Friday, weekend Canterbury Thunderstorm risk 08-

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Tue 05/12/2006 06:12

Looks like it may well be our first decent thunder storm day. As long as the change doesnt come thru early. Upper air is very cold, good bit of moisture in the air, NE before the change and fingers crossed!

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Tue 05/12/2006 23:55

03Stormchaser wrote:Looks like it may well be our first decent thunder storm day. As long as the change doesnt come thru early. Upper air is very cold, good bit of moisture in the air, NE before the change and fingers crossed!

niiiiice

sounds good!

Andrew Massie · Unread post by **Andrew Massie** » Wed 06/12/2006 12:15

SWEET! Fingers crossed and then uncrossed to use camera with!

Thunder · Unread post by **Thunder** » Wed 06/12/2006 12:45

Would have to agree, thunderstorms looking good for this Friday afternoon and or evening. Ideally would be good if some bubbled up before the change so they don't go anywhere too fast, and that looks like happening. But there should be some with the change of course to and I'm sure they'll be good to watch.

Hopefully the models stay consistent as they have the past few days. $\:D/$

Cheers

mikestormchaser · Unread post by **mikestormchaser** » Wed 06/12/2006 13:04

YAY good positive talk on storms again

i love it...

well... we going to have too wait and see but sounds promising.
beaut day here in Christchurch its going to stay like this aswel the temp around 20C id say i haven't checked, its a guess

squid · Unread post by **squid** » Wed 06/12/2006 15:01

I hope you guys get a good storm, even a supercell

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Wed 06/12/2006 17:04

keep them in the evenings please...don't want the cricket being interrupted!!!!!

NZstorm · Unread post by **NZstorm** » Wed 06/12/2006 18:44

keep them in the evenings please...don't want the cricket being interrupted!!!!!

Yes, looks like a high risk of the afternoon being washed/hailed out by a thunderstorm.

The cold unstable trough will be over the North Island Saturday with thunderstorms in the ranges as we saw yesterday.

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Wed 06/12/2006 23:27

Sure are some strong thunderstorms 700km WSW of Invercargill this evening.

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Thu 07/12/2006 07:15

Foggy Hamilton wrote:Sure are some strong thunderstorms 700km WSW of Invercargill this evening.

Thought about chasing them!

squid · Unread post by **squid** » Thu 07/12/2006 12:53

now what did i say about supercells

Willoughby · Unread post by **Willoughby** » Thu 07/12/2006 13:11

Guys, this forum is for the discussion of weather or climate. If it's not going to be useful for the users reading, don't post it.
Thanks

Thought about chasing them!

That band of thunderstorms was travelling at a fair notch, and remained very thundery at it touched the SW of Fiordland at around 5am.

Gary McConnochie · Unread post by **Gary McConnochie** » Thu 07/12/2006 17:55

Oh my god its the fun police!!

Manukau heads obs · Thu 07/12/2006 18:48

but there is 0 chance of supercelles in the current weather pattern surely, and it should not even be mentioned in the same sentence, so I can see where Foggy is coming from

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Thu 07/12/2006 19:08

MS is going for a low risk tomorrow

but as long as we get some good sunshine before hand I would be looking at a high risk.
Great day today started off cool but warmed up quick when the sun appeared around lunchtime.
Light NE for most of the morning turned fresh gusty NW by afternoon then a very breif SW windchange now back to very light NE winds.
By the way where is John these days

we need perhaps another thunder scale number for tomorrow

.
Cheers
Jason.

dogmelon · Unread post by **dogmelon** » Thu 07/12/2006 21:09

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Thu 07/12/2006 21:46

Given it's possibly going to be the best day in awhile for thunder and you are giving it a 0 dogmelon

.
Cheers
Jason.

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Thu 07/12/2006 22:05

It looks quite promising to me. It looks to be one of those days which will either go off majorly or not at all, depending largely on the meso-scale airflow and whether or not some moisture gets in off the sea. I'm picking it will, which should set things up nicely. I'd be looking for most action around early afternoon from convection, with perhaps somewhat less chance with the wind change during the evening.

dogmelon · Unread post by **dogmelon** » Fri 08/12/2006 07:52

Yes, probably a bit cynical. There have been a lot of let downs recently that is all. Only trouble is that any interesting weather will stop the cricket.

Storm Struck · Unread post by **Storm Struck** » Fri 08/12/2006 08:36

We have the sunshine this morning

only downside is the wind is southerly although it should back off and turn NE later.
Cheers
Jason.

03Stormchaser · Unread post by **03Stormchaser** » Fri 08/12/2006 09:10

TonyT wrote:It looks quite promising to me. It looks to be one of those days which will either go off majorly or not at all, depending largely on the meso-scale airflow and whether or not some moisture gets in off the sea. I'm picking it will, which should set things up nicely. I'd be looking for most action around early afternoon from convection, with perhaps somewhat less chance with the wind change during the evening.

Looks like metservice have written off Tstorms for Canterbury. I still think there is a chance something will happen. Could earlier see some good Cu out off the coast.

Andrew Massie · Unread post by **Andrew Massie** » Fri 08/12/2006 09:10

There's a lot of moisture in the air, but no rain so far.. Sun IS out, and blowing southerly... warming up a wee bit... GO!

Actually, you're right, Jase, where's John and GARY too!

Razor · Unread post by **Razor** » Fri 08/12/2006 09:44

Weather reports for the cricket please Cantabs.....want at least a reasonable days play, a small interuption for a severe thunder and hailstorm will be acceptable but please don't be too greedy- think of us sports fans elsewhere

TonyT · Unread post by **TonyT** » Fri 08/12/2006 09:54

Its precisely because there is a cricket test on that we are so confident of storms...

tich · Unread post by **tich** » Fri 08/12/2006 10:44

There's a lot of moisture in the air, but no rain so far.. Sun IS out, and blowing southerly... warming up a wee bit... GO!

Showery in some other parts of Canterbury this morning (eg Banks Peninsula), but nothing reaching Chch yet.

NZ Weather Forum

Friday, weekend Canterbury Thunderstorm risk 08-

Friday, weekend Canterbury Thunderstorm risk 08-

Re: Friday, weekend Thunderstorm risk 08-