looking just at MSLP maps I dunno but another good pool of air returns on Wednesday to Canterbury and with the winds being SE would there be snow up in Aurthurs pass etc to atleast 600m? It looks quite simular to times like last year when snow forms from SE windflows and or heavy rainfalls or would that happen more in the winter Tich?.

I think Canterbury will probably get easterly rain Monday and/or Tuesday, then southerly showers. Ideal situation for inland snow in winter, but possibly too early now.

KiwiWeather · Unread post by **KiwiWeather** » Sat 25/03/2006 16:27

NZstorm wrote:Last time I can remember a TC having a significant affect on northern NZ was Fergus Dec 1996.

Cyclone Fergus.....I knew him well......

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Sat 25/03/2006 16:44

Peopled_Diagram wrote:
NZstorm wrote:Last time I can remember a TC having a significant affect on northern NZ was Fergus Dec 1996.
Cyclone Fergus.....I knew him well......

Did he run round with a spray can??

Manukau heads obs · Sat 25/03/2006 18:42

back in kiwi land now...
I see rain already spreading onto northland
cloud thickening here....looks like rain...

low center seems to be tracking more towards the NI and not so SSE by the looks....

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sat 25/03/2006 19:20

I see rain already spreading onto northland

Met Service need to change their forecast, it's raining in the far North now.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sat 25/03/2006 19:37

A bit of a warm front up there. I notice the dewpoints at Norfolk Island have risen from 17C to 24C after the warm front. They got 102mm from the front.

Manukau heads obs · Sat 25/03/2006 19:57

as we left Brisbane airport this morning, all flights to Norfolk Island were cancelled due to the weather conditions there!

Manukau heads obs · Sat 25/03/2006 20:24

met service updated the forecast
and now a heavy rain warning in effect for northland

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Sat 25/03/2006 22:25

03 Stormchaser wrote:
Did he run round with a spray can??

Nice one 03
I laughed until I stopped

JohnGaul
NZTS

squid · Unread post by **squid** » Sat 25/03/2006 23:16

you forgot about drena and gavin

well enjoy ex tc wati

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Sat 25/03/2006 23:29

Track looks interesting.. UKMO & the MetService has it weakening at the moment.. but as soon as it hits the North Tasman she should start re-intensifying before she stalls momentarily. After that, there are a number of possibilities as to where she heads.. and most importantly who's going to be dumped on??

Rain and fresh gusty easterlies already effecting Northland.. and should be very persistant looking at satellite.

Looks like there could be some thunderstorms embedded too.

SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR AUCKLAND COROMANDEL PENINSULA
ISSUED BY METSERVICE AT 2018hrs 25-Mar-2006

HEAVY RAIN POSSIBLE FOR AUCKLAND AND COROMANDEL PENINSULA

Forecasters are monitoring the progress of ex Tropical Cyclone Wati
as it moves southeastwards into the north Tasman Sea. The remnants of
Wati are expected to slow down while moving into the area west of the
North Island later Sunday. This system, while no longer a tropical
cyclone, should remain as a fairly deep depression, and is expected
to bring a prolonged period of moist north or northeast winds to the
North Island.

At this stage it is uncertain how much rain will fall in Auckland and
Coromandel Peninsula. However, some heavy falls could start to turn
up in these areas as early as midday Sunday.

Residents and travellers in Auckland and Coromandel Peninsula should
prepare for a prolonged period of rain, and remain up to date with
the latest forecasts.

This Watch will be reviewed by 11am Sunday 26th March
Forecast prepared by: Mark Pascoe

Manukau heads obs · Sun 26/03/2006 06:35

rain nearly spread this far south now...just starting in auckland city (6:30am)
northland being getting good solid rain all night
18mm in brynderwyn i see
its still moving, the low, but more SSE now
the front moving down onto the far North is getting more active looking all the time...

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Sun 26/03/2006 06:49

WOW that has come down well overnight.. Persistant severe easterly gales overnight for Cape Reinga.. Strong and gusty for Whangaparoa too.
Should be pretty cold here today being pre-frontal and still trapped under thick high cloud (18c here today)

Headlines read: "Windies set to resume on 50/1." Sorry folks!

Today should be the windiest day for the upper North with widespread easterly gales.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sun 26/03/2006 07:33

Persistent rain here now. Looks like we are in for a very wet day.

Manukau heads obs · Sun 26/03/2006 07:58

horray!!!!
nice rain here
and looks set for the whole day
farmers will be happy!!
(although too late for some, but better late than never!)
I wonder how much we will get over the next few days!

GraemeWi · Unread post by **GraemeWi** » Sun 26/03/2006 07:59

We have had about 5mm since 5am. The rain is getting heavier - hopefully this will fill in the cracks in the garden!

agingaquarian · Unread post by **agingaquarian** » Sun 26/03/2006 08:53

Steady rain here, 8mm since about 6 am. Easterlies a bit gusty, but nothing dramatic.

How's the road, Graeme?

Manukau heads obs · Sun 26/03/2006 09:01

wind gone from a ESE to a ENE here now, interestingly...when the rain started....
barometer done a few slow bumps overnight, still not dropping here much yet....we must be in the squash zone between the high and the low.....
if the low keeps tracking SSE, then the wind will ramp up quick...

spike_01 · Unread post by **spike_01** » Sun 26/03/2006 09:01

Easterly here as well.... Just moved 2 cars from under a tree...

GraemeWi · Unread post by **GraemeWi** » Sun 26/03/2006 09:12

agingaquarian wrote:Steady rain here, 8mm since about 6 am. Easterlies a bit gusty, but nothing dramatic.

How's the road, Graeme?

I'm going to drive the l-o-n-g way around to avoid it - lucky the roadworks are at one end of the road only. I just washed the car last night... since the neighbors had their place had their place topdressed last weekend my car has been covered in baked-on superphosphate

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Sun 26/03/2006 09:25

well the lastest rain radar is certainly interesting....

RWood · Unread post by **RWood** » Sun 26/03/2006 10:25

Change of airmass here - now clearly originating from ENE/NE. Dry and pleasant, better take advantage while it lasts.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Sun 26/03/2006 10:32

Worsening here in the Waitakere's. Steady rain since 6am now getting heavier. Wind gradually increasing, quite blustery now

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sun 26/03/2006 10:35

Cool here, 15C, dp12C but we should have a change to warmer air later.

Our rain is 12hrs early but very nice to hear it on the roof.

GraemeWi · Unread post by **GraemeWi** » Sun 26/03/2006 11:10

Now up to 16mm since about 5am, the wind is picking up and it's a chilly 14Â°C