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Heavy rain, NI, 19-21st Dec

Posted: Mon 18/12/2006 15:15
by Razor
Well its a soggy run in to Xmas here.

If only it was raining at the Basin Reserve

/Mod edit: Title edit.

Posted: Mon 18/12/2006 16:08
by spwill
Southerlies by thurs so we should have a sunny run up to Xmas :D
Just a few mm of rain here today with 17C dewpoints, will be another warm night.

Posted: Mon 18/12/2006 16:11
by Manukau heads obs
does look like alot of rain moving down from the north
4.5mm here from that slow moving , sliding SE, front , today

heavy rain at brynderwyn this afternoon:
http://ps.gen.nz/~richkids/brynderwyn.htm
16.5mm up to 6pm,still raining

and check out rotorua!
115mm in 2 hours !
http://geyserlandobservatory.org/weather/weather.html

Posted: Mon 18/12/2006 20:34
by kaimaikid
only 3.8mm rain here today

dewpoint currently @ 15.8 here

http://www.metservice.co.nz/default/ind ... ormoutlook

wahooooo poss thunder tonight :twisted: fingers crossed ;)

Posted: Mon 18/12/2006 22:15
by Willoughby
Manukau heads observer wrote: and check out rotorua!
115mm in 2 hours !
http://geyserlandobservatory.org/weather/weather.html
Noticed that, but it doesn't at all sound accurate.. 31.6mm so far today at Rotorua Ap...

5.8mm since 9am here, rather constant and coarse.

Wednesday morning look like our best chance at thunder. :)

Posted: Mon 18/12/2006 22:41
by Manukau heads obs
it did seem to be alot recorded , thats for sure!

the airport is on the other side of the lake though, and more in the lee of the mamaku ranges, i.e would get less rain from a NNW rain event?

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 07:26
by ricky
There were police reports of flooding up to waist deep in the Pukehangi area, Old Taupo rd, so could well be around that amount..

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 08:34
by NZstorm
The air has been unstable to about 5000m in the north over the last couple of days. Localised forcing could quite easily lead to a localised heavy rainfall event. 20mm in 1 hr quite possible.

.

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 08:57
by Willoughby
Well heck then! :shock:

Highly unstable air over our waters this morning to the NNW.. CAPE to 1500j/Kg just 8 degrees away from Cape Reinga, wish it would reach further!! Dewpoints should be rising to 20°C shortly up in the far north, so no doubt some heavy downpours or thunderstorms due there today.

Looks like another day of rain on the way this way. :)

The 00z Norfolk Island sounding will be interesting..

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 09:15
by Manukau heads obs
the mamaku ranges must make a great gradual up slope orographic rain event from rain coming down from the NNW...which this was ;)
(with local wind flow in from the NE too, even more moisture in from the NE)

this low from the north is goin to colide with the front coming up from the south...will be interesting...eastern NI will get an old man southerly as they say

met service have thunderstorms and heavy rain events on the cards for the upper NI today and 2 nite :)
http://www.metservice.co.nz/default/ind ... ormoutlook

good for the farmers, the upper NI has started to dry out alot now!

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 09:19
by Willoughby
Girl swept away in Rotorua flash flood

...The deluge hit Rotorua about 3.30pm and lasted up to two hours.

MetService said nearly 30mm of rain was recorded at the airport between 3pm and 5pm, though much of it could have fallen in a very short period.

Flooded downtown shops had to move stock but the worst-hit area was Rotorua's western suburbs, about five kilometres out of thetown.

The Fire Service's northern communications centre shift manager, Jaron Phillips, said a family were rescued from their car after being stranded in waist-deep water near Pukehangi when a nearby river burst its banks.

Up to 10 homes were inundated. Firefighters went door to door rescuing people. "It was very sudden. It was a very intense downpour," Mr Phillips said...
http://www.stuff.co.nz/3904171a11.html
Rolf has his weather station in the west doesn't he..

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 09:55
by Manukau heads obs
yup...so maybe he did record that amount!

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 10:21
by spike_01
It is lookin' interesting today... A front coming South and a front coming North... Should meet about here tonight sometine after 9pm... 8)

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 10:54
by Razor
Thuunder forecast to creep south from Northland tonight....severe thunderstorm warning for tomorrow morning for the northern half into BOP in the afternoon :shock:

Steady but not spectacular rain here in the Jaffa Bowl

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 12:07
by Razor
Heavy rain warnings now issued.....

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 14:29
by Willoughby
Some shower activity SW of Hamilton this afternoon... (under exposed though)

Dewpoint has been sticking around 18°C.

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 15:03
by borris89
23-4 degrees, sun is out and light breeze here in hawkes bay even tho the forecast is for rain. some build-ups on the ranges and down south. may get some photo's

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 16:25
by Manukau heads obs
alot of rain has moved down the coastline to the west of the upper NI...typicaly!
but looks like another good wave to move down from the north...and an energy injection from the west is approaching!
nice big cirlcular outflow cloud to he NE of NZ....sort of thing you see from a TC!

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 18:23
by Manukau heads obs
i emailed Rolf, from that rotorua station
he said that rain came down in bucket fulls!
you could see a big heavy rain area on the far SE corner of the rain radar at the time...

heavy rain moving down onto the far north now...

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 19:39
by ricky
Does look like some decent rainfall over Northland alright, been a bit of lightning from that as well recently..
I saw there was a thunderstorm in the Wairarapa late afternoon, some good mid 20s temps recorded there with the NW

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 20:18
by spike_01
Very light rain here as I type... 8)

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 20:44
by Manukau heads obs
you can see a line of rain showers streaming off little barrier island in the hauraki gulf ...

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 23:11
by Manukau heads obs
over all a bit of a non event
this second rain band, the best of it is going down the east of the NI....so the 1st and 2nd rain bands have missed the upper NI mainly...
the best rain totals came when it was not forecast....yesterday...

only 4mm here , so far, despite trying to rain all day
.....we will get a bit of this next rain band, but its moving pretty fast, so wont last long

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 23:12
by Willoughby
Maaann it's unstable up there! :o

This 1st band will mainly slide through Coromandel/BoP.. lets just hope it can wrap around nicely......?

Posted: Tue 19/12/2006 23:18
by Manukau heads obs
i do now see some lightning activity now off northland.....
maybe i spoke too soon.....
and there is a hook developing on the rain band....