Deep low for S.I. next MON/TUES...

gllitz · Unread post by **gllitz** » Wed 29/03/2006 17:10

All the models I have seen are tending to agree...could be very windy and cold in its wake (albeit brief), for sure...check out the site:
(courtesy of MetVUW.com)

http://www.metvuw.com/forecast/forecast ... egion=nzsi

...not to mention NOGAPS, etc...

Thoughts?

spike_01 · Unread post by **spike_01** » Wed 29/03/2006 18:26

Yep... I alread mentioned on the Zillion MB that there may be Snow to low Levels in the South on Sunday...

Maybe that is a Day early...

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Wed 29/03/2006 19:40

I am sure the Tuesday model will be correct and will stay like that

gllitz wrote:
Thoughts?

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Wed 29/03/2006 20:19

You mean this Mon/tues gllitz.

Can't see snow in those charts unless your way up on Mt Hutt.

Looks like a brief showery change for you Guys Tuesday but a nice weekend on the way for Chch.

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Wed 29/03/2006 20:35

spwill wrote:You mean this Mon/tues gllitz.

Can't see snow in those charts unless your way up on Mt Hutt.

Looks like a brief showery change for you Guys Tuesday but a nice weekend on the way for Chch.

Its spike who mentioned the snow??

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Wed 29/03/2006 21:29

03 Stormchaser wrote:
spwill wrote:You mean this Mon/tues gllitz.

Can't see snow in those charts unless your way up on Mt Hutt.

Looks like a brief showery change for you Guys Tuesday but a nice weekend on the way for Chch.
Its spike who mentioned the snow??

'next' tues/mon would suggest mon/tues week (10/11th) not this upcoming mon/tues

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Wed 29/03/2006 22:01

Foggy Hamilton wrote:
03 Stormchaser wrote: Its spike who mentioned the snow??
'next' tues/mon would suggest mon/tues week (10/11th) not this upcoming mon/tues

Yes but if you look at the models that Glitnz showed us its for this Mon/tuesday Foggy

Might not be good for snow but good for thunder indeed at this stage

.
Cheers
Jason.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Wed 29/03/2006 22:08

By the look of ECMWF anything will be be brief and nothing much happening despite low pressure.
I see Ecmwf also have have Glenda making an impression following in behind.

JohnGaul
NZTS

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Wed 29/03/2006 22:14

Might not be good for snow but good for thunder indeed at this stage .
Cheers
Jason.

Go to the West Coast for the weekend

squid · Unread post by **squid** » Wed 29/03/2006 23:27

can some one get me the ECMWF link please

Manukau heads obs · Thu 30/03/2006 08:00

i have lots of links here
http://www.weather-display.com/windy/links.htm

squid · Unread post by **squid** » Thu 30/03/2006 12:17

cheers for that

spike_01 · Unread post by **spike_01** » Thu 30/03/2006 17:57

Havent changed my mind... I reckon there will be Snow down South on Sunday...

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Thu 30/03/2006 19:06

spike_01 wrote:Havent changed my mind... I reckon there will be Snow down South on Sunday...

I doubt it at the moment - the winds forecast for Sunday are Northerlies.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Thu 30/03/2006 19:26

I reckon there will be Snow down South on Sunday...

There is no sign of snow.

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Thu 30/03/2006 21:36

Latest MSLP maps have this low to 970mb hmm one can only wonder

.
I see Sky Sattelite across NZ is down due to a problem with sattelite b1 has been down since 6:30pm.
Nice to finally see the sun today been sometime under this cloud cover and drizzle for days UNTICYCLONIC GLOOM aye John

.
Cheers
Jason.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Thu 30/03/2006 21:54

I had wondered what had happened to SKY. It said atmospheric conditions????
I see that Glenda will fizzle out altogether and not form a low in the westerly belt towards NZ ...but

...there could be a thundery outbreak next week in a quite unstable Sw flow, this due to global warming as described in the recent Conference in Wellington( the Tony Blair telephone one)
..a temporary revert back to El Nino

JohnGaul
NZTS

gllitz · Unread post by **gllitz** » Fri 31/03/2006 17:03

Baaah...grumble...models have fizzled out a wee bit...but NEXT Friday looks interesting already

(/ASIDE: By next Friday I mean a weak from today...maybe y'all have forgotten I was raised speaking American-English and sometimes forget to put my thoughts in kiwi-ese...

This Friday, Next Friday, Friday-week...NEVER said in the States, btw...people woule look at you funny

)...all very confoooosing...

NO WONDER non-native English speakers have such a hard time learning English, eh? They say English is the easiest language to speak poorly, and the hardest language to speak "perfectly."
ASIDE/.)

spike_01 · Unread post by **spike_01** » Fri 31/03/2006 17:26

I hear Sky was out due to the Eclipse of the Sun yesterday... It seems there was no Sun to reach the Solar Panels on the Satellite...

Dunno how true that is but thats what I heard...

ps I have Digital in the Lounge and UHF on my pooter desk, so I wasnt worried...

Manukau heads obs · Fri 31/03/2006 18:24

i think that was bullocks about the solar eclipse, just something for the public to believe
the satellite is a geostationary satellite positioned over the equator, papua new guinea area or there abouts (maybe a bit east of that)
the solar eclipse did not effect that area of the world

see here:
http://sunearth.gsfc.nasa.gov/eclipse/O ... 9-Fig2.GIF

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Fri 31/03/2006 18:45

Whatever happens in NZ next week, I won't be here. Instead I'm off to the Gold Coast and Brisbane tomorrow for a week, and not for storm chasing. Looks like a fine spell coming up for SE QLD and far northern NSW.

Temps lately up there have been in the high 20s. Might be a bit cooler with expected southwesterlies and southerlies, but only by a few degrees. Certainly better than Chch has been lately with cloudy skies and temps no more than the mid teens. I'm looking forward to some warm sunshine. No cyclones either, but hopefully no bushfires as well.

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Fri 31/03/2006 19:01

We dont need that up here

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:...there could be a thundery outbreak next week in a quite unstable Sw flow, ..a temporary revert back to El Nino

JohnGaul
NZTS

Manukau heads obs · Fri 31/03/2006 19:15

SW winds are fact of life in the auckland area michael, you cant do anything about it, and you cant stop them, so why complain about them?
we have not had much SW winds for this summer, i would be happy if I were you

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Fri 31/03/2006 21:46

Manukau heads observer wrote:i think that was bullocks about the solar eclipse, just something for the public to believe
the satellite is a geostationary satellite positioned over the equator, papua new guinea area or there abouts (maybe a bit east of that)
the solar eclipse did not effect that area of the world

see here:
http://sunearth.gsfc.nasa.gov/eclipse/O ... 9-Fig2.GIF

I totally agree - I reckon it's all down to an aging satellite that needs replaced.

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Fri 31/03/2006 21:47

Manukau heads observer wrote:i think that was bullocks about the solar eclipse, just something for the public to believe
the satellite is a geostationary satellite positioned over the equator, papua new guinea area or there abouts (maybe a bit east of that)
the solar eclipse did not effect that area of the world

see here:
http://sunearth.gsfc.nasa.gov/eclipse/O ... 9-Fig2.GIF

Yes.. the Optus B1 satellite is aging.. being launched in 1992!

I see it's brother exploded on launch..

The first Optus B satellite was launched on a Chinese Long March 2E booster August 14, 1992, from Xichang, China. The second was destroyed in an explosion during launch on a Long March 2E December 21, 1992. After seven months of investigation, both Hughes and the Chinese concluded that a cause for the explosion could not be determined. Immediately after the loss, Hughes began work on another satellite, Optus B3, which was successfully launched Aug. 28, 1994.

Some good links about Optus B1 here, http://www.lyngsat.com/optusb1.html
& recent news about the SKY debarcle: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Optus_Fleet_of_Satellites

NZ Weather Forum

Deep low for S.I. next MON/TUES...

Deep low for S.I. next MON/TUES...

Re: Deep low for S.I. next MON/TUES...