Another burst of cold early next week.

Janos · Unread post by **Janos** » Thu 17/08/2006 13:22

Starting to appear in the forecasts another burst of possible low level snow for Southland and Otago early next week.

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Thu 17/08/2006 14:31

Janos wrote:Starting to appear in the forecasts another burst of possible low level snow for Southland and Otago early next week.

'Sleety showers to sea level' - I heard that just recently and I'm still waiting.

Janos · Unread post by **Janos** » Thu 17/08/2006 14:58

Oh yes Flutterbye dont we know the smell of dissapointment.

Snowlover · Unread post by **Snowlover** » Thu 17/08/2006 15:07

Looks like its another Monday event too lol

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Thu 17/08/2006 17:41

At this stage it looks like snow to 150m over Fiordland and Southland. Otago and Canterbury should be relatively sheltered from this event I would think.

With the future high centered over SE Aus.. and the ridge intensified over the Southern Ocean it could get quite interesting.

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Thu 17/08/2006 19:03

I was going to put up a posting called "Monday-ICE-tis" but you have bet me too it by this posting. ..bugger

All these cold weather events seem to be occuring on a Monday.

By the way I have put out my first thunderstorm warning of the forth-coming 2006/2008 thunderstormn season.
A 3 for sunday and a 1 for Monday.
These could alter as we get closer to the day.
JohnGaul
NZTS

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Thu 17/08/2006 23:56

Progs' have ECMWF 524dm, GFS 520dm for Monday midday over Dunedin.
Watch this space.

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Fri 18/08/2006 08:18

ok so i have to go to invercargill for a couple or three days from mondee next week......am i gunna get snowed on?

(heres hoping!!)

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Fri 18/08/2006 08:29

C-Nimbus wrote:ok so i have to go to invercargill for a couple or three days from mondee next week......

Poor you! How you get roped into that!

3 for sunday John?? Seems abit high, Strong NW before SW change doesnt smell like thunder to me!

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Fri 18/08/2006 08:39

03Stormchaser wrote:
C-Nimbus wrote:ok so i have to go to invercargill for a couple or three days from mondee next week......
Poor you! How you get roped into that!

3 for sunday John?? Seems abit high, Strong NW before SW change doesnt smell like thunder to me!

I'd be surprised C-Nimbus considering it's been forecast a few times this winter and never eventuated. Really been a non-event winter down here compared to other parts of the SI.

03Stormchaser -

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Fri 18/08/2006 10:14

03Stormchaser wrote:
C-Nimbus wrote:ok so i have to go to invercargill for a couple or three days from mondee next week......
Poor you! How you get roped into that!

3 for sunday John?? Seems abit high, Strong NW before SW change doesnt smell like thunder to me!

hahaha 03, yeah got some work (prounounced 'wurk'!!) to do down there.

I always enjoy it down there, nice people and blue cod...yummy!

might even bump into flutterbye

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Fri 18/08/2006 10:16

C-Nimbus wrote:
03Stormchaser wrote: Poor you! How you get roped into that!

3 for sunday John?? Seems abit high, Strong NW before SW change doesnt smell like thunder to me!
hahaha 03, yeah got some work (prounounced 'wurk'!!) to do down there.

I always enjoy it down there, nice people and blue cod...yummy!

might even bump into flutterbye

NZ Thunderstorm Soc · Fri 18/08/2006 19:00

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:
03Stormchaser wrote:
3 for sunday John?? Seems abit high, Strong NW before SW change doesnt smell like thunder to me!
I don't think the NW will be strong and there could be a bit of a coastal breeze element before the southerly change.
That's why I chose a 3.
Things could and probably will change before the change Sunday/Monday.

JohnGaul
NZTS

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Fri 18/08/2006 20:16

ok so i have to go to invercargill for a couple or three days from mondee next week......am i gunna get snowed on?

Monday in Invercargill looks good for a 30 knot S'Wester and a temp of 4C and horizontal hail.

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Fri 18/08/2006 20:19

NZstorm wrote:
ok so i have to go to invercargill for a couple or three days from mondee next week......am i gunna get snowed on?
Monday in Invercargill looks good for a 30 knot S'Wester and a temp of 4C and horizontal hail.

We will see

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Fri 18/08/2006 21:03

MetService today is only forecasting snow to 400-500m in the South Island on Monday, but latest models suggest a much colder blast, eg GFS and GASP are going for below 520 thickness in the far south.

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Fri 18/08/2006 21:34

tich wrote:MetService today is only forecasting snow to 400-500m in the South Island on Monday, but latest models suggest a much colder blast, eg GFS and GASP are going for below 520 thickness in the far south.

Yes I see they have stopped saying 'sleety showers'

Andrew Massie · Unread post by **Andrew Massie** » Fri 18/08/2006 23:55

NZ Thunderstorm Soc wrote:I was going to put up a posting called "Monday-ICE-tis" but you have bet me too it by this posting. ..bugger
All these cold weather events seem to be occuring on a Monday.
By the way I have put out my first thunderstorm warning of the forth-coming 2006/2008 thunderstormn season.
A 3 for sunday and a 1 for Monday.
These could alter as we get closer to the day.
JohnGaul
NZTS

Is 1 a higher chance of thunder or 5? I've forgotten! And these numbers are only for Canterbury, right?
BTW, I think the first storm this season, i'm not gonna use my camera, i'll just let the weather gods rage above me while I watch!

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Sat 19/08/2006 11:44

Lets hope it's not the best storm of the season Andrew

I am sure there will be plenty this year.
Warming up nicly out there 19.8C could reach early 20's and tomorrow as well

.
I can certainly see more a spring like pattern occuring now with the weather outlook being NW-SW but more NW days meaning less colder days

.
Cheers
Jason.

Weathermad · Unread post by **Weathermad** » Sat 19/08/2006 11:59

I see the MetService have lowered their snow level on Monday for a number of centres(forecast issued 11.30am Sat)

Snow down to 200 metres in Canterbury and snow for Invers,Gore,Alex,Q'town,Dunedin and sleet to sea level for Oamaru,Timaru,Ashburton and Christchurch

Will it happen??

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Sat 19/08/2006 12:06

I don't think snow will get that low if anything Thunder looks more in favour for Monday 4-500m snow.
Can't complain about that

.
Otago Southland should see very low level snow though.
Cheers
Jason.

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Sat 19/08/2006 12:18

If it happens then great but I'm not holding my breath. I see Fencepost have given a high down here today of 9Â°

- nice and sunny with a NNW breeze and I have a high of 16.2Â° at the moment.

Weathermad · Unread post by **Weathermad** » Sat 19/08/2006 12:23

I see the M/S dont have you much higher...
Invercargill...
Today Few showers. Gusty northwest winds. Max 12 Â°C
Sunday 20 Showery with strong cool westerlies. Min 3 Â°C Max 10 Â°C
Monday 21 Showers turning to snow. Cold SW Min 2 Â°C Max 9 Â°C
Tuesday 22 Becoming fine. Cold southwest dying Min 2 Â°C Max 9 Â°C
Wednesday 23 Mainly fine and frosty with light winds. Min 3 Â°C Max 10 Â°C

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Sat 19/08/2006 12:29

Already have that info Weathermad.- they can do that a lot, dropping the expected high when they should have left it as it was.

Weathermad · Unread post by **Weathermad** » Sat 19/08/2006 12:33

Yes it can happen and they still say a high of 17 here in Chch but its 21!

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Another burst of cold early next week.

Another burst of cold early next week.

Re: Another burst of cold early next week.