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North Island 19 -21 st July - dooozey!
Posted: Thu 13/07/2006 15:19
by C-Nimbus
looks to be a real pearler on the cards for this time next week. May pay to keep an eye out if your in the BOP/Hawkes Bay region yet again.
Models suggest quite a tight centred low to be present on thursday morning. If it pans out then there could be gale force winds from the SE too which may have the potential to cause damage.
Metvuw has it at about 980Hpa on thurs morning.
crikey
Posted: Thu 13/07/2006 17:02
by Andy
Yes looking Nasty
Posted: Thu 13/07/2006 18:33
by Storm Struck
This would be the low which is execpted to fire lots of welcome rain to SE and some central parts of Australia.
Although It's a wee way out and models can change looks like the low might colide with a cold front from the south
.
But I say no more and hope the models go as they are showing.
Considering this low system we have now has decided to go to sleep.
Cheers
Jason.
Posted: Thu 13/07/2006 18:39
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Nah! . It will be nothing.
Weather gets boring at times like this
JohnGaul
NZTS
Posted: Fri 14/07/2006 09:10
by Razor
Looks like you can cancel this prediction now...blocking high coming to ruin the party
Posted: Fri 14/07/2006 09:31
by C-Nimbus
yeah man .....bastardoooos!
oh well ya never know things could change, i think we can still expect some significant rain fall late next week
Posted: Fri 14/07/2006 12:01
by squid
looks like this is another NI event, with the low already formed and starting to deepen, heavy rain warning is out from Gisbone to WAIRARAPA.
Posted: Sun 16/07/2006 11:20
by spwill
The Low will be tracking further North this time so Northland ,Coromandel and BOP most likely in the firing line for any heavy rain from Wendsday.
Stunning day here in the South Easterly.
Posted: Sun 16/07/2006 22:48
by mikestormchaser
Jasestrm wrote:This would be the low which is execpted to fire lots of welcome rain to SE and some central parts of Australia.
Although It's a wee way out and models can change looks like the low might colide with a cold front from the south
.
But I say no more and hope the models go as they are showing.
Considering this low system we have now has decided to go to sleep.
Cheers
Jason.
agreed mate
Posted: Mon 17/07/2006 07:14
by Shepherds Valley WX
I hope it won't affect the Wellington region....we have a AB's Test this Saturday night vs the Bok's at the Caketin... be great to put the Sth Africans under the hammer on a dry and hopefully fast track!!!
Anyone keen to make a long range prediction for this Saturday nights weather?
Posted: Mon 17/07/2006 08:26
by ricky
Cold Southerly!
Posted: Mon 17/07/2006 09:15
by C-Nimbus
ricky wrote:Cold Southerly!
i'll second that!, hence why i have just ordered firewood for this week..
Brrrrr for later on!
Posted: Mon 17/07/2006 16:10
by NZ Thunderstorm Soc
Shepherds Valley WX wrote:I hope it won't affect the Wellington region....we have a AB's Test this Saturday night vs the Bok's at the Caketin... be great to put the Sth Africans under the hammer on a dry and hopefully fast track!!!
Anyone keen to make a long range prediction for this Saturday nights weather?
FOG
JohnGaul
NZTS
Posted: Mon 17/07/2006 16:12
by Razor
In Windy
Wellington at this time of year...somehow I doubt it
Posted: Tue 18/07/2006 07:57
by Manukau heads obs
pea soup fog here this morning, very thick
which i see Ricky has too in auckland
http://www.weather-display.com/windy/gb/webcamjava.html
http://www.portunus.net.nz/weather/cam.jpg
auckland airport could be affected?
Posted: Wed 19/07/2006 14:22
by C-Nimbus
EEEEUGGHH!!! gross day here in Auckers,
grey, grey, grey, michael, grey, grey, oh a drizzly rainy stuff!
look out coro and BOP 2moro i'd say
Posted: Wed 19/07/2006 14:31
by Razor
C-Nimbus wrote:EEEEUGGHH!!! gross day here in Auckers,
grey, grey, grey, michael, grey, grey, oh a drizzly rainy stuff!
look out coro and BOP 2moro i'd say
Coro today I'd say.
At least its not SW
Posted: Wed 19/07/2006 15:34
by C-Nimbus
heavy persistent rain in Newmarket now...
Posted: Wed 19/07/2006 15:40
by spike_01
Rain here... Only light so far...
Posted: Wed 19/07/2006 16:42
by huttcrazy
Persistent rain in Lower Hutt now. Looks like the worst of this system is going slightly further North than originally thought now.
Cheers
James
PS to Macca. A wisp of drizzle in a decaying Southerly for Saturday evening. Its not looking too bad at the moment.
Posted: Wed 19/07/2006 16:45
by C-Nimbus
...and heres why its persistent boring rain...
just a big sheet of nimbostratus covering most of the NI.
I doubt there'd be any funder and lightning in that one...tho metservice have a moderate warning out.
tropo is at about 10,000m but i dont know if thats enuff height for T/S??
Posted: Wed 19/07/2006 17:04
by spwill
I doubt there'd be any funder and lightning in that one...tho metservice have a moderate warning out.
tropo is at about 10,000m but i dont know if thats enuff height for T/S??
Yes, there were some storms (weak) West/NW of Northland ( out to Sea) this morn.
Dull with mod rain here
, 10mm, currently 13C.
Posted: Wed 19/07/2006 17:42
by NZstorm
tropo is at about 10,000m but i dont know if thats enuff height for T/S??
10,000m would be a high topped thunderstorm for this time of year. Generaly NZ winter thunderstorm tops are around the 7 to 9000m mark.
Should have unstable lapse rates over northern NZ tommorrow but a lack of forcing keeps the thunder risk down.
Posted: Wed 19/07/2006 18:14
by Manukau heads obs
been quite heavy rain here...dense rain.....25mm or so now...
Posted: Wed 19/07/2006 19:43
by Manukau heads obs
a relatively tight low center has developed near us here....on the front..to the south of us now...the wind has gone W and increased surprisingly quickly....and the rain has eased...31mm now...
