Warm windy week ahead 13-17th Nov!!

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Willoughby
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Unread post by Willoughby »

Yeah apparently that guy in Hanmer died! :shock:
Man hit by storm-felled tree in Canterbury dies
Posted at 2:25pm on 14 Nov 2006

A man has died in Christchurch Hospital after being hit by a tree in high winds near Hanmer in north Canterbury.

It is believed that he was attempting to clear debris from the road when another tree fell on him.

Wild weather has affected roads, rivers and air travel in Canterbury and gale force winds are now hitting southern parts of the North Island.
-RNZ
One flight from Tokyo was diverted to Auckland Ap even due to the wind..

NZCH METAR 140000Z 30021G34KT 270V330 20KM VCRA FEW050 23/13 Q0988 WS RWY29 WS RWY02 NOSIG RMK SEV TURB REP BLW 8000FT REDUCED

Fine, warm and windy here this afternoon.
Kezza
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Unread post by Kezza »

I was up in Hanmer last night for work (friendly AV Technician here), and was driving back to Chch about 1am thismorning in my wee 3 tonner - that was a mission keeping that thing on the road at the time - I did look at the overhanging foliage at Mouse Point and think that It's best that I was passed all that!! :shock:
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03Stormchaser
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Unread post by 03Stormchaser »

Looks like its gone S now, will wait to see what rain it brings as long as its after 5:15pm im not worried. ;)
Temp starting to drop.
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Unread post by mikestormchaser »

I don't believe its been that windy here in Chch today few strong gusts but nothing over 100km/h? i wouldn't think.
temperatures have really gone up though, has been really hot! Southerly looks to be here soon with rain maybe.
Mike
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Unread post by NZstorm »

A good burst of lightning activity over the SI Alps this morning.

I'm picking the next trough later this week will be much more unstable. :)
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Unread post by Weathermad »

Our rooftop at work had the guage gusting to 90 kph but I dont believe the airport had anything more than about 70 kph...Much cooler now and 14 degrees
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Unread post by spike_01 »

Friday could be a shocker for us Central folk if this is correct... 8)

http://www.metvuw.com/forecast/forecast ... =nz&tim=78
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Unread post by Storm Struck »

Power was flickering when I got up this morning and that was before the NW wind had arrived. Soon after it did hit around 8am although gusts only to about 75-80kmh so certainly not as strong as other places.
However when I arrived in chch it was rather calm until it picked up again for abit later on.
Waimak river was still the same as this morning low but dirty so the floodwaters havn't made it to the east yet.
Certainly felt hotter than 25C today i would think more like 28C especailly because it was 25C at 8:30am and I see Kaikoura 30C I wonder about that station as it is exposed.
Still very dry no rain as of yet perhaps some patchy light rain later on southerly was here breezy but now no wind at all and cooler on 15C.
Friday/Saturday could see some big totals of rain again even some ok heavy falls here possibly.
Cheers
Jason.
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TonyT
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Unread post by TonyT »

Humidity was a lot higher than in a typical NW today, thats why it felt so hot. It wasnt a typical NW, more NNW, which is why the winds were odd and caused more damage than usual.
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Unread post by RWood »

...So there would more moist infeed on the eastern side of the island than in a standard NW flow presumably.

I believe it was the case that the record heat on 7 Feb. 1973 did not occur in a NW flow, but in a light westerly (or maybe WNW), presumably with moisture levels lower than in a typical NW even? :-k
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Unread post by Storm Struck »

Havn't heard of that before but sounds reasonable 8) .
What were the winds like in Amberley Tony? any tree damage etc?.
Cheers
Jason.
Last edited by Storm Struck on Tue 14/11/2006 20:27, edited 1 time in total.
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Unread post by NZstorm »

I believe it was the case that the record heat on 7 Feb. 1973 did not occur in a NW flow, but in a light westerly (or maybe WNW), presumably with moisture levels lower than in a typical NW even?
I might be drifting off topic here a bit but sounding here from Christchurch Airport on 7 Feb 1973. Looks to be a good NW flow. Upper air temperatures unusually warm. That sounding looks more like something from Inland Australia in summer.

850mb temp was 27.4C
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Unread post by dija »

Maximum gust here (Turakina,Wanganui) today was: 114.7 kmh N at time: 16:54

has since died off rather quickly and now sitting on 30km
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Unread post by TonyT »

Jasestrm wrote:Havn't heard of that before but sounds reasonable 8) .
What were the winds like in Amberley Tony? any tree damage etc?.
Cheers
Jason.
No worse than we have had several times in the last few months. Near gale at times, a few twigs broken off some trees, but nothing you would actually call damage.

I think the wind directions were noticeably more NNW than the usual WNW, and that could have lead to a whole different set of orographic enhancements in the inland valleys. If so, then the winds would have been much stronger than the usual Nw'er in some areas, and less strong in others.
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Unread post by tich »

Clouded over in Chch this evening, but no more than a few small spits in the central city - just as well as there are alot of people in town after their day at the races. :)
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Unread post by Willoughby »

Very warm evening here.. 18C, 86% humidity.. had a brief shower come through earlier.. looks like we'll get 10mm all up from this front until tomorrow morning.
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Unread post by Willoughby »

Well we got 6mm in fact.. and it seemed we had a very heavy fall come through at around 6.30am.

Cloudy now here.. looks like Ak is enjoying a nice fine patch.
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Unread post by ricky »

Yes, very pleasant here, little cloud, 21° rising, DP just over 15° and a fresh WNW breeze. We did mange to just about reach 10mm overnight with a couple of heavy falls..
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Unread post by Manukau heads obs »

a very nice 23o C or so sunny afternoon here :)
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Unread post by Storm Struck »

Calm before the next storm or low 8) sunny with some low cloud this morning and a NE breeze all day.
The Waimakariri river is up into the willows over the boat ramp and in the carparks near the bridges on the northern motorway and has been since this morning although should ease down abit before the next dolop of heavy rain hits the alps.
Central parts of the country looking like they will feel the brunt of the low especailly Lower North Island (Wellington,Waiarapa) could see well over 100mm this will be a concern for more slips and flooding.
I see the Taraua ranges MS warning of 200-300mm dont know much about the rivers that run down from there but I would imagine they will be being watched.
Not as bad here as first shown on models earlier in the week however 20-30mm possible still which is well needed for the gardens.
Cheers
Jason.
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Unread post by mikestormchaser »

Well yes it has looked like it is going to ease back abit , the rain.
Going to the show on friday! yeah look fawed to that, and the weather better behave its self on the good old Canterbury day 8)
Anyway ok day here in Christchurch but the NE low cloud was hanging around abit warmed up though.
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Unread post by NZstorm »

Looking into the glass ball of long range thunder forecasting I can see cb's possible over Otago Friday but more likely Saturday with a risk in Canterbury. Also a chance of some activity on the front as it crosses NI end of week. :)
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Unread post by NZstorm »

Dewpoints should be upto 20C in Auckland/Northland on Friday.
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Unread post by spike_01 »

Jasestrm wrote: I see the Taraua ranges MS warning of 200-300mm dont know much about the rivers that run down from there but I would imagine they will be being watched.
Jason.
The Manawatu River is still high as I type from the weeks rain... There is a spillway on the river called Motua ( sp ) ... When the Flood gates are open the water rushes down the floodway and under the Whirikino Bridge... This was the are of major concern here in Feb 2004... It was nasty then...

It can be seen here...

http://www.horizons.govt.nz/maps/graph.asp?point=32548s


All river levels etc for this area can be seen here...

http://www.horizons.govt.nz/maps/map.asp

My guess is this event will be damaging around here... 8)
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Unread post by NZstorm »

Looking cold in Aussie this morning. Melbourne has 6C with showers and Sydney 9C with rain.

Air looking more unstable over northern NZ today!
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