Wintry weekend in the South.

Janos · Unread post by **Janos** » Wed 09/08/2006 13:28

I see that Fencepost is suggesting snow to sea level this coming weekend.

gllitz · Unread post by **gllitz** » Wed 09/08/2006 13:36

Janos wrote:I see that Fencepost is suggesting snow to sea level this coming weekend.

Yeah, the latest GFSx model run for 0600 our time shows 500MB thickness down to 520

shock:), dew points below freezing, and surface temps around the freezing mark...850 temps at around -8 and progging around 10mm of precip so far...looks like the white stuff may come down to sea level, but as we all know, models change all the time...here's hoping

tidd66 · Unread post by **tidd66** » Wed 09/08/2006 14:15

See metservice is predicting snow this weekend too.

Snowlover · Unread post by **Snowlover** » Wed 09/08/2006 16:22

Metservice is not predicting snow for Christchurch yet tho

squid · Unread post by **squid** » Wed 09/08/2006 17:03

not yet snowlover patience my friend

squid · Unread post by **squid** » Wed 09/08/2006 17:08

Valid: Fri 11 Aug to Mon 14 Aug
Issued: Wed 09 August 2006 at 01:45 pm

A disturbed southwest flow is expected to cover New Zealand for most of the outlook period.

On Saturday, a front followed by very cold air is expected to spread northwards over the country. Snow will probably lower to sea level over the southern South Island, with a risk of heavy falls above 200 metres or so in Southland, south Otago, and the Otago Peninsula.

Snow showers are likely to fall to low levels in the east of both islands, the south of the South Island, and the central plateau. Some heavy snowfalls are possible Saturday to Sunday about Banks Peninsula, and higher parts of the central plateau.

The ranges of Wairarapa and Hawkes Bay could also receive some heavy falls, but the risk here is much lower.

On Monday, a ridge should spread onto the country. (metservice)

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Wed 09/08/2006 19:04

ohh interesting hmmmm

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Wed 09/08/2006 20:35

May see the odd thunder/hailstorm spring up on the Canterbury Plains this Saturday.. conditions look increasingly unstable.

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Wed 09/08/2006 20:56

Foggy Hamilton wrote:May see the odd thunder/hailstorm spring up on the Canterbury Plains this Saturday.. conditions look increasingly unstable.

Just said that to Aaron, must have read my mind!! XD Possibly sunday aswell.

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Wed 09/08/2006 21:00

i know it may be winter but i love thunderstorms and any chance we can get of them ill love it, sounds good that the air will be unstable, good for storms on the weekend.

sw_windbow · Unread post by **sw_windbow** » Wed 09/08/2006 21:11

I better sharpen up my snow shovel.

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Wed 09/08/2006 22:29

Another bitting one on the way not unusual for August though

.
Great read in the paper this morning Tony great comments as usual

.
Thunderstorms would like to see

havn't heard thunder since March.
Ohh wait there was thunder the other day

ohh no that was Winston Peters entering the county

.
Flakes wouldnt mind seeing again either but one can only wish for one thing not two or can he

$\:D/$ .
Cheers
Jason.

Andrew Massie · Unread post by **Andrew Massie** » Thu 10/08/2006 00:02

Woohoo! Charging camera batteries! We going chasing team? Got a lightning potential number for us John?

Janos · Unread post by **Janos** » Thu 10/08/2006 07:24

Cold one this morning -4.5deg....cant find any ref to the weather arriving in the weekend anywhere in the ODT probably because all the pages are taken up with this new stadium thing.

Weathermad · Unread post by **Weathermad** » Thu 10/08/2006 07:29

Chilly here too with -4.9 degrees here on the outskirts of Christchurch with a 6.4 degree frost...makes a change from all the wet,windy and cold conditions of recent days!

Andy · Unread post by **Andy** » Thu 10/08/2006 07:52

Cold start here too, air temp -7.4Â°

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Thu 10/08/2006 10:07

Brrr - a 10.9Â° frost this morning and I recorded a low of -4.6Â°

gllitz · Unread post by **gllitz** » Thu 10/08/2006 10:54

Flutterbye wrote:Brrr - a 10.9Â° frost this morning and I recorded a low of -4.6Â°

I noticed MS now has SNOWFLAKES for you there, Flutterbye

Not to mention many other places on the S. Island...I wonder when they will change over the icons to snow flakes for the rest of us...

(Models have been pretty consistent and looking like it is gonna be a VERY cold weekend...perhaps I can "assemble the un-assembled snowmen from heaven" with my daughter again?

snowstar · Unread post by **snowstar** » Thu 10/08/2006 10:54

Good morning all. New member here so please bear with me. I am a complete weather novice but am very interested in it especially the snow.

Freezing here in Chch and just wondering if we will get any snow this weekend. Any good sites anyone can recommend please? Thanks

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Thu 10/08/2006 11:03

gllitz wrote:
Flutterbye wrote:Brrr - a 10.9Â° frost this morning and I recorded a low of -4.6Â°
I noticed MS now has SNOWFLAKES for you there, Flutterbye Not to mention many other places on the S. Island...I wonder when they will change over the icons to snow flakes for the rest of us...
(Models have been pretty consistent and looking like it is gonna be a VERY cold weekend...perhaps I can "assemble the un-assembled snowmen from heaven" with my daughter again?

As I've said before - I'll believe it when I see it.

Weathermad · Unread post by **Weathermad** » Thu 10/08/2006 11:08

Welcome Snowstar and good to have you on board!

Snow sites...mmm...I dont know of any particular ones but Im sure others will

The forecast sites are fencepost.com(Blue Skies) and metservice.co.nz

Hope you enjoy your time here

snowstar · Unread post by **snowstar** » Thu 10/08/2006 11:14

Thank you kindly for the welcome

I normally use Metservice and will have a look at Blueskies Here's to snow for the weekend $\:D/$

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Thu 10/08/2006 11:35

Looks more like a south/southwesterly outbreak, rather than the wet cyclonic southerlies we've been getting lately. So more likely to be wintry showers with sleet, snow and hail, rather than persistent rain or snow. (so the waterlogged areas hopefully shouldn't get much more preciptation) Still could easily be heavy snow showers in exposed areas, esp the southeast of the South Island.

Snowlover · Unread post by **Snowlover** » Thu 10/08/2006 13:32

Where are Christchurch's snow icons

Metservice come on!!! lol

Snowlover · Unread post by **Snowlover** » Thu 10/08/2006 13:40

Metservice are saying snow to 400m on Saturday for Canterbury high country and 300m on Sunday. Guess Christchurch isn't going to see snow this time then

NZ Weather Forum

Wintry weekend in the South.

Wintry weekend in the South.

Re: Wintry weekend in the South.

Hi