Warm windy week ahead 13-17th Nov!!

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Sun 12/11/2006 20:50

Thought I would make a new topic for this week.
Looks like show week here in Canterbury is going to be relativly dry but warm although could be the odd weak change here and there with some showers perhaps Thursday.
The west coast looks like catching a good dosing of rain MS going for 200-300mm that is sure to bring the rivers bank to bank

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Some possible gale force winds moving in tomorrow night and into Tuesday with severe gusts likly for inland areas of Canterbury,Marlborough,lower North Island.
Maybe something thundery up north mid week

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Cheers
Jason.

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Sun 12/11/2006 22:01

Don't forget wet!

Looks like an active southerly change about Canterbury on Tuesday.. should see some heavy rain about and the odd thunderstorm.

At this stage Friday looks quite hot.. mainly over the North Island.. could see over 25Â°C here and 30Â°C+ out east.

Wet and windy here tonight.

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Sun 12/11/2006 23:10

Well its already raining here a we bit tonight.
I dont know weather it was expected but light rain has fallen tonight for a time.
Currently NE but clouds have come from the S...

gllitz · Unread post by **gllitz** » Mon 13/11/2006 07:25

Hot and windy on Show Day for Canterbury? Say it isn't so....shock and horror!

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Mon 13/11/2006 07:31

gllitz wrote:Hot and windy on Show Day for Canterbury? Say it isn't so....shock and horror!

Actually models showing light S turning E, probably bit of drizzly rain.

Foggy Wrote:

Looks like an active southerly change about Canterbury on Tuesday.. should see some heavy rain about and the odd thunderstorm.

I take it you mean heavy rain and odd Tstorm for us?? Any rain that does come with the change will be showers nothing heavy, and Tstorm highy unlikely with upper being so warm as well as bugger all moisture in the air.

spwill · Unread post by **spwill** » Mon 13/11/2006 08:30

Nice to see no polar blast on the way for a change.

Could be very wet for us later in the week with a slow moving Front and good dewpoints.

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Mon 13/11/2006 14:34

It really is about time we had a fine day.

Looks like the return of cloud and drizzle tomorrow.

sw_windbow · Unread post by **sw_windbow** » Mon 13/11/2006 14:47

Wow a foot of rain is a lot even by West Coast standards. They could get some surface flooding out of that.

Looks like plenty will seep over into the electricity lakes too, helping us stay warm next winter.

janewaystv · Unread post by **janewaystv** » Mon 13/11/2006 14:50

Looking at metservice, forecasting 24 deg C for Auckland and Northland tomorrow.

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Mon 13/11/2006 20:34

Been on the cooler side today only because the NW hasn't hit yet infact still hasn't really over the south island but once that warm front crosses should tighten things up abit.
Some patchy low weak cumulus about this morning after a slight bit of rain in the early hours of the morning giving way to high cloud later on.
The NE breeze has been doing it's thing against the high cloud with some spots of rain before and also some weak forms of cumulus too.
You would be a fool to start raking up the leaves tomorrow

and the same if you crossed the Waimakariri after the rains.
Cheers
Jason

spike_01 · Unread post by **spike_01** » Mon 13/11/2006 21:29

Lovely warm day here today... A shower is just coming through now though...

Manukau heads obs · Mon 13/11/2006 21:36

with all the humidity thats going to get directed onto the NI ->
if the wind is not too strong, and its sunny inland, then there could be some afternoon CB's over the ranges in the waikato maybe???

Weathermad · Unread post by **Weathermad** » Tue 14/11/2006 04:33

Certainly a very mild early morning in Christchurch, 21 degrees at 4.30 and with an easterly at the airport

MetService believe a high of 24 today...I wonder if we will exceed that at all or will the promise of some rain put a dampener on it and of course the big day at Addington Racecourse!

KiwiWeather · Unread post by **KiwiWeather** » Tue 14/11/2006 06:48

There is hardly a cloud in the sky here, an absolutely splendid, bright, warm morning.

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Tue 14/11/2006 06:50

if the wind is not too strong, and its sunny inland, then there could be some afternoon CB's over the ranges in the waikato maybe???

Warm air is being advected down from the north aloft making the atmosphere quite stable.

Today should be the warmest day of the spring so far in Auckland with the forecast max of 24C looking to be on the mark.

Andrew Massie · Unread post by **Andrew Massie** » Tue 14/11/2006 07:51

Yay! Stormtracker showing plenty of activity on the coast and in the mountains, a little on the east coast!

I don't care, Weathermad, about the rain for cup day, in fact, it'll make it better with those silly women who use body paint every b#@&*y year! Those poser types annoy me!

Hoping the southerly brings some large static electricity with it!

jeffsweather · Unread post by **jeffsweather** » Tue 14/11/2006 09:37

From NewsTalk ZB
http://newstalkzb.co.nz/newsdetail1.asp?storyID=107427

14/11/2006 8:52:02

Gale force nor-westers are causing problems in Canterbury.

MetService is predicting the winds will reach 130 kilometres per hour in exposed places.

A driver was trapped in his cab when a tree fell on his truck at Mouse Point between Culverdon and Hanmer Springs in North Canterbury. He has serious injuries and a helicopter is battling its way north in a bid to get him to Christchurch Hospital.

A fallen tree has blocked off access to Hanmer Springs and there are power outages in Darfield, Kirwee and around the Marshland Road area.

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Tue 14/11/2006 09:39

Watching a weather station in Oxford, wind speeds topping 100kmph earlier.
Comms busy today, couple of fires about in Nth Cnaterbury (one threatening a house in Omihi, near Waipara) as well as trees down.

sw_windbow · Unread post by **sw_windbow** » Tue 14/11/2006 12:10

Aurthur's Pass:

THIS STORM CYCLE (17hrs)
Rainfall: 235.71mm
High Rain Rate: 64.8mm/hr @ 6:14hrs 14/11/06

Cats, dogs and rivers having kittens.

Snowlover · Unread post by **Snowlover** » Tue 14/11/2006 13:17

i hear the wind has ripped roofs off houses in Hanmer, I hope my house is ok

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Tue 14/11/2006 13:20

Snowlover wrote:i hear the wind has ripped roofs off houses in Hanmer, I hope my house is ok

Yea heard this on the scanner, also couple trees have fallen onto houses.

Weathermad · Unread post by **Weathermad** » Tue 14/11/2006 13:37

Unofficially gusts topping 160 kph and a number of local residents saying that the Nor'wester is the worst they have experienced

State Highway 7 has been closed and flooding and fallen trees have have affected SH 73

Truck Driver had a terrible experience between Culverden and Hamner when tree fell onto his vehicle

A number of vehicles on the side of the road on State highway One between Chch and Ashburton earlier this morn due to the high winds

Temps have soared as a consequence too in some parts

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Tue 14/11/2006 13:38

With such high rainfall about the Alps, the main Canterbury rivers should be in flood. (I can't access the NIWA Waimakiriri webcam) Wind gusts reaching near gale in central Chch, but looks like inland North Canterbury must be getting the worst of the winds.

Manukau heads obs · Tue 14/11/2006 13:57

sure is tightly packed isobar line over that area of the SI, with the positioning of the low....!!!

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Tue 14/11/2006 14:20

Northwesterly storm maybe over for Canterbury soon - strong gusts still hitting Chch, but they're now westerly (still warm) and barometer has risen. Southerly change had already reached Timaru at 1pm. Radar at 1pm showed heavy showers over inland areas inland from Oamaru and about Waitaki Valley.