Storm over NZ, Aug 6th-10th

squid · Unread post by **squid** » Sat 05/08/2006 12:14

dont worry michael your fav wind will be back soon the SW

Manukau heads obs · Sat 05/08/2006 15:02

if the low can slide enough down the coast line tomorrow, we might get a classic NNW shift from the NE here, with the frontal passage....

off topic, the classic hits announcer repeated the spam email about the planet mars looking at big as the moon in the night sky on the 27th august.....i cant believe people believe that sort of rubbish,...especialy as you cant see it now.....it was actualy at its closet point to earth many months ago now...

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Sat 05/08/2006 15:36

That was in 2003 when it at its best opposition in many years at 27 arc minutes which shows it as a -2.9 magitude star.

Manukau heads observer wrote:off topic, the classic hits announcer repeated the spam email about the planet mars looking at big as the moon in the night sky on the 27th august.....i cant believe people believe that sort of rubbish,...especialy as you cant see it now.....it was actualy at its closet point to earth many months ago now...

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Sat 05/08/2006 16:29

Looks like a spell of solid rain for Canterbury from late tomorrow to early Tuesday. GFS seems to have the worse case scenario, with a prolonged period of heavy rain in the east of the South Island, the southerlies persisting through much of the week.

But such outlooks have been suggested on previous occasions over the last few years and in the end haven't delivered weather as bad as the models had predicted.

MetService has issued a moderate risk of heavy rain for Canterbury on Monday and Tuesday, but Blue Skies hasn't updated its long-range forecast for Canterbury today, at least on the ATS site.

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Sat 05/08/2006 17:08

tich wrote:Blue Skies hasn't updated its long-range forecast for Canterbury today, at least on the ATS site.

Its showing now, there was an html error in the file. However, looks like I'm going to have to update it in the light of the 0Z model run.

Angel · Unread post by **Angel** » Sat 05/08/2006 17:12

Sorry if it's been said already - severe weather warning for Northland at the mo.. I just drove home from Auckland and it took me 5 hours instead of 3 due to flooding/rain etc..

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Sat 05/08/2006 19:39

Rain getting pretty heavy here in the waitakere's now...rain radar looking like a very wet night ahead, with a second front to follow tomorrow apparently. The hatches are battened.....

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Sat 05/08/2006 19:42

The latest LAPS run looks quite hazardous for the Eastern BoP on Monday.. could see 24 hour totals being recorded in the excess of 140mm in places like Rotorua, Whakatane if it pans out.

4.4mm so far.. mainly light.. looks like it's becoming moderate to heavy over Kaipara Harbour.. behind the warm front's clearance zone.

Heaviest rain of this system should fall tonight in western areas.

uretiti · Unread post by **uretiti** » Sat 05/08/2006 20:49

Well can report from Waipu - we have had rain wind all day but not that bad, but in the last half hour - the rain has gotten heavier and the wind has picked up some more ...!! pretty bad here and supposed to be worse tomorrow

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sat 05/08/2006 21:06

I see Brynderwyn near Waipu has had 40mm today with 8.6mm in the last hour.

Mostly light to mod rain here.

Janos · Unread post by **Janos** » Sat 05/08/2006 21:15

Just another fine sunny day here in the South.

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Sat 05/08/2006 21:24

Janos wrote:Just another fine sunny day here in the South.

Ditto

uretiti · Unread post by **uretiti** » Sat 05/08/2006 21:52

spwill wrote:I see Brynderwyn near Waipu has had 40mm today with 8.6mm in the last hour.

Mostly light to mod rain here.

yep can believe that spwill, will be interesting to watch over the next wee while, it seems to be getting heavier all the time

, hate to think what its gonna be like 2morrow.....

Angel · Unread post by **Angel** » Sat 05/08/2006 22:22

Got rained on at the loo's in waipu today.. was coming straight in from the roof

Wasnt nice there at all lol

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Sat 05/08/2006 22:35

Angel wrote:Got rained on at the loo's in waipu today.. was coming straight in from the roof Wasnt nice there at all lol

uretiti · Unread post by **uretiti** » Sat 05/08/2006 22:36

Angel wrote:Got rained on at the loo's in waipu today.. was coming straight in from the roof Wasnt nice there at all lol

omg

not raining in the loo's....not in waip surely.....hate it when that happens...lol
anyway still pissng down in the loo leaking city of waipu

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Sat 05/08/2006 23:10

NZstorm wrote:Ridge should ensure the low passes to our west Michael. Classic warm front conditions today, cold and wet. Should see much milder weather tomorrow as the warm front passes through. I notice the dewpoint at Norfolk Island 18C.

Looks like warm front is thru over Cape Reinga.. 16/16 there now. Looks like we will see those sort of DP's tomorrow.

Quikscat satellite showing nicely the wind and rain during overnight and into the morning!

(Ascending pass)

squid · Unread post by **squid** » Sat 05/08/2006 23:45

can you explain what the map means plz i have no idea what it means.

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Sun 06/08/2006 00:15

Will be waiting for when our rain starts late tomorrow afternoon but otherwise I enjoyed today when the sun came out at about lunchtime.
Good time to get out in the garden get a few things done.
I see the snow storm book of the 12th June from the Press is out in book shops now will have to lay hands on it with money next time I drop by.

This Low will be one to watch major concern will be farmers on the high country of Canterbury when the flow tends more strong cold southerly on Monday.
I have warnings out on my site too.
Cheers
Jason.

Only one more

$\:D/$

Manukau heads obs · Sun 06/08/2006 07:24

gusting to 30 kts here at times with heavy rain now...23mm now....
warming up now, 13.7oC

Manukau heads obs · Sun 06/08/2006 07:58

rain radar shows its going to clear the auckland area soon, the main warm frontal rain band

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Sun 06/08/2006 08:06

Dargaville 17Â°C, Dunedin Ap -5Â°C. That's quite a spread!

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Sun 06/08/2006 08:17

Rain has eased off here, 29mm has fallen.

A mild 14C, dp 13C. Would be nice to see a little sunshine today out on the Manakau peninsula.

Angel · Unread post by **Angel** » Sun 06/08/2006 08:34

Still raining harder than ever up north.. Did I tell you guys I moved from Kerikeri to Okaihau? (25mins west of kerikeri) Much better weather out here cuz it's in the middle of no-where ^_^ I was gonna go out and do some weather photos today, but it's too cold and wet

Manukau heads obs · Sun 06/08/2006 08:43

shame the brywnderwyn site has data problems.....the barometer has been playing up (rainwise 2000 station)..might be a battery level problem...and i think when its ready to low,the software is then ignoring the data...