About next storm season: 2006/7

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Matt Townsend
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About next storm season: 2006/7

Unread post by Matt Townsend »

I wonder to see whats going to happen in our next storm season for NZL and Australia. El nino expected to come and bring great windshear and that would bring more gusty storms and tornadoes. I wonder our supercell chances here would gradually increasing 5% per year and now it seems 16% to me. :shock:

Any comments?
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03Stormchaser
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Re: About next storm season: 2006/7

Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

Matt Townsend wrote: I wonder our supercell chances here would gradually increasing 5% per year and now it seems 16% to me. :shock:

Any comments?
And what makes you think 16% percent??
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Unread post by Willoughby »

Wow some pretty big sweeping open minded comments there matt. :shock: :lol:
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Matt Townsend
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Unread post by Matt Townsend »

Because, there I have been in 13 storms in 2004/5 season and 5 of them were severe. 2005/6 season, I been in 15 severe ones which include 3 supercells and one tornadic supercell, and total I been in 44 storms! Seems 2006/7 season would be over 50 storms in total!
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Unread post by squid »

I dont think the el nio will come back for the nxt season but I will there enjoying the Severe storms with ya this coming season
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Unread post by NZ Thunderstorm Soc »

I think you have the tendancies wrong. Looks more La nina-ish from my perpective. :cry:

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Matt Townsend
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Unread post by Matt Townsend »

But why most of the people told me el nino is coming? Goddamnit, i think they were joking at us or what? :x
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Unread post by RWood »

In terms of current model predictions you are closer - things are expected to be neutral or near-neutral for a couple of seasons, but tending towards El Nino later (but it's too soon to put much confidence in that).
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