Thundery start to week

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Sun 28/05/2006 19:30

Weak trough bearing in over the upper North Island tomorrow morning.. too bad we're losing those high dewpoints though

But yeah i'd say target areas are Northern Taranaki/King Country/Waikato and a possible one over West Auckland. Water temps off the coast here are 17c, land temps tomorrow ~15c.. so they shouldn't gather very well. Surface & upper westerlies, until around 2pm with winds turning to the WSW.

Valid to: 12:00 am 30 May 2006 NZST
Issued at: 2:45 pm 28 May 2006 NZST

As a trough moves over northern New Zealand in the afternoon or evening bands of heavy showers are likely. The risk of any thunderstorms over the land from Northland to Bay of Plenty and the western ranges of Hawkes Bay is bordering on moderate since although it is expected to cool aloft by 3 or 4 degrees compared with Sunday, conditions will also be cooler and less moist at low levels. No other thunderstorms forecast but the expected southerly change from Wellington to Hawkes Bay is likely to bring some rain.
-MetService

Having said that.. bring on those beautiful dry sunny southeasterlies!

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Mon 29/05/2006 08:46

Scattered weak showers over the upper North Island currently.. should get heavier by lunch.. risks have subsided a bit though.

Wellington could cop it if that southerly change comes in early?

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Mon 29/05/2006 16:29

Surrre is quiet round here with our Ak'ers gone?
Bit of a fizzer.. small Cb's about with the odd heavy shower.

Beautiful big lofty mammatus hanging over us now.. biggest ive ever seen here!

Could be some hail then?

RWood · Unread post by **RWood** » Mon 29/05/2006 16:35

Boring dry southerly here, no dramas yet at all.

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Mon 29/05/2006 16:39

Im still here the SW hasnt pickedup yet

Foggy Hamilton wrote:Surrre is quiet round here with our Ak'ers gone?
Bit of a fizzer.. small Cb's about with the odd heavy shower.

Beautiful big lofty mammatus hanging over us now.. biggest ive ever seen here!
Could be some hail then?

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Mon 29/05/2006 16:46

MetService report there 'have been isolated thunderstorms from Waikato to Bay of Plenty'.. so good to see some land updrafts in action then!
We're not dead yet!

Looks like it's active over E BoP/Eastland now.

KiwiWeather · Unread post by **KiwiWeather** » Mon 29/05/2006 17:34

AKL WX Boring as ever

You get just enough of a hint of it to get excited and then everything fizzles into a big void of nothingness.

I was down in Taranaki when all the rain came to AKL - sigh - so I missed the fun. Fine, warm sunny days in New Plymouth for almost all the 3 weeks I was there - boring huh.

I returned to AKL to look forward to catching up with some rain and hail and thunda - only to get mild warm nights and only a bit of rain.

I have to admit, its been great in the early hours of the morning - with some decent downpours - only- they just don't last long enough.

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Tue 30/05/2006 08:35

I think early next week will be the next action for us dorklanders

Sundee looks to be a doozey too

Should get quite windy with good rainfall on ze west coast of the NI

in the meantime enjoy the diurnal temp ranges that autumn/winter is famous for. those crisp mornings (esp in the waikato foggy!) that turn into clement daytimes, and then the smell of log fires fills the evening air! Coupled with a nice glass of Shiraz....you beauty!

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Tue 30/05/2006 09:49

Great day! Clear, sunny 9c light SE.. just the way we like it

Yes, looks as though northeasterlies are going to develop with a broad low encompassing NZ by early Sunday

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Tue 30/05/2006 11:34

Not exactly flash here yet,some sun but sky watery with lots of clouds and still moving from the SW

Foggy Hamilton wrote:Great day! Clear, sunny 9c light SE.. just the way we like it

Yes, looks as though northeasterlies are going to develop with a broad low encompassing NZ by early Sunday

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Tue 30/05/2006 12:00

C-Nimbus wrote:I think early next week will be the next action for us dorklanders

Sundee looks to be a doozey too Should get quite windy with good rainfall on ze west coast of the NI

No thanks I'm going tramping!

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Tue 30/05/2006 12:07

now heavy Rain and South westerlies

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Tue 30/05/2006 13:19

yup, the remnants of an upper level trough has just passed thru newmarket with brief heavy rainfall

nothing to worry about tho $\:D/$

squid · Unread post by **squid** » Tue 30/05/2006 19:43

models are indicating that you could get another big low pressure system on the weekend should be plenty of storms with that if it happends.

ricky · Unread post by **ricky** » Tue 30/05/2006 19:47

yep looking quite good for later in the weekend..

Gary Roberts · Unread post by **Gary Roberts** » Tue 30/05/2006 19:55

What's the likelihood of snow, particularly in the South Island?

squid · Unread post by **squid** » Tue 30/05/2006 19:59

well it looks like it gonna be a NI top if SI event at this stadge so i would not yet your hope up to much at this point.

Gary Roberts · Unread post by **Gary Roberts** » Tue 30/05/2006 20:01

squid wrote:well it looks like it gonna be a NI top if SI event at this stadge so i would not yet your hope up to much at this point.

Met are forecasting fine and frosty, with fog, until at least Thursday for us down here. Friday might bring some cloud, but otherwise nice. If we're lucky we may get some Hoar frosts out of that frosty-foggy combo.

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Tue 30/05/2006 21:16

Could be some snow developing down your way from Sunday night, Gary

Possible thunder midweekend north of Bombay