Boring Weather except Auckland area

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 17/04/2006 22:04

I think I had a thread on boring weather a while ago.
Anyway, it looks boring here in Canterbury with no rain, ie southerly changes to well into next week although ECMWF has a bit of a hint of something this coming WE.
A wee bit of rain over here on the East will do well at the moment.
Will it be a dry winter?
Are we going into an anticyclonic period?
The SOI is showing a trend to an La Nina period. Will this last?
Will June be very wet?

JohnGaul
NZTS

Manukau heads obs · Mon 17/04/2006 22:10

1040 hpa high i see its going to build too out to our east...
next low system for next sunday might have heavy showers for the NI ....

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Mon 17/04/2006 22:20

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:I think I had a thread on boring weather a while ago.
Anyway, it looks boring here in Canterbury with no rain, ie southerly changes to well into next week although ECMWF has a bit of a hint of something this coming WE.
A wee bit of rain over here on the East will do well at the moment.
Will it be a dry winter?
Are we going into an anticyclonic period?
The SOI is showing a trend to an La Nina period. Will this last?
Will June be very wet?

JohnGaul
NZTS

Some snow would be good this winter

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Mon 17/04/2006 22:44

Moderate rain falling at the moment with a pleasent 16C lovly night much like a late summers night only its autumn.
I agree John boring but interesting atleast its warm this week could be a build up to some rough weather on the horizon somewhere who knows.
Cheers
Jason.

Gary Roberts · Unread post by **Gary Roberts** » Mon 17/04/2006 23:28

Flutterbye wrote:Some snow would be good this winter

Already the locals have been saying the same tired old crap they spout every 12 months or so: "she's going to be a long, hard winter this year!"...but every time they're wrong, and I don't see why they'd be right now either.

Almost enough to make one believe in global warming, huh?

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 17/04/2006 23:32

some rain falling now, jase, nice and unpredicted lol

johngaul
nzts

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Mon 17/04/2006 23:57

hmmmm...

SEVERE WEATHER WATCH FOR BAY OF PLENTY
ISSUED BY METSERVICE AT 2041hrs 17-Apr-2006

SHORT PERIOD OF HEAVY THUNDERY DOWNPOURS FOR THE BAY OF PLENTY

MetService expects a narrow frontal rainband to cross the Bay of
Plenty during Tuesday afternoon and evening. The rainband is
preceded by a moderate strong northerly flow. There could be 6 to 9
hours of heavy thundery rain in some places with amounts getting
close to the warning criteria of 50mm in 6 hours or 60mm in 9 hours.
This is especially likely over the eastern Bay of Plenty area as the
front may slow down during Tuesday evening. However, currently there
is not enough certainty to issue a full warning.

Forecasters will continue to watch the situation, and warnings will
be issued during Tuesday morning if required.

People in the Bay of Plenty should keep up to date with the latest
forecasts.

This Watch will be reviewed by 9am Tuesday 18 March 2006
Forecast prepared by: Allister Gorman

For further information after 9pm contact Duty Forecaster Heath
Gullery

tgsnoopy you maybe in this time!

Rain streaming down west of the NI.. should make it's way here soon

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 18/04/2006 07:02

Some unstable air crossing the North Island today. Not much in the way of low level forcing today but the weak front will bring a heavy shower or two.

Daytime heating/low level convergence should trigger isolated thunderstorms in the Bay of Plenty/Toupo regions later today.

tgsnoopy · Unread post by **tgsnoopy** » Tue 18/04/2006 07:04

Darn, I was afraid of that. It's the time of the year when we have been flooded previously too!

Oh well. Time to charge some video camera batteries I guess

RWood · Unread post by **RWood** » Tue 18/04/2006 07:32

Gary Roberts wrote:
Flutterbye wrote:Some snow would be good this winter
Already the locals have been saying the same tired old crap they spout every 12 months or so: "she's going to be a long, hard winter this year!"...but every time they're wrong, and I don't see why they'd be right now either.

Almost enough to make one believe in global warming, huh?

One cold spell or a relatively cold month and they start up with that...

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Tue 18/04/2006 11:08

NZstorm wrote:Some unstable air crossing the North Island today. Not much in the way of low level forcing today but the weak front will bring a heavy shower or two.

Daytime heating/low level convergence should trigger isolated thunderstorms in the Bay of Plenty/Toupo regions later today.

Looks like it has been pretty heavy SW of here in Taharoa.. hopefully that line of rain offshore will squash up into here. Just moderate falls here.. should yes, see afternoon heavy showers around the regions.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Tue 18/04/2006 12:39

Heavy shower here, I see Greylynn has just had 6mm.

Dewpoints are 17C.

KiwiWeather · Unread post by **KiwiWeather** » Tue 18/04/2006 12:48

Tra la la la - THUNDER

Music to my ears - we have also just had a few heavy showers pass through.

Manukau heads obs · Tue 18/04/2006 12:54

9mm here in total now....
i could see heavy low hanging clouds over auckland city way,...

still raining,but we have had a windchange to the NW here now from the N

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 18/04/2006 13:02

Intermittent heavy rain here with 10.8mm last hour. Looks to be a line of convective cloud sliding across Auckland with that front.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Tue 18/04/2006 13:54

Intermittent heavy showers here. I see Greylynn has had 22mm with in the last 2 hours.

Manukau heads obs · Tue 18/04/2006 14:11

wow , the city got a good soaking in the end!
you will clear up soon, mangere is in the clear,and blue patches here now

KiwiWeather · Unread post by **KiwiWeather** » Tue 18/04/2006 14:44

Such a pity - I was really enjoying the rain

Manukau heads obs · Tue 18/04/2006 15:07

considering a 1021 hpa barometer, it was still an active front despite pushing into a high pressure area....but there was a good moisture feed from the north

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Tue 18/04/2006 15:13

Certainly not boring weather.. bring more of it on.
*looks at the 168 hour charts* mmmmmmm

Manukau heads obs · Tue 18/04/2006 15:29

that could be a good chase day in the waikato......with that SE wind change moving up///

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Tue 18/04/2006 15:52

considering a 1021 hpa barometer, it was still an active front despite pushing into a high pressure area....but there was a good moisture feed from the north

Yes and the High slowed the Front up, 26mm at Greylynn in about 2 hours.
I see 100mm at Greylynn for April so far.

Could be more heavy rain early next week.

Matt Townsend · Unread post by **Matt Townsend** » Tue 18/04/2006 16:24

That kind of weather isn't boring tho, lol i can see all you guys r so happy about the rainfalls and flash floodings!

Matt

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Tue 18/04/2006 17:06

....by boring, I was refering to Canterbury, not Auckland I think

As you said, Hardly boring up there today

JohnGaul
NZTS

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 18/04/2006 17:14

Mission Bay was flooded today with water into some of the shops there I was told. They got flooded back in December so maybe the storm water drainage there is not what it should be. Was some real downpours about though.

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