Warm windy week ahead 13-17th Nov!!

Archive of NZ Weather & Climate
Forum rules
These topics are a read-only archive and may be subject to out-of-date information.

For today's weather discussion head to: New Zealand Weather & Climate
Manukau heads obs
Posts: 12305
Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 16:30
Location: West Coast Road, Manukau Peninsula, North Island
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0
Contact:

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

sure is a nice unstable picture over the tasman today, which is slowly moving towards us
remember when whangerie got deluges of rain from orographicly forced CB lines in warm and very humid northerlies some years ago?
something similar could happen?
very high DP here now for the time of year!
Last edited by Manukau heads obs on Thu 16/11/2006 08:48, edited 1 time in total.
Image
Brian Hamilton, weather enthusiast. My weather dataEmail: [email protected]
spwill
Posts: 9907
Joined: Sun 29/06/2003 22:39
Location: Mt Eden Auckland
Has thanked: 839 times
Been thanked: 866 times

Unread post by spwill »

16/17C dewpoints , feels like summer :D .

Some showers to cross the area shortly, looks like the heavy stuff will pass west of us.
User avatar
Michael
Posts: 7210
Joined: Thu 27/03/2003 12:04
Location: Rainy Manurewa, Auckland - "City of Gales"
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 1 time
Contact:

Unread post by Michael »

doubt we will get 25 today
spwill
Posts: 9907
Joined: Sun 29/06/2003 22:39
Location: Mt Eden Auckland
Has thanked: 839 times
Been thanked: 866 times

Unread post by spwill »

doubt we will get 25 today
Has clouded up with the Front moving across but with the high dewpoints the temp will move up very quickly in any afternoon sunshine.
User avatar
Willoughby
Site Admin
Posts: 4433
Joined: Sat 14/06/2003 16:18
Location: Darwin, Australia: Storm city
Has thanked: 264 times
Been thanked: 288 times
Contact:

Unread post by Willoughby »

Few showers about this afternoon.. dewpoint up to 19C!! :P
Snowlover
Posts: 168
Joined: Thu 06/07/2006 14:09
Location: Redwood, Christchurch
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Unread post by Snowlover »

Man its hot!!! It's 28C in my part of town!!!!
C-Nimbus
Posts: 692
Joined: Tue 20/01/2004 13:22
Location: Waitakere City - Westie!!
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0

Unread post by C-Nimbus »

Just between you lot and me, I spotted some Castellanus clouds up around the lower - mid deck at about 1.30 pm.

From what i understand this form of alto/cu is a precurser of instability etc etc. :P
User avatar
NZstorm
Posts: 11333
Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 19:38
Location: Grey Lynn, Auckland
Has thanked: 342 times
Been thanked: 361 times

Unread post by NZstorm »

Yes, there was some Altocu castellanus there today. I think that was part of the warm front which brought a few heavy showers to Auckland this morning.
Manukau heads obs
Posts: 12305
Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 16:30
Location: West Coast Road, Manukau Peninsula, North Island
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0
Contact:

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

i can see a nice looking CB top in the last of the setting sun out to the west....reminds me of that distant CB at sunset in the midwest we saw!
Image
Brian Hamilton, weather enthusiast. My weather dataEmail: [email protected]
User avatar
NZstorm
Posts: 11333
Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 19:38
Location: Grey Lynn, Auckland
Has thanked: 342 times
Been thanked: 361 times

Unread post by NZstorm »

Upper air is more stable over NZ today than it was yesterday with warming aloft over the North Island and cooler surface temps over the South Island. Still looks to be a low chance of thunderstorms along that frontal boundary though.
User avatar
Storm Struck
Posts: 4859
Joined: Wed 17/11/2004 21:25
Location: Belfast Christchurch
Has thanked: 23 times
Been thanked: 373 times

Unread post by Storm Struck »

Been on this forum 2 years as of today :D .
Humid,warm,and moist out there at the moment overcast at times but some sun making breif appearances with occasional spits of rain.
Light NE wind after a strong SW wind came through around midnight last night also currently 19C.
Certainly quite a few ingrediants there for thunder at the moment just unfortunate models disagree.
There was a Tsunami warning in place yesterday for Japan and the Pacific a magnitude 8.1 quake occured but was then cancelled later on.
http://www.prh.noaa.gov/ptwc/wmsg
Probly explains all the 4 and 5 quakes on the scale across NZ in the last 48hrs.
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
Manukau heads obs
Posts: 12305
Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 16:30
Location: West Coast Road, Manukau Peninsula, North Island
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0
Contact:

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

the caifornia coast did get wave surges that caused strong rips and caused some damage in some locations..
Image
Brian Hamilton, weather enthusiast. My weather dataEmail: [email protected]
spwill
Posts: 9907
Joined: Sun 29/06/2003 22:39
Location: Mt Eden Auckland
Has thanked: 839 times
Been thanked: 866 times

Unread post by spwill »

Warm enough here to melt an Iceberg.
Temp only in the low twenties but our dewpoint temp is 18C, very sticky.
Manukau heads obs
Posts: 12305
Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 16:30
Location: West Coast Road, Manukau Peninsula, North Island
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 0
Contact:

Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

looks like they are getting usefull rain in north and east otago.....which is a good thing to see in developing el nino at this time of year
(maybe it wil be another claytons elnino?)
Image
Brian Hamilton, weather enthusiast. My weather dataEmail: [email protected]
User avatar
Storm Struck
Posts: 4859
Joined: Wed 17/11/2004 21:25
Location: Belfast Christchurch
Has thanked: 23 times
Been thanked: 373 times

Unread post by Storm Struck »

And that rain has reached here now was light all of a sudden turned heavy with some quite large drops so more a west coast rain really.
Temperature is up and down too went down from 19C to 13C before now back up to 16C with heavy rain.
EDIT.. Not sure but I think I just heard thunder to the west sounded like it but nothing on tracker probly just hearing things :roll: .
Edit again.. it is thunder just had another rumble in the same direction rain getting heavier too.
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
User avatar
Storm Struck
Posts: 4859
Joined: Wed 17/11/2004 21:25
Location: Belfast Christchurch
Has thanked: 23 times
Been thanked: 373 times

Unread post by Storm Struck »

Rain eased back now to just light falls and the sun is trying to come through still a light NE too.
Few strikes here and there on tracker now even a few in the canterbury region in the direction i heard it from before.
The latest radar below shows how isolated to the north it is not sure if it is heading south or out to sea I would say out to sea.
6mm of welcome rain in about 40mins.
Thunderstorm near Westport too at the moment.
Cheers
Jason.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
User avatar
Storm Struck
Posts: 4859
Joined: Wed 17/11/2004 21:25
Location: Belfast Christchurch
Has thanked: 23 times
Been thanked: 373 times

Unread post by Storm Struck »

Thunderstorm inland now going by tracker and certainly more active out there now.
Still getting some heavy bursts of rain off and on.
There was a blue patch in the sky before too I could see towering CU towards the west 8) .
Where is everyone :? .
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
Fujita Phil
Posts: 759
Joined: Wed 03/12/2003 15:44
Location: Dunedin, NZ
Has thanked: 0
Been thanked: 11 times
Contact:

Unread post by Fujita Phil »

Looks like a concentrated storm there Jas... Going off?
There is no such thing as bad weather, just the wrong clothes.
User avatar
Storm Struck
Posts: 4859
Joined: Wed 17/11/2004 21:25
Location: Belfast Christchurch
Has thanked: 23 times
Been thanked: 373 times

Unread post by Storm Struck »

Yes there seems to certainly be a storm out there only thing is I can't see the storm due to middle layer cloud and some lower clouds.
Certainly saferics on the radio and the tracker is picking it up well too perhaps as it gets abit more darker i will be able to see flashes.
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
User avatar
NZstorm
Posts: 11333
Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 19:38
Location: Grey Lynn, Auckland
Has thanked: 342 times
Been thanked: 361 times

Unread post by NZstorm »

That lightning is in the Alps, north of Mt Cook through to the Kaikoura ranges.
User avatar
Storm Struck
Posts: 4859
Joined: Wed 17/11/2004 21:25
Location: Belfast Christchurch
Has thanked: 23 times
Been thanked: 373 times

Unread post by Storm Struck »

Lightning visable in the sky not far from here to the sw :D :D
Cheers
Jason.
Canterbury, home of good rugby and severe storms
User avatar
TonyT
Moderator
Posts: 2878
Joined: Thu 08/05/2003 11:09
Location: Amberley, North Canterbury
Has thanked: 352 times
Been thanked: 1146 times

Unread post by TonyT »

NZstorm wrote:That lightning is in the Alps, north of Mt Cook through to the Kaikoura ranges.
I dont think so! Some thunder heard here over the last 2 hours, but as Jason says, too much lower level cloud to see any storms. The odd heavy shower passing over, rainfall rates peaking at 40mm/hr, 16mm total so far.
dogmelon
Posts: 417
Joined: Wed 22/09/2004 13:24
Location: Chch.
Has thanked: 88 times
Been thanked: 48 times

Unread post by dogmelon »

Really?, thunder must be able to travel a long way since I am hearing thunder in christchurch. Wrong this time, mr know-it-all.
User avatar
NZstorm
Posts: 11333
Joined: Mon 10/03/2003 19:38
Location: Grey Lynn, Auckland
Has thanked: 342 times
Been thanked: 361 times

Unread post by NZstorm »

Sorry, the lightning is through the main Alps but also looks to have been a storm over the Culverden area or there abouts. Nothing in the Kaikouras. :)
dogmelon
Posts: 417
Joined: Wed 22/09/2004 13:24
Location: Chch.
Has thanked: 88 times
Been thanked: 48 times

Unread post by dogmelon »

It doesn't matter anyway, there isn't much to it.
Locked