Cold snap starting Monday 3rd July until...

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Mon 03/07/2006 20:52

cheers for that lyn. good to keep up with the updates

Fujita Phil · Unread post by **Fujita Phil** » Mon 03/07/2006 21:02

Jasestrm wrote:Looks simular to the 12th June on the maps but I say no more until I see flakes falling.
Notify us Phil when it starts snowing in dunedin.
Cheers
Jason.

Will do... unless it's 3 am, then you can get stuffed

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 03/07/2006 21:07

No storm, unfortunately against tomorrow's BLAST from the south.
I don't think the barometer will fall enough to allow a stormy weather change.

If it does rain, there will be some snow falling here,especially down to below sea-level as I earlier predicted

The weather will clear up quickly to produce some fine days onward from tomorrow night

Hot NW on Friday

JohnGaul
NZTS

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Mon 03/07/2006 21:09

Fujita Phil wrote:
Jasestrm wrote:Looks simular to the 12th June on the maps but I say no more until I see flakes falling.
Notify us Phil when it starts snowing in dunedin.
Cheers
Jason.
Will do... unless it's 3 am, then you can get stuffed

gllitz · Unread post by **gllitz** » Mon 03/07/2006 21:18

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:No storm, unfortunately against tomorrow's BLAST from the south.
I don't think the barometer will fall enough to allow a stormy weather change.
If it does rain, there will be some snow falling here,especially down to below sea-level as I earlier predicted
The weather will clear up quickly to produce some fine days onward from tomorrow night
Hot NW on Friday

JohnGaul
NZTS

...not to mention after the warm NW looking...err..interesting...but subject to another thread, of course

We need to get past tomorrow and tomorrow night first...

Oh yeah:

http://weather.unisys.com/gfsx/9panel/g ... l_aus.html

gllitz · Unread post by **gllitz** » Mon 03/07/2006 21:28

Interesting 9 pm radar pic for you there, Flutterbye...

http://www.metvuw.com

...plus, gotta say I like the new look of the METVUW.com radar underlays...

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Mon 03/07/2006 21:32

gllitz wrote:Interesting 9 pm radar pic for you there, Flutterbye...

http://www.metvuw.com

...plus, gotta say I like the new look of the METVUW.com radar underlays...

~Sighs~ It will only be a little boring rain.

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Mon 03/07/2006 21:41

Models chopping and changing, possibly a bit of an non-event. Im not saying there wont be any snow, but not as much as metservice are predicting, not that we should be looking at there forecasts!!

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 03/07/2006 21:54

03Stormchaser wrote:Models chopping and changing, possibly a bit of an non-event. Im not saying there wont be any snow, but not as much as metservice are predicting, not that we should be looking at there forecasts!!

OH DARN ...Bugger

Looking forward to those below sea-level snowfalls

JohnGaul
NZTS

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Mon 03/07/2006 21:57

dont worry people its going to happen.well i think it will anyway i do like the look of the radars my self actaully.

Janos · Unread post by **Janos** » Mon 03/07/2006 21:57

Light rain just starting...still sitting on 7.7deg and no wind.

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Mon 03/07/2006 22:01

Janos wrote:Light rain just starting...still sitting on 7.7deg and no wind.

Well that got there quick.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 03/07/2006 22:04

Notify us Phil when it starts snowing in dunedin.

And I'll keep a watch for snow flakes in Auckland.

Janos · Unread post by **Janos** » Mon 03/07/2006 22:11

No this does not have the Invercargill branding on it. Its come from elsewhere

JP. · Unread post by **JP.** » Mon 03/07/2006 22:20

10pm and 9.9c here in halswell..

Its way way to warm to snow but I'll keep an eye out tonight..

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Mon 03/07/2006 22:44

Janos wrote:No this does not have the Invercargill branding on it. Its come from elsewhere

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Mon 03/07/2006 22:47

JP wrote:10pm and 9.9c here in halswell..

Its way way to warm to snow but I'll keep an eye out tonight..

That means nothing.
Warm advection snow is the worst type.
The barometer is dropping a bit it is a bit tooo high for anything major to happen.

JohnGaul
NZTS

sw_windbow · Unread post by **sw_windbow** » Mon 03/07/2006 23:08

Just started raining or heavy showering in the last minute here in North Dunedin.

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Mon 03/07/2006 23:08

JP wrote:10pm and 9.9c here in halswell..

Its way way to warm to snow but I'll keep an eye out tonight..

jp its not even here yet.its proberbly like 2 hours away.

squid · Unread post by **squid** » Mon 03/07/2006 23:20

looks like tomorrow is going to be the day

Issued by MetService at 08:05pm 03-Jul-2006

SNOW TO LOW LEVELS IN OTAGO AND CANTERBURY TUESDAY MORNING
A cold front sweeping over the South Island tonight and in the
morning is expected to be accompanied by another cold southerly
outbreak which could bring snow to low levels from Southland to the
Kaikoura Coast. Heaviest falls are likely to be in the Canterbury
hills with up to 20cm there above about 500 metres in about 6 hours
and lesser amounts lower down. Some snow may reach sea level for a
time in the morning.
In eastern Otago snow showers may bring 10cm as low as 100 metres in
about 6 hours in the morning with lesser amounts down to near sea
level. The snow should ease to lighter showers later in the day but
strong cold southerlies will continue into Wednesday.

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION FOR EMERGENCY MANAGERS AND TECHNICAL USERS FOLLOWS:

HEAVY SNOW WARNING

AREAS AFFECTED: EASTERN OTAGO, CANTERBURY, KAIKOURA COAST

FORECAST:

CANTERBURY
Rain is expected to turn to snow early Tuesday morning with cold
southerlies developing. In the 6 to 9 hours from about 2am Tuesday
15-20cm of snow is possible above 500 metres in the foothills,
10-15cm is likely above 100m and lesser amounts of snow or sleet are
possible down to sea-level. Snow should then ease to scattered
showers but strong cold southerly winds will continue.

OTAGO
Cold southerlies will spread north overnight. In the six hours from
about midnight Monday 10cm of snow may fall in eastern areas to near
sea-level. Snow should then ease to scattered showers but the strong
cold southerly winds continue.

KAIKOURA COAST
Cold southerlies will spread north Tuesday morning. In 6 to 9 hours
from about 8am Tuesday 10-15cm of snow may accumulate above 300
metres with lesser amounts of snow or sleet to near sea-level. Snow
should then ease to scattered showers but strong cold southerly winds
continue.

Andrew Massie · Unread post by **Andrew Massie** » Mon 03/07/2006 23:50

Well, the rain gauge has been emptied, the barometer's s-l-o-w-l-y dropping, currently 1004hPa, the temp is 7deg and the wind is 3kph from the NE... 4deg dew point and waiting..... Think i'll go to bed after 12am radar update...

You still awake Lyn? If so, what's it like htere now?

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Tue 04/07/2006 00:38

MetService sound quite a bit hopeful with today's forecasts of snow in the south.

Giving them the boot after yesterday, missed forecasting the fog event by dawn and then a total failure to even nowcast during the day.

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Tue 04/07/2006 06:30

Southerly is just strenthining here now with a little bit of rain falling so nothing white as of yet

.
It's 6C out so too warm at the moment for anything but I can see it developing by the 6am radar below some areas of heavyness developing perhaps indicating something.
No temps are below 0C in the south island at the moment either coldest is gore on 3C.
Whats it like in Dunedin this morning.

Cheers
Jason.

colin manson · Unread post by **colin manson** » Tue 04/07/2006 07:03

why it so warm !

Janos · Unread post by **Janos** » Tue 04/07/2006 07:21

Its been very wet /temp4.5deg.
No sign of any snow .