NIWA winter prediction?

RWood · Unread post by **RWood** » Sat 08/07/2006 08:45

(being away I may have already missed an update for July-Sept season, and I see Fencepost already has one for this period), but here goes:

Unless there is a radical move towards warmer conditions for the next 6-7 weeks, their June-August prediction for temps. looks to be going badly awry - not sure when this last happened. I recall the rainfall predictions for summer 2001-2002 being well off the mark.

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Sat 08/07/2006 10:26

Warming rapidly now.. may reach 17Â°C here tomorrow (HOT!)

But overall I think July will be a bit above average temp-wise.. with above average rainfall in the west.
This upcoming cold change will be critical however.. will it prevail?

Manukau heads obs · Sat 08/07/2006 11:18

back to better winter temperatures at out place now...14oC by 11am

just in taupo at the moment, 11.1oC here..strong WSW, lake is real rough

heading up to turoa this arvo to help with setting up of the weather software on the mountain (local LAN info only)

Andy · Unread post by **Andy** » Sat 08/07/2006 11:21

Yep i think we have seen out the coldest stage of winter. Lol i don't think it can get any colder

Bring on Spring !

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sat 08/07/2006 11:53

Agree the worst of Winter is behind us now.
Temperatures are getting back to normal and look like they will be perhaps above the average into next week.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Sat 08/07/2006 12:10

The worst is yet to come folks...August is always the snow month for Canterbury....

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Sat 08/07/2006 12:48

Warming rapidly now.. may reach 17Â°C here tomorrow (HOT!)

Finally, a mild day in Chch - hasn't been a day this warm for about 4 weeks. (16th June)

Janos · Unread post by **Janos** » Sat 08/07/2006 12:50

July/August is also the snow month for Dunedin and Otago.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sat 08/07/2006 14:35

I doubt we will see such a prolonged period of below average temps like we did in June.

Smeagol · Unread post by **Smeagol** » Sat 08/07/2006 15:45

Seemed tropical here today with temp reaching 20.9Â°C!

Andy · Unread post by **Andy** » Sat 08/07/2006 16:27

Smeagol wrote:Seemed tropical here today with temp reaching 20.9Â°C!

Hey thats great news, i hope it has melted some snow, i know a few people who are sick of the sight of it.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Sat 08/07/2006 16:36

Augers well for fast running rugby.....

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Sat 08/07/2006 17:06

be pretty much the same old...SW and rain mostly

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Sun 09/07/2006 12:21

Razor wrote:The worst is yet to come folks...August is always the snow month for Canterbury....

yeah i agree there razor. Christchurch does usaully get most snow storms in the August period, however it will be interesting to see what happens in the next couple of weeks is well.

Smeagol · Unread post by **Smeagol** » Sun 09/07/2006 18:25

Another warm 16Â°C NW day for us

Reminds me of summer...

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Sun 09/07/2006 18:37

what does that mean for french fries?I saw 16 of them yesterday.

JohnGaul
NZTS

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Sun 09/07/2006 18:39

Razor wrote:Augers well for fast running rugby.....

Whos Auger, It that auger auer???????
French fries ...equall French tries

JohnGaul
NZTS

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Sun 09/07/2006 20:25

It gave us the same old crap,high too far northReminds us winter goes till December

Smeagol wrote:Another warm 16Â°C NW day for us

Reminds me of summer...

Cameo1 · Unread post by **Cameo1** » Sun 09/07/2006 22:34

Even though the days are getting longer now, it usually gets colder before it gets hotter, and Winter drags out quite a bit anyway

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Sun 09/07/2006 22:51

Cameo1 wrote:Even though the days are getting longer now, it usually gets colder before it gets hotter, and Winter drags out quite a bit anyway

Yep - I think it's a bit too soon to put the scarf & gloves away yet.

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Mon 10/07/2006 10:32

The extremes ie hotter than average or colder than average ie June gives us better weather than this stuff like today,although winds have dropped its still rains every cloud

RWood · Unread post by **RWood** » Tue 15/08/2006 08:43

I think NIWA may have expected northerly-quarter anomalies in August to "rebalance" the winter temps. a bit - not a very "hot" prospect at the moment?