Extreme Warmth possible from Friday 13th

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Wed 11/10/2006 01:26

Well the 00z run of GFS was progging 850mb temps of 17 just off the Marlborough coast for Friday...!

Strong heatwave developing over SE Aus thanks to a deep heatlow in NW Australia again.. gale dry northwesterlies will carry them well over the Tasman.

And streaming across far past East Cape at 15C (850) , could that mean highs' of ~29C for inland Canterbury and 27 around Hawke's Bay?

Gusty dry northwesterlies will again be very bad news for forestries in the east with the fire dangers likely rising to extreme.

C-Nimbus · Unread post by **C-Nimbus** » Wed 11/10/2006 08:34

yes Ricky was talking about this on BfM this morning.

We had to light a fire last nite it was so cold.

Also got really close to some C-G stikes yesterday out at Riverhead. What a great day

spike_01 · Unread post by **spike_01** » Wed 11/10/2006 10:17

Someone organise a fine Saturday for my 50th please...

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Wed 11/10/2006 12:03

Strong heatwave developing over SE Aus thanks to a deep heatlow in NW Australia again.. gale dry northwesterlies will carry them well over the Tasman

Will mean cloudy humid weather for Auckland which is better than cloudy cool weather which we have currently.

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Wed 11/10/2006 15:01

Hasn't taken long for the warmer westerly airmass to replace the wintry southwesterly of yesterday - up to 22C in Chch today. (20C now) But the upper atmosphere still looks as if it's in a cold airstream, by the look of the high cloud over Chch today.
Several days of warm northwesterlies to come, but then... back to yet more cold southwesterlies by Sunday or Monday, with snow to low levels in the south. (according to MetService)

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Thu 12/10/2006 12:13

Already 25C in Chch - might get even warmer, unless a northeasterly or southerly change arrives this afternoon.

Weathermad · Unread post by **Weathermad** » Thu 12/10/2006 15:27

Yes that wind change has hit and the temp now a pleasant 17 degrees

I see tomorrow high from the MetService for Christchurch is 26.It was a mild night with a low of 17 and Kaikoura and Timaru were 22 at 3am with a howling nor'wester which apparently blew the roof off Timaru Boys High School last night!

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Thu 12/10/2006 15:49

We had 26 degrees at 1pm with a nor'wester, two hours later it was down to half that, 13deg, as the wind shifted easterly.

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Thu 12/10/2006 16:27

28 forecast for hastings with severe gales....just as I head off for a 10 day tramp in the Kaweka's and Kaimanawas

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Thu 12/10/2006 16:39

Yes the northwester was very mean

this morning at about 3 am!.
at a guess wind gusts up to 90 or even 100km/h it woke me alright

and i was waiting for our roof at home to come off.

it was quite bad!

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Thu 12/10/2006 17:20

Ironically, my father is involved in a civil defence exercise on Banks Peninsula tomorrow, the scenario being devastating hurricane force northwesterlies with winds averaging 70 knots and gusting up to 100 knots! Tomorrow (hopefully) doesn't look anything nearly that bad.

Andy · Unread post by **Andy** » Thu 12/10/2006 17:56

Top today of 27.2Â°, with sunny skies and strong NW winds, gale force in some expose spots ! Like where i was working in Clyde

Not nice.

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Thu 12/10/2006 18:38

Hard to get used to the heat again the sun had some heat in it around lunchtime which pushed the temperature right up to 25C.
Not before the NE kicked in during the afternoon.
Breifly heard the wind in the early hours but just doozed it off

however I heard Timaru got some big gusts with the Timaru Boys High school GYM's roof blew off as well as several other reports of roofing iron being lifted and trees uprooted.
Could be another big blow overnight perhaps abit stronger this time further north might be one for inland farmers to watch for so check the candles

.
I would be looking at 28C tomorrow maybe 30 inland or Hanmer etc certainly something farmers wont want.
Up to 34C in Tasmania today.
Keep watch Sunday night looks interesting

.
Cheers
Jason.

gllitz · Unread post by **gllitz** » Thu 12/10/2006 19:05

The SAT PICS/LOOPS (MetVUW and Aussie BoM) seem to show the strong winds blowing snow off the Alps?

Or is it just me....hmmm...

borris89 · Unread post by **borris89** » Thu 12/10/2006 20:46

got back from adelaide about a week ago when the heat wave was sort of just starting. It was 29c at 9am and got to a high of 35.4c for the day, very windy. It must be extremely hot over there now.

sw_windbow · Unread post by **sw_windbow** » Fri 13/10/2006 00:09

Right on cue, wind just got up, temp just took off.

21.4Â° right now and rising. I better close my window before it gets too warm inside to sleep.

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Fri 13/10/2006 00:13

sw_windbow wrote:Right on cue, wind just got up, temp just took off.

21.4Â° right now and rising. I better close my window before it gets too warm inside to sleep.

Exactly what has happened here - was 15.4 an hour ago and now I have a reading of 18.6 with a strengthening northerly.

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Fri 13/10/2006 01:00

I see the weather station at Otago Uni has jumped to 23Â°C, 21% RH

sw_windbow · Unread post by **sw_windbow** » Fri 13/10/2006 02:24

Yep, 24.4Â° now, thats the hottest 2:20am temp of the year for sure. Too warm to sleep.

Some very strong gusts. Humidity in the teens!

Compie · Unread post by **Compie** » Fri 13/10/2006 06:57

He he.

must have been a particularly windy time at 2:20 as I got up then too and checked the temp 24.4Â°C

Boy what a windy night, I wonder what some of the gusts were?

Janos · Unread post by **Janos** » Fri 13/10/2006 07:36

Terrific winds again overnight causing a flare up of the fire which burnt two weeks ago. Can smell the smoke from the front door.
Of course very very warm as well.

Compie · Unread post by **Compie** » Fri 13/10/2006 08:03

wow.

Ok so it did get windy at 2:30ish that woke me

http://dunedinweather.stroppykitten.com/weather.cgi

sure we've got realtaively calm 90km winds at the moment, compared to what was during the evening/night, touching up to 150!!!

dang that's impressive. what speeds is it dangerous for the helicopters?

Manukau heads obs · Fri 13/10/2006 08:24

wow, thats a high speed!
what weather station type is that site using?
(ps, it needs to change to daylight saving time too)

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Fri 13/10/2006 09:03

Only 9 o'clock and its 22Â°C here!! Due to the westerly wind that has just hit.

Weathermad · Unread post by **Weathermad** » Fri 13/10/2006 09:10

Yes and to add from the MetService at 9am...Timaru 24,Dunedin 24 Chch 23 Ashburton 26...just how high will these temps go??