Colder Event for Next WE - 10/11June 2006
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Colder Event for Next WE - 10/11June 2006
...at the moment
Looks like there could be a colder event for next WE in comparison of that experienced this WE if that area of high pressure in the Australian Bight develops to 1040hPa as some models suggest
JohnGaul
NZTS
Looks like there could be a colder event for next WE in comparison of that experienced this WE if that area of high pressure in the Australian Bight develops to 1040hPa as some models suggest
JohnGaul
NZTS
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Re: Colder Event for Next WE - 10/11June 2006
Models! Pffft! What do they know anyway? They're all bulimic!NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:...at the moment
Looks like there could be a colder event for next WE in comparison of that experienced this WE if that area of high pressure in the Australian Bight develops to 1040hPa as some models suggest
JohnGaul
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Re: Colder Event for Next WE - 10/11June 2006
Gary Roberts wrote:Models! Pffft! What do they know anyway? They're all bulimic!NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:...at the moment
Looks like there could be a colder event for next WE in comparison of that experienced this WE if that area of high pressure in the Australian Bight develops to 1040hPa as some models suggest
JohnGaul
NZTS
not really, some are really good
I used to like Elle Macpherson, to some called "The Body" but then you have our Racheal Hunter who was a model married to Rod Stewart.
The model Nioni Campbell caused a sensation in the weather world once when she predicted thunderstorms in Africa.
We do have our own TV weather model called Toni Marsh !!!!
...nuff said
JohnGaul
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Re: Colder Event for Next WE - 10/11June 2006
Touché! Oh so touché!NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:We do have our own TV weather model called Toni Marsh !!!!
...nuff said
JohnGaul
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Mmmmm...Toni...!
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Re: Colder Event for Next WE - 10/11June 2006
NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:Gary Roberts wrote: Models! Pffft! What do they know anyway? They're all bulimic!
not really, some are really good
I used to like Elle Macpherson, to some called "The Body" but then you have our Racheal Hunter who was a model married to Rod Stewart.
The model Nioni Campbell caused a sensation in the weather world once when she predicted thunderstorms in Africa.
We do have our own TV weather model called Toni Marsh !!!!
...nuff said
JohnGaul
NZTS
I don't know how it could get much colder than it is - though it's dry here.
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Re: Colder Event for Next WE - 10/11June 2006
What's the temp there?Flutterbye wrote:I don't know how it could get much colder than it is - though it's dry here.
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Re: Colder Event for Next WE - 10/11June 2006
2.1 - wind chill temp -1.7Gary Roberts wrote:What's the temp there?Flutterbye wrote:I don't know how it could get much colder than it is - though it's dry here.
24 inside though
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....seriously, I think this southerly/Sw will persist throughout, this week sending up the occasional cold front but the one at the WE looks the best with a possible 1040hPa anticyclone in the Australian Bight dropping it's ridges to quite a low latitiude which should enhance a rather cold flow in from the south this WE.
Hows that for a long sentence
JohnGaul
NZTS
Hows that for a long sentence
JohnGaul
NZTS
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Looking quite interesting ahead this low is looking deep and very windy for some especially North Island come sunday,monday.
Looks like after the low it's going to be a week of strong W-SW winds and changeable weather.
If the low holds together like it's shaping up to be you might want to re think on sailing in the North Island .
I wonder if we will get another go at snow .
Cheers
Jason.
Looks like after the low it's going to be a week of strong W-SW winds and changeable weather.
If the low holds together like it's shaping up to be you might want to re think on sailing in the North Island .
I wonder if we will get another go at snow .
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
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Westport/Nelson, Taranaki, Marlbough and Wellington should be in for heavy rain over the weekend. Westport and Nelson ranges esp 200mm+
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Looking more and more likely for us to be getting a decent cold blast out of late MON/early TUES...850 Hpa temps shaping up to be mighty chilly (-4 to -8 down south!)
...and with what looks likely to be moisture-laden air to boot!
The cold air will *SQUEEZE* out that moisture, for sure...in the form of snow?...probably, we'll see how low she goes... Hail/sleet? For sure...
( I just hope we don't get any freezing rain...ice everywhere!!)
Out of curiousity...when was the last time something like that has happened in NZ? I've been here over 6 years now and can't remember an icing event.......
...and with what looks likely to be moisture-laden air to boot!
The cold air will *SQUEEZE* out that moisture, for sure...in the form of snow?...probably, we'll see how low she goes... Hail/sleet? For sure...
( I just hope we don't get any freezing rain...ice everywhere!!)
Out of curiousity...when was the last time something like that has happened in NZ? I've been here over 6 years now and can't remember an icing event.......
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yeah although it wont amount to much. There is an inversion at 1500m according to whenuapai soundings, with a 2nd much weaker inversion at about 5000mCameo1 wrote:Some interesting weather happening out there at the moment. Just had a very brief burst of heavy rain, and the blackest clouds are around out there at the moment.
I think this is what NZstorm would refer to as a "capped environment"??
and there were some really cool cloud bases out west too with stringy stuff hanging off the bottom. I am assuming its convergence of some kind?
keep and eye on the thunderstorms developing off Sydney right now. This should spin up to form a good complex low about mondee/tuesdee next week. You should start to see high cloud spewing out of this on the weekend.
You can see that the moisture feed has developed really well just in the last 24 hours. This will presumably fuel the system as it traverses the tazzie, but as foggy has suggested it shouldn't result in 'storms' as such for us, more likely yukky rainy stuff !!
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My faith is more with Blue Skies (always has been, I might add )tich wrote:Blue Skies is now predicting such an outbreak, but MetService isn't.Looking more and more likely for us to be getting a decent cold blast out of late MON/early TUES...850 Hpa temps shaping up to be mighty chilly (-4 to -8 down south!)