Moist, mild and gusty this weekend

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Tue 22/08/2006 10:45

With a departing but intensifying high on the move to our east by Thursday, and a developing low in the Tasman.. it should become rather windy upon the clearance of the fronts on Saturday.. should be some good 'ol northwesterly gales.
Dewpoints up to 12-14Â°C over the upper NI by Sat morning

Should see some locally very heavy showers around.. but the passages of showers or rain look rather messy at this stage.

Becoming icy again for the south by Saturday night.. but not as bad as it has been.

Manukau heads obs · Tue 22/08/2006 10:50

and much warmer too, to help kick into gear spring pasture growth farmers will be wanting after a long cold winter (at least for the upper NI anyway)

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Wed 23/08/2006 07:46

Yes, some rain & showers at the weekend with a Low crossing the NorthIsland. The southerly that follows looks cool rather than cold.

Perhaps another Tasman Low mid next week.

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Thu 24/08/2006 23:55

That's a nice wee convectively-enhanced cold front incoming at the moment.. steady northeasterlies here and mild, 9Â°C

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Fri 25/08/2006 10:25

Looks like a mild day in Chch today - already 13C. But I hear that cars have been stuck in snow on the Desert Road early this morning. Must be some warm advection snow, with moisture arriving there before it could warm up much from the previous cold outbreak.

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Fri 25/08/2006 11:55

and that gave 5cm of new snow to Turoa's tally of 265cm

That looks invitinggggg!

Nice mostly cloudy day over the wonderful Waikato, after 9mm here overnight

Shepherds Valley WX · Sat 26/08/2006 09:18

Nice forecast for this weekend Foggy...especially here in Upper Hutt/Wellington, I have recorded 27.0mm rain since around 2am (coinciding with Heavy Rain Warning from Metservice) and a strengthening NW wind. Barometer a steady 1003.7 hPa and a outside temp of 12.3 C.

Pity this did'nt arrive during the week and clear for the weekend!

How are things around the rest of the capital Wellington observers?

RWood · Unread post by **RWood** » Sat 26/08/2006 09:24

Still raining steadily in Kelburn/city, very little wind in my vicinity. With normal rain in June, very high rainfall in July and now probably a surplus in August, it will be the wettest winter since 1998 if not for a longer period - but every winter in between has been drier or near average.

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Sat 26/08/2006 11:09

Could be a convergence zone over Wellington and central NZ. Cloudy here in Chch, but no rain. (9am radar shows light falls in South Canterbury) Southerly breeze makes it cool compared to yesterday, but alot milder than what we got earlier in the week.

Weather Watcher · Unread post by **Weather Watcher** » Sat 26/08/2006 11:57

Quite a lot of rain about the western hills of Lower Hutt this morning. I've recorded 58mm so far, including 13 mm in the last 30 minutes (most of which fell in about 10 minutes). Radar shows a narrow convergence zone moving through, so hopefully the worst of it may be over, although there is still more rain out there.....

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Sat 26/08/2006 13:39

I see there are some strikes about 150 km's of the west coast of Auckland at the mo.

There seems to be a fairly active front/band heading our way

Manukau heads obs · Sat 26/08/2006 14:42

the most active part of the first front will go south of us (typical) but the 2nd front and low center is making more of a beeline for the general auckland area...and its that which the boltecs are showing has lightning strikes in it

Cameo1 · Unread post by **Cameo1** » Sat 26/08/2006 14:46

wee hoo it's about time for some good old thunder. There's been a bit of a thunder drought up here. Metservice is predicting a convective "ripple" to pass over the upper north this evening with possible thundery results. Bring on the light show

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Sat 26/08/2006 14:46

Just wondering if that cell can keep firing.. the timing isn't right though.

Wildland · Unread post by **Wildland** » Sat 26/08/2006 14:55

That forecast was bang-on, Foggy. It was a bit breezy this morning, and there has been steady rainfall across the Wellington region.

Some minor disruption with about half a dozen roads closed by slips this morning. A unit was derailed on the Wgtn-Johnsonville commuter line by a slip, and the line is still closed. There was also mention of a reservoir in the Hutt Valley discharging into the Hutt River for fear it would overflow. More of the usual road disruption at Paekakariki (SH1) - the engineers have an on-going headache with slips on the steep slopes overhanging the highway.

Tawa recorded 39 mm in the 12 hours to midday, bringing the month's total to 152 mm, and the year to date to 871 mm.

Rainfall figures for selected private weather stations in the region for the 12 hours to midday are: (There's quite a bit of variation)
Raumati South 47 mm
Mana 37 mm
Tawa 39 mm
Karori East 96 mm (gurgle!)
Strathmore ca 74 mm
Miramar 60 mm
Lower Hutt 67 mm
Pinehaven 50 mm
Kintore (near Martinborough) 39 mm

Rainfall here eased at about 2 p.m., bringing my total since midnight to 42 mm. The wind dropped abruptly at 11:30 a.m.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sat 26/08/2006 15:01

Some good rainfall totals there Wildland.

Now overcast in AK with light showers, 16C.

Weather Watcher · Unread post by **Weather Watcher** » Sat 26/08/2006 15:05

Rain has now eased in Lower Hutt as well. I measured a total of 65mm, all of it falling in less than 12 hours.

Cameo1 · Unread post by **Cameo1** » Sat 26/08/2006 15:21

Just starting to rain here. Looks as though the bulk of the front is going to hit Waikato as usual. The rain approaching Auk may soon develop into something bigger

Wildland · Unread post by **Wildland** » Sat 26/08/2006 15:23

It's fortunate that the rain has now eased.
National Radio's 3 o'clock news reported 2 houses evacuated in the Aro Valley due to land slippage, as well as slips in Ngaio. Noting the rainfall figure for Karori, it seems that locality has received a bit more attention from the rain this time, as well as the Hutt Valley.

RWood · Unread post by **RWood** » Sat 26/08/2006 15:56

Tentative estimate for Kelburn rainfall for this winter could be 575mm - 590mm, the highest since 1998 - to get higher still one has to go back to 1975. However, winter 1998 followed a very dry summer and autumn.

For more extended wetness, 1974 and 1977 (and 1979 to a lesser extent) are good examples - April to Oct 1974 easily exceeded the annual average, and in 1977 every month from April to December, except October, was above average.

Shepherds Valley WX · Sat 26/08/2006 16:06

Gidday Wildland (and other Wellington observers) .... yeah, have to agree, a very wet day here in Upper Hutt, we have recieved almost 60mm in 24 hrs, both my automated WX sensor and manual guages have recorded the same amount of rainfall, so it was yet another significant rain event for the Wellington area. Have just taken the dogs down to the Hutt River, and it is flowing very rapidly and is the highest I have seen it for some time. Localised flooding of the river where it has burst it banks has occured down around the Block road turn off in Lower Hutt apparently....

METJET NZWN radar shows a clearance now, with the rain heading towards the Wairarapa and clear radar picture behind the departing system.

Wind has also ceased, we had a good NW breeze from 5am till around 11am when it started to drop off.

Currently a calm, overcast mist has settled over the pines here in the Valley, Humidity 91%, 1002.5hPa and rising, and a warm(ish) 10.4C.

Hoping for a finer day tommorow so I can do some fencing!

Cameo1 · Unread post by **Cameo1** » Sat 26/08/2006 16:24

Rain stopped here about half an hour ago and wind seems to have taken its place.

ricky · Unread post by **ricky** » Sat 26/08/2006 16:26

looks like a bit of lightning over Northland as well.. Whangarei area

Michael · Unread post by **Michael** » Sat 26/08/2006 16:36

Not too windy today only been fresh at times from the NW unlike that other direction

Wildland · Unread post by **Wildland** » Sat 26/08/2006 17:26

Shepherds Valley WX wrote: Hoping for a finer day tommorow so I can do some fencing!

En garde!

Ooops. Wrong fencing

Well, you might not have too much trouble digging them thar post'oles - depending on the soil type. Your fencing expedition might turn out to be more like mud-wrestling. Good luck.

NZ Weather Forum

Moist, mild and gusty this weekend

Moist, mild and gusty this weekend

Upper Hutt today....