Icy flick 8-10th October

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Sun 08/10/2006 10:48

Just thought I would start a new topic on this one.
There is a watch for severe NW gales in the south of the south island and north Canterbury and Marlborough this evening.
Rain should spread east overnight followed by a cool SW change and perhaps even some thunderstorms too

.
A real Icy grip gets hold of the far south on Monday which then moves north for Tuesday with another risk of thunder.
Now to wait and see what happens

.
MSLP for overnight below.
Cheers
Jason.

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Sun 08/10/2006 11:23

The wind watch for North Canterbury and Malborough is now a warning.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Sun 08/10/2006 12:35

Haven't looked at any forecasts but looking at a couple of charts, snow should fall to about 300m, perhaps 200m, in the Catlins region overnight Monday.

sw_windbow · Unread post by **sw_windbow** » Sun 08/10/2006 16:51

Hey flutterbye it looks like that first cold front is rolling into Invercargil right now. Does it look heavy?

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Sun 08/10/2006 17:12

Just starting to rain now - it's has been a fine day with a NNW wind that has been very strong at times. Not heavy yet.

Compie · Unread post by **Compie** » Sun 08/10/2006 18:51

sorry I should have posted here.

Were there wind warnings for Dunedin area.

I tgell ya I gotta move off the peninsula, Nor Easters, Northerlies, Southerlies and the infamous south westerly.

What do they say, if you want a view...

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Sun 08/10/2006 18:57

Yes sure is blowing a gale down south 4pm Obs have South West Cape gusting 111kmh and Puysegur point 98kmh.
Just swung Breezy northerly here after being cool fresh NE all day temp slowly going up too 16.2C here at the moment.
Cheers
Jason.

sw_windbow · Unread post by **sw_windbow** » Sun 08/10/2006 19:01

Otago Port wind instruments report a 45 knot gust in the last 10 minutes, and a mean wind speed of 28 knots. Plastic bags are soaring like eagles.

A vast shadow extends across the southern horizon and its getting prematurely dim here.

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Sun 08/10/2006 21:12

Ended up with 5mm rain with that front - turned to the WSW about 6pm and the temperature dropped from 15Â° to 9Â°.

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Mon 09/10/2006 07:38

Had about 10mm this morning from the southerly change. Had a look at the metservice lightning tracker shows a strike about oxford.

Andy · Unread post by **Andy** » Mon 09/10/2006 07:51

11mm here, and a good dusting of snow to 500m. Chilly start this moring 0Â° but the suns out now.

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Mon 09/10/2006 09:25

About half a dozen flashes observed here around 11pm last night, at a time of near gale NW winds, probably storms on the ranges.

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Mon 09/10/2006 09:36

A period of rain overnight on Banks Peninsula, plus a coating of snow down as low as 450m.

Much colder change than expected, but skies have cleared now.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 09/10/2006 10:23

plus a coating of snow down as low as 450m.

Currently 10c in Chch but dew points are only 3C, chilly air.

Cb cloud moving into South Tasman this morning looks impressive.

Snowlover · Unread post by **Snowlover** » Mon 09/10/2006 12:57

I see metservice is forecasting snow to 300m in canterbury tomorrow!!!

may see some sleet in christchurch?

Snowlover · Unread post by **Snowlover** » Mon 09/10/2006 12:59

also snow to sea level in the south tomorrow!!!! eg dunedin, invercargill etc

sw_windbow · Unread post by **sw_windbow** » Mon 09/10/2006 14:03

Metservice say we're in for Thundery showers this arvo! Last thundery showers I can remember in Dunedin City were 13 months ago.

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Mon 09/10/2006 14:31

Looks like up north we'll finally get a strong SW'er!
Gusts to 80km/h and easing during Tuesday.

Waiting for rain...

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Mon 09/10/2006 15:00

The front has arrived after a sunny morning, the wind is a gusty WNW and temp has dropped from 13Â° down to 7Â°

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Mon 09/10/2006 15:51

there has been some really nice cu gone up in the last 3 hours or so

with a cb heading over to the peninsula, although it would be nice it came over CHCH.

With a mix of this cold and hot air about we are very much likely to get thunder.Proberbly more a chance tonight though for christchurch.And snow down to sea level in the south?

or would it be just to low levels?

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Mon 09/10/2006 16:01

tornadoman18 wrote:there has been some really nice cu gone up in the last 3 hours or so with a cb heading over to the peninsula, although it would be nice it came over CHCH. With a mix of this cold and hot air about we are very much likely to get thunder.Proberbly more a chance tonight though for christchurch.And snow down to sea level in the south?
or would it be just to low levels?

I can't see the 'sea level' snow happening.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Mon 09/10/2006 16:10

I'm officially concerned that I may have to take an ice axe on my Kaweka/ Kaimanawas traverse next week. More heavy snow to 800m in the Central North Island

Manukau heads obs · Mon 09/10/2006 16:11

this weather page gives pretty good info for southland south coast area....nice and exposed location:
http://homepages.slingshot.co.nz/~cj.mo ... ather.html

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Mon 09/10/2006 16:22

What is this...June???? I thought it was October

I think this is a bit more than an icy 'flick' by the reports (Sourced from Newstalk ZB)

Snow forecast for South Island
9/10/2006 16:28:03

A major snow storm is forecast to hit the south of New Zealand tonight, sparking serious fears for farmers.

Snow is set to fall in Invercargill, Queenstown and Dunedin overnight and tomorrow morning. From 6pm tonight until noon Tuesday, 15 to 20cms of snow is likely from 300 metres up, with lighter falls to sea level.

Newstalk ZB weather commentator Philip Duncan says farmers need to do what they can immediately to protect lambs and calves.

Thunderstorms will move up the region this afternoon with snow falling this evening - the heaviest falls will be tomorrow morning.

However, there is some good news - strong to gale force north westerlies are expected in the South later in the week we should warm things up quite quickly.

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Mon 09/10/2006 17:56

with a cb heading over to the peninsula, although it would be nice it came over CHCH.

I saw that dark cloud to the south - 4pm radar showed it passing just to the south of the peninsula. I think it's unusual in a westerly flow to get cbs/thunderstorm clouds in Canterbury east of the mountains.