Southerly change 16/10/06

Paul Mallinson · Unread post by **Paul Mallinson** » Mon 16/10/2006 12:59

Everything's moving quite quickly. Most of the action is wnw of CHCH and in north Canterbury and now moving up the Kaikoura coast.

Paul

Kezza · Unread post by **Kezza** » Mon 16/10/2006 13:02

Paul Mallinson wrote:Good strong echoes on the radar towards the foothills of central and north Canterbury.

Which radar site is this?

Paul Mallinson · Unread post by **Paul Mallinson** » Mon 16/10/2006 13:05

Kezza wrote:
Paul Mallinson wrote:Good strong echoes on the radar towards the foothills of central and north Canterbury.
Which radar site is this?

The Rakaia Radar in Canterbury.

Paul

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Mon 16/10/2006 13:12

Spitting here now with a strenthining southerly and very dark to the South and thats without sun shining

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Could be a heavy dolop on the cards keep watch.
Cheers
Jason.

dogmelon · Unread post by **dogmelon** » Mon 16/10/2006 13:22

It has been a fizzer. Anyone know if/when the next chance might be?

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Mon 16/10/2006 13:30

Anyone know if/when the next chance might be?

Next trough due at Labour weekend!

That southerly buster could be interesting for Wellington and further north along the east coast this afternoon/tonight.

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Mon 16/10/2006 13:37

Cloud gradually built up this morning around Akaroa - a shower with hail (very briefly heavy) about 11.30am, but just cloudy since then.

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Mon 16/10/2006 13:37

The only bust was metservice forecast for thunder for ChCh. But its outlook Tstorm forecast was good, Did go out for a drive thru a couple hail showers and heavish rain, bit of surface water about so must have been some quiet heavy stuff fall earlier, thought I saw a couple flashes aswell.

Yea next 'possiblity' is larbour weekend, although not that exciting looking at latest model run. Could well change!

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Mon 16/10/2006 13:54

Ohh well still good to see our first good chance for thunder happening in pre storm season as I would like to call it

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I think if the southerly came through in the afternoon things would have been abit different for sure.
Will put up a few pics later.
Yes Labour wekend looks interesting as I mentioned before low crossing south island with the chance on saturday what about Monday anyone? labour day looks like it will be W-SW and quite strong though.
Cheers
Jason.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 16/10/2006 14:00

think if the southerly came through in the afternoon things would have been abit different for sure

Yes, perhaps Blenhem will get a Thundery shower.

That dry air is a bit of a killer for storms ( 4-5C dewpoints today) but there's more of a propensity for your coastal N/Easter as we move toward Xmas.

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Mon 16/10/2006 14:39

Just steady rain here, 5mm so far.

Never really looked like much strong vertical developement today, the Cu which was building up ahead of the wind change was quite shallow. Wind was E here for a few hours this morning, which must have helped the buildups a bit, but the broader pattern never looked very favourable.

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Mon 16/10/2006 15:12

Yes i agree TonyT it hasnt really looked favourable at all really.
Saw some interesting cu went up around 11 am but apart from that nothing has looked like its going to wallep us with thunder.
dissapointing

and i dont think we will see any more thundery clouds today now!..
Oh well, next time

Snowlover · Unread post by **Snowlover** » Mon 16/10/2006 15:16

Looks very ugly in Hanmer Springs and only 6.1C goign by their webcam at 3.00pm

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Mon 16/10/2006 15:21

Snowlover wrote:Looks very ugly in Hanmer Springs and only 6.1C goign by their webcam at 3.00pm

Whats the link to that site? Thanks

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Mon 16/10/2006 15:34

http://www.hanmer.co.nz/

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Mon 16/10/2006 15:37

Flutterbye wrote:http://www.hanmer.co.nz/

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Mon 16/10/2006 16:10

Here are some pics of what today threw at us once again great to able to use my new camera

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Cheers
Jason.

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Mon 16/10/2006 16:25

03Stormchaser wrote:
Flutterbye wrote:http://www.hanmer.co.nz/

I've done the same thing before

It's been cool here after 15mm rain overnight with a sunny morning and a couple of nasty showers.

Weathermad · Unread post by **Weathermad** » Mon 16/10/2006 17:14

Certainly cooler in many parts of the country and I hear Amberley had the national low of just 7 degrees!...Tony,turn that heater up!

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Mon 16/10/2006 17:16

Temp -33C at 500mb over South Island. With air that cold aloft the surface dps only needed to be about 7 or 8C today for deep moist convection.

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Mon 16/10/2006 17:37

Yes! was getting quite cold at around 11 am along with a we bit of cu that went up.
The only thing that looked thundery was a big cu out inland around 12 pm that just so happend to be a small storm out there

lol.
Temp outside now is around 8C with a fresh SW

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Mon 16/10/2006 17:48

Weathermad wrote:Certainly cooler in many parts of the country and I hear Amberley had the national low of just 7 degrees!...Tony,turn that heater up!

Dont worry, the fire's been lit since early afternoon, and yes it has been around 7deg all afternoon, but its up to 9.5 now, and the max today was 15.2 at 9am. Rain has now stopped and we ended up with 6mm.

spike_01 · Unread post by **spike_01** » Mon 16/10/2006 19:11

Has just turned Southerly here.... And this is on the way...

Flutterbye · Unread post by **Flutterbye** » Mon 16/10/2006 19:18

Wow - that's a great shot spike_1

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Mon 16/10/2006 19:57

Dont worry, the fire's been lit since early afternoon, and yes it has been around 7deg all afternoon, but its up to 9.5 now, and the max today was 15.2 at 9am. Rain has now stopped and we ended up with 6mm.

Hillmorton in Chch got nothing, while outer Banks Peninsula only got a brief late morning shower. (albeit with hail - but I didn't hear any thunder) The southerly was cold and gusty though, but it has died down now, plus skies have now cleared (in Chch) - frost tonight?